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#31
3rd December 2011, 05:34 PM
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Big claim to be system of the year for 2011.
Would like to see why. I'm not a berfair person nor a layer, but a couple of recent glories does not a summer make ..... let alone system of the year. stats .... beaten favourites, and favourite this time ..... have been claimed to have a 14% S/R on here, and a 35% S/R at a well known mag. Stats eh? ..... 
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#32
3rd December 2011, 06:53 PM
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Code:
Backing: Outlay 12 units Return 32.27 Profit 20.27 POT 168.92% There you go.
__________________
RaceCensus - powerful system testing software. Now with over 409,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races! http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html *RaceCensus now updated to 31/10/2024 Video overview of RaceCensus here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg
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#33
3rd December 2011, 07:01 PM
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Quote:
Thanks UB, I'd be very interested in your findings.
__________________
RaceCensus - powerful system testing software. Now with over 409,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races! http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html *RaceCensus now updated to 31/10/2024 Video overview of RaceCensus here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg
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#36
3rd December 2011, 09:14 PM
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Well, I haven't actually proved anything.
But it's pretty clear that as a lay system, it's found wanting because there are no price filters and no form filters. There are plenty of first uppers and from my data, it just doesn't add up to an edge. Because of the nuts and bolts of it, I still stick with my idea, that it is a better backing system than a lay system. But nothing has been proven either way - yet.
__________________
RaceCensus - powerful system testing software. Now with over 409,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races! http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html *RaceCensus now updated to 31/10/2024 Video overview of RaceCensus here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg
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#37
4th December 2011, 05:28 AM
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System of the year ha.
Thank you for that great honour Darky and I would like to thank my Mother and my Father and to thank God. Its funny how not many of the 2.20-5.00 shots don't seem to win. One would naturally think that they would have a distinct edge over their rivals. Originally Posted by Bhagwan RULES <=1010m Delete any odds on fav races. (<=2.00) Won LS , first one we come to , working from top down list of runners. Look for LSW first. If no LS Winners then target LS 2nds. Delete any resumers. Laying Price 2.20-5.00 If the first one we come to going down the list is greater than 5.00 then its a no bet race, when Laying The majority will usually be <=5.00 They are nearly always over bet to their actual chance of winning . Remember to ignore any resumers, if laying. Most of the selections will be around the 3.00-3.50 mark Ocho did a test on this plan for a month & it did show a profit, if backing, of 17% POT but that was mainly due to a couple of larger prices getting up. Anything 2.20-5.00 showed a substantial loss if backing. Resumers with form figure of 1x Actually show a profit of +27% POT 37.5% SR Price 2.20+ Must be 1st or 2nd Favs.
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Cheers.
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#38
4th December 2011, 08:32 AM
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There is no way this LAY system shows a profit for WIN betting folks.
In the meantime the smart LAY punters will line their pockets for a lot of Xmas cheer. Cheers darky
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#39
4th December 2011, 08:39 AM
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Chrome .
No mention in the original rules was made of starts before a spell. No one in their right minds would even consider a horses form from their last preparaion without 2 or 3 stsrts in this preparation I stand by my results. Cheers darky Last edited by darkydog2002 : 4th December 2011 at 08:44 AM.
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#40
4th December 2011, 08:55 AM
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4/12/2011
Bunbury
Race 8 H 8 Goulburn Race 2 H 1 Race 6 H 3 Murray Bridge Race 2 H 3
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