After looking at the order of entry it looks doubtful that St. Basil will even make the field which is absolutely ridiculos will have to wait for the final acceptances but it doesn't look good.

http://www.qtc.org/zone_files/Field...broke_order.pdf

At the moment he is sitting 29th overall and with Enthusiast and Sir Breakfast winning and gaining entry makes it even harder for him to get there now glad I didn't back him earlier anyway.

It looks like Bold Matador will not be running so that opens up one more spot it will come down to whether horses like Patpong, Hidden Dragon, Star Shiraz, Forum Floozie, Legally Bay, Osca Warrior, Amtrak and Infinite Grace run I would lean to most if not all of them not running.

I think the field will look roughly like this

1. Wager
2. Show Biz Kid
3. Enthusiast
4. Sir Breakfast
5. Our Egyptian Raine
6. Shamekha
7. Dance Hero
8. Winning Belle
9. Yell
10. Patezza
11. Ballet Society
12. Sky Cuddle
13. Sedecrem
14. Takeover Target
15. Patpong
16. Consular
17. Our Sweet Moss
18. St. Basil
19. With My
20. Tui Song
21. Mardi Gras
22. Royal Mask
23. Proudly Agro
24. Recapitalise

That is roughly what I think will possibly accept the one that could be in that I don't have in there is Legally Bay from what I have read though it will be a last minute decision for both it and Tui Song.

On another note just saw that Douglas Whyte will be here to ride Royal Ninja in the derby on saturday that is a big coup for brisbane to get such a world class jockey to the carnival especially with the top jockeys who are suspended be interesting to see if Whyte gets a ride in the Stradbroke.

fantastic field Raw...

if Takeover target draws a barrier he'll be short i...i dont think it matters to much with Patezza as he gets so far back,,
i wasnt totally convinced about Takeover targets efforts of late..i know he drops weight and all but was expecting more...i'm probably going to risk him in this..

i like horses in this that can run a strong mile...i'm really having a close look at Winning Belle ....she runs so well fresh..and stepped up a cog last prep..had enough by Doncaster time but now with the break,,,maybe..
Consular is another i like,,,huge run last start and was unlucky not to win this last year..

Sky cuddle is right in this if it rains and the forcast is for rain this week,,

will be studying the videos this week,,

Sky Cuddle is 51/1 ...might have a dip and pray for rain..

19856 * PATEZZA $5.00
19892 * TAKEOVER TARGET $5.00
19807 * BALLET SOCIETY $7.00
19886 * ST BASIL $8.00
19815 * DANCE HERO $10.00
19877 * SHOW BIZ KID $12.00
19812 * CONSULAR $14.00
19852 * OUR EGYPTIAN RAINE $14.00
19875 * SHAMEKHA $14.00
19902 * WINNING BELLE $16.00
19854 * OUR SWEET MOSS $21.00
19858 * PERFECT PROMISE $21.00
19821 * ENTHUSIAST $31.00
19900 * WAGER $31.00
19873 * SEDECREM $41.00
19878 * SIR BREAKFAST $41.00
19898 * TUI SONG $41.00
19879 * SKY CUDDLE $51.00
19904 * YELL $51.00
19881 * SOLAR ANTIQUITY $61.00
19888 * STAR SHIRAZ $61.00
19845 * MARDI GRAS $71.00
19863 * PROUDLY AGRO $71.00
19817 * DEUXIEME $81.00
19832 * HIDDEN DRAGON $81.00
19864 * RECAPITALIZE $81.00
19903 * WITH MY $81.00
19806 * AU CHOCOLAT $101.00
19824 * FORUM FLOOZIE $101.00
19835 * INFINITE GRACE $101.00
19840 * LEGALLY BAY $101.00
19871 * SASSBEE $101.00
19803 * AMTRAK $151.00

Maverick, the pattern of racing Saturday favoured front runners. I know it's first up over 1400 but Dance Hero must be a chance? My off-the-cuff selection is Takeover Target but if they leave Dance Hero alone? Hmmm. Having said all that, I'll guarantee my method will come up with something else!

I'll be there on Saturday to cheer on whatever carries my cash.

I'll be there for both the Stradbroke and Brisbane Cup days aswell Privateer no idea what I am backing yet I have that many doubles for the 2 races going not sure where to go yet my main ones pretty well lead to Portland Singa winning the cup though.

IMO the forgotten horse in this field is OUR EGYPTIAN RAINE.I know it is something of a perrennial bridesmaid,but it is a class performer and has run a lot of placings against better nags than this lot.At $14 fixed odds I have had a good e/w bet(for me anyway).

Tenacious,,,i'll be risking Ballet Society...i think this race will have to much pressure for her..i wasnt totally convinced of her last win..River to the Sea should of probably won and if he starts in this hes a 100/1 shot..
i know shes classy you just have to look at her record ..but i have to put a line through some of them,,can't back them all i think the last 50m will sort her out..

I agree Angel...OER has a big show..i think shes a 1200m horse that can run a bit longer through sheer class..if she draws a barrier she'll be sitting just off the pace and could win this....i doubt her in the last 50m as well but i'll have her in the multis...the Mr Begg is very confident..

OER is hard to have for a place anyday but she just absolutely refuses to win a race just will not do it I have no idea what the reason is but she has moved up to win so many big races only to seemingly throw in the towel.

AAMI STRADBROKE 1400 M
Of $1020000 Of $1000000 and $20000 trophies. First $680000 and trophies of $15000 to owner $2500 to trainer $2500 to jockey, second $180000, third $80000, fourth $40000, fifth $20000. (GROUP 1). (Weights Raised 1kg.) No allowances for apprentices. Field Limit: 20+4 EM
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
No. Horse Trainer Jockey Barr Wgt Pen
1 YELL John Hawkes S Galloway 2 56
2 DANCE HERO Gai Waterhouse C Munce 18 55
3 OUR EGYPTIAN RAINE (NZ) Grahame Begg H Bowman 17 55
4 PATEZZA Guy Walter D Nikolic 24 55
5 SEDECREM (NZ) Richard Yuill D Whyte 10 55
6 SHAMEKHA Gai Waterhouse D Beadman 4 54.5
7 HIDDEN DRAGON Oliver Koolman L Cassidy 9 54
8 TAKEOVER TARGET Joe Janiak J Ford 23 54
9 CONSULAR Bill Baker D Dunn 11 53.5
10 WINNING BELLE (NZ) Gai Waterhouse D Beasley 14 53.5
11 ST. BASIL (NZ) Bevan Laming M J Cahill 20 53
12 SKY CUDDLE Peter G Moody A Pattillo 15 52.5
13 PERFECT PROMISE (SAF) Grahame Begg S Seamer 13 52
14 PROUDLY AGRO Barry Bowditch G Palmer 8 52
15 ENTHUSIAST John Wallace B El-Issa 1 51.5
16 BALLET SOCIETY (NZ) Pat Hyland Steven King 5 51
17 SHOW BIZ KID Ron Macrae G Boss 21 51
18 WAGER Gai Waterhouse B Shinn (a) 16 50.5
19 WITH MY Bruce McLachlan M Rice 6 50.5
20 OUR SWEET MOSS Gerald Ryan T Treichel 7 49.5
21E DEUXIEME Bryan Guy 19 51
22E RIVER TO THE SEA Diane Poidevin-Laine 3 50.5
23E SHABLEC Richard Jolly 22 50.5
24E DOONAN Helen Page 12 48.5