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#491
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Quote:
Sorry Sportz I got the horse numbers wrong on race 6 |
#492
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RAND R5
1 STRATUM (69.0) $2.40 9 MNEMOSYNE (67.0) $4.20 8 FASHIONS AFIELD (65.5) $5.95 2 DOMESDAY (64.0) $8.50 4 POWER OF DESTINY (57.5) $47.60 -------------------- 3 THE RHINE (56.5) $59.50 RAND R6 4 XCELLENT (74.0) $2.5 2 EREMEIN (72.5) $3.9 1 OUTBACK PRINCE (69.5) $7.9 5 STELLA GRANDE (66.5) $21.1 8 KING JOHNY (66.0) $25.3 -------------------- 3 JYMCAREW (65.5) $28.1 |
#493
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Race 5
1 stratum 9 mnemosyne 8 fashions afeid 4 power of destiny 2 domesday 5 pendragon race 6 2 eremein 1 outback prince 4 xcellant 5 stella grande 8 king johny 3 jymcarew |
#494
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Race 5:
Stratum Fashions Afield Mnemosyne Domesday Another Time Power of Destiny Race 6: Eremein Xcellent Stella Grande Jymcarew Outback Prince Western Beau |
#495
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When this is all over Sportz, it may pay for you to go back and see the difference between backing your top selection straight out and only when the price is over your estimate. It could be an interesting exercise, as you lead the comp at this point. I realise you changed your actual pricing method along the way, but it could still surprise you.
__________________
RaceCensus - powerful system testing software. Now with over 409,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races! http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html *RaceCensus now updated to 31/10/2024 Video overview of RaceCensus here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg |
#496
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OK here's mine, for the second to last time. Until the next comp of course!
I've put in 6, just in case of a LSCR. As can be seen in Race 6 I have 3 equal fourths, we'll take them as they are on the table there, which is to say, racebook order. Good luck all. RAN 5 2.35 seln price 1 $3.6 STRATUM 8 $5.2 FASHIONS AFIELD 2 $10.7 DOMESDAY 9 $14.9 MNEMOSYNE-NZ 7 $19.8 EL DE LAGO 11 $20.9 ANOTHER TIME RAN 6 3.15 seln mgn price name 2 0.0 $4.1 EREMEIN 1 1.0 $5.8 OUTBACK PRINCE 4 1.0 $5.8 XCELLENT-NZ 3 3.0 $17.8 JYMCAREW 5 3.0 $17.8 STELLA GRANDE 8 3.0 $17.8 KING JOHNY-NZ |
#497
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Race 5
1.Stratum $1.60 8.Fashions Afield $3.50 2.Domesday $17.00 9.Mnemosyne $41.00 3.The Rhine $251.00 Then Power of Destiny, Another Time Race 6 4.Xcellent $1.40 2.Eremein $6.00 5.Stella Grande $21.00 1.Outback Prince $61.00 6.Western Beau $101.00 Then Jymcarew, King Johny, Sly Dog Still having trouble finding a way to compress the prices to make them realistic. The Mug, do we assume it's *2.Domesday 3rd* and *3.The Rhine 5th*? |
#498
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Gday all
here are mine 5 RANDWICK Inglis Sires's Produce Stks (Gr 1) 2yo Group I 8 Fashions Afield (11) 1 Stratum (6) 3 The Rhine (12) 6 Johnny (2) 2 Domesday (8) 6 RANDWICK David Jones A.J.C Aust Derby (Gr 1) 3yo Group I 4 Xcellent (NZ) (10) 2 Eremein (3) 5 Stella Grande (4) 3 Jymcarew (11) 11 Railings (9) |
#499
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RANDWICK 5
1 Stratum $ 2.25 9 Mnemosyne $ 3.50 8 Fashions Afield $ 4.75 2 Domesday $ 11.00 11Another Time $ 15.00 RANDWICK 6 3 JYMCAREW $ 2.75 4 XCELLENT $ 3.00 10 Sly Dog $ 16.25 2 EREMEIN $ 3.75 1 OUTBACK PRINCE $ 9.00 Last edited by kiwi : 26th March 2005 at 12:40 PM. |
#500
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Quote:
Heavyweight, I assume you are adding up the rated points and then dividing each horse's points by the total to get a percentage and then a price. Try this: Instead of for example having one horse at 100 and the next at 98 and so on, start from the bottom, the horse with the least points. Now calculate the difference between scores rather than the scores. Example: 1.Stratum 100 8.Fashions Afield 98 2.Domesday 95 9.Mnemosyne 94 3.The Rhine 88 Do this: 1.Stratum 12 8.Fashions Afield 10 2.Domesday 7 9.Mnemosyne 6 3.The Rhine 1 So your prices will be compressed better. This would be the result 1.Stratum $3.00 8.Fashions Afield $3.60 2.Domesday $5.14 9.Mnemosyne $6.00 3.The Rhine $36.00 I've only used hypothetical figures, and not the whole field, but you get the general idea. If your figures are stil a little off, you can add a small bonus to the top scores, like top ranked x 1.5, 2nd top ranked X 1.4 etc. Play around with it until you get something that resembles a TAB market.
__________________
RaceCensus - powerful system testing software. Now with over 409,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races! http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html *RaceCensus now updated to 31/10/2024 Video overview of RaceCensus here: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg Last edited by Chrome Prince : 26th March 2005 at 01:03 PM. |
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