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#51
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Has he had more than 1 this prep? How will he go in the Cox Plate after a tough Caulfield Cup ? On what basis could you rate Weekend Hussler as "the best in the country" when he hasn't won a race at 10f or further? Best sprinter/miler YES...but we're stepping out of that realm and into stayer territory. Having to give Zagreb and Guillotine 5kgs + over 12f will give him the opportunity to become a straight out champion but I'll be taking him on. |
#52
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Obviously Lloyd Williams wants a Cox Plate after a decade of cerise nightmares. He did say a few weeks ago that Zipping couldn't beat Weekend Hussler at the weights in the Caulfield Cup but that was before W.H was beaten last start. Strange that the extra 400m would suit Zipping more than W.Hussler and Zipping will give Hussler weight in the Cox Plate, unlike the Caulfield Cup where Zipping would have carrier 1.5kgs less than W.H !!! Thought he would have had a re-think. Maybe the combination of a fast tempo and a liking for the Moonee Valley circuit is what swayed Williams to by-pass the CC and focus solely on the CP....especially as Weekend Hussler will be disadvantaged by the seven day backup....or even be withdrawn if he fails miserably. Finally, I was hoping Maldivian drew a barrier as I had no doubt that he would run a huge race in the CC (especially with no pace) but he's drawn dreadfully. I'll still have something each way because he's a class horse and he's runs haven't been all that bad at WFA but the work he has to do at the start of the race could tell over the last furlong. MY SELECTIONS (dead track or better) ZAGREB (with blinkers) GUILLOTINE MALDIVIAN NOM DU JEU Last edited by Skytrain : 15th October 2008 at 02:16 PM. |
#53
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No champion yet but WH is easily the best horse in the country based on earnings and the group races won up until now. How the horse will go in the Cups and the Cox plate is unknown. I think WH should have been set for the Cox only, not the cups. Asking a bit much I think. |
#54
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Two years ago Efficient was in the middle of his very first preparation which saw him finish with five wins from six starts. Included in those wins were the G2 Moonee Valley Vase 2040m and a devestating victory in the G1 VRC Derby. 12 months later he was just as impressive taking out the Melbourne Cup. While his winning ratio took a hit during that 12 month period there's no doubt that connections were willing to sacrifice that statistic for the greater good. Go through the history books and you'll find that it takes a special horse to win both a Derby and a Melbourne Cup and that's exactly what Efficient is....a special horse. Weekend Hussler has dominated the G1 races he has contested from 1100m to 1800m but just as Efficient struggles over the shorter trips I believe you'll see Weekend Hussler struggle over the staying trips. In W.H's favour is the number of G1 events over suitable distances which gives the impression that he is a superior racehorse. The simple fact is that no other major racing country in the world has a racing program where stayers are left in the cold. A good example is Melbourne's Autumn carnival where you have four G1 sprints over a five week period....it's insane !!! Meanwhile races like the Brisbane Cup are downgraded and the first leg of the Sydney 3yr old Triple Crown (Canterbury Guineas, now Randwick Guineas) is shortend from 1900m to 1600m. It should be noted that the Randwick Guineas was one of the G1's Weekend Hussler added to his CV. When you look at Australasia's great thoroughbred champions you don't start at Manikato or Schillaci. Sure they were great speed machines and our champion sprinter/milers have a huge part to play in Australian racing but it's when the thoroughbred steps up to 2000m + that their ability is truely put to the test. Tulloch, Phar Lap, Wakeful, The Barb, Carbine and more recently Octagonal, Sunline, Lonhro, Northerly and Makybe Diva all had the speed to win over the mile while possessing enough stamina to capture G1 events from 2000m up to 4800m. Wakeful, the greatest mare ever to race anywhere in the world won the Oakleigh Plate/ Newmarket Handicap double (both over 1200m at the time) then followed it up by winning another 23 stakes races including three over 4800m! What's this got to do with Weekend Hussler ? Plenty. As a gelding Weekend Hussler's connections have plenty of time to amass a similar record if he is good enough but until he wins a G1 over 2000m or further he can never stand among the great champions of the past, especially in an era where our quality stayers are few and far between. Efficient is one of those rarities and his two G1's could be seen just as valuable as Weekend Husslers seven. As for being set for the Cox Plate alone....I totally agree. I think connections got caught up in the hype. To have the horse run over 12f for the first time in a Caulfield Cup is insane. He won't win. ZAGREB GUILLOTINE MALDIVIAN NOM DU JEU and I'll add RED RULER although I can't get help but think the No.1 barrier will see the big horse struggle for the room he needs. If the MRC don't flood the track he's a great each way hope.... although I've heard that regardless of the weather we'll get a track that rates dead/slow for the first race of the day. THE END. Last edited by Skytrain : 16th October 2008 at 02:49 PM. |
#55
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![]() G'day Skytrain,
With all due respect to your comments I think that due to current economics and mind-thoughts the era/future of champion aussie stayers is very limited and may be in decline. If a trainer has one of potential then in this day and age he can chase those big money events all over the globe if he/she chooses. While I lament the demise of the stayers' ranks in Oz we now have some of the best sprinter/milers in the world as borne out with our antipodean "raiders" which have plundered the best races in the northern hemisphere in recent years. I can't see this changing in the immediate future so with the influx of international "raiders" for our carnival it reinforces the fact that racing today is truly international and everyone is much better off for this(imo). Cheers. |
#56
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It's in the balance, ain't it. On one hand you have the influence of studs like Arrowfield that would be happy if every G1 race was from 1000m to 1600. On the other hand you've those like Darley Stud that won't be sending 100 female quarter horses to Lonhro or Octagonal. You know there's a problem when there's greater prize money for a 2yr old sprint than the AJC Derby. Quote:
Name the five biggest races in the world: Prix de L'Arc de Triomphe 12f Kentucky Derby 12f Japan Cup 12f Melbourne Cup 16f Dubai World Cup 10f When was the last time we won one of the above? It's all well and good to go over to Royal Ascot and win the King Stand Stakes but until last year the race wasn't even worthy of G1 status. As for having the best sprinter/milers in the world, that's debatable as the US have some awesome dirt sprinters. Because we have an obsession with 2yr olds many of them don't cut it once they're fully matured. Things were looking good a few years ago when we had Sunline, Lonhro, Tie The Knot, Shogun Lodge, Northerly, Defier, Fields Of Omagh, Mummify, Elvstroem, Grand Armee.....then they all disappeared and all that was left was Makybe Diva who was declared a legend after beating some of the weakest opposition in living history. Is history repeating with Weekend Hussler ? |
#57
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![]() We'll just have to wait and see what happens in the upcoming weeks.
However, why do you think the overseas "raiders" venture "downunder?" It is because they perceive the prospect of relatively "easy pickings" against what we have to offer. I see nothing wrong with that because the kiwi stayers dominated our staying races for decades...and to some extent continue to do so. It makes for competitive international racing and our local scene is much the better for it. Cheers. |
#58
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![]() I for one don't give Weekend Hussler a hope in aaaa of winning this race on the weekend and I reckon i'll go as far as saying he won't run a place either, His stamina is nowhere near what most of the stayers are in this field but outside of that as has been pointed out his type of horse doesn't win these tough grueling staying test, He is a sit sprint miler who can probably get the 2000 in a slowly run WFA event.
it is a completely different story in the handicaps and almost always in ones of this magnitude there is almost always pressure galore in these races with stamina making a massive difference over the concluding stages of the race when the dash is gone. I am a big fan of the kiwis in this race and alot of people say that they haven't done anything here in melbourne for so long but they haven't had the talent they have bought out here this year either. |
#59
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![]() Maybe they poured a heap of work into him before his last start which left him wanting at the end, all in preparation for him to run out the 2400m? Just a thought. Althought the last 150m didn't look convincing for me to have a go at him in the CC. Great thing about people and in particular punters is the different presepctives people have. This thread has been fantastic for debate and have really enjoyed - in the most part - the reasonabilty in the posts, thankfully the cheapshots have been absent, thanks Skytrain et al.
I have had a little go at Mad Rush, barrier and first look at track against him, but at $25 he's worth a look IMHO. Good luck Lads.
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Stix .......Giddy Up..... !! |
#60
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![]() I like Mad Rush too Stix. With Oliver on board, even from barrier 17 he can't be ignored. Zagreb is my other fancy over Master O'Reilly [big weight rise].
Interestingly, WH gets a tongue tie tomorrow so maybe apart from a poor steering effort last start, WH might have got his tongue over the bit partly blocking breathing. Can't see a win though with 57kg and a bad barrier. In doubt for the Melbourne Cup because it might take the stuffing out of the horse for next year. I think WH's staying capacity is too early to call all things considered. |
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