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  #1  
Old 1st November 2008, 09:07 AM
Percentum Percentum is offline
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Location: Newcastle
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Default Top 5 & Second Stringers

Following are my top 5 selections for Saturday 1 November 2008 and my next 4 for the same:

TOP 5
AWAPUNI
R5 no8 TURFSTAR
R6 no 10 BALLY HEIGHTS
R10 no 1 VALHALLA
FLEMINGTON
R3 no 8 MOATIZE
R9 no 8 HOT DANISH


SECOND STRINGERS
AWAPUNI
R4 no 4 SKI
R8 no 6 HAPPY VICTORY
TE AWAMUTU
R5 no 3 MR COOL
R6 no 6 BLACKHALL
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  #2  
Old 2nd November 2008, 09:21 AM
Percentum Percentum is offline
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Default Results Saturday 1 November 2008

Top 5 (all up parlay IASbet prices)
Win: Outlay = $31 Return = $91.94
Place: Outlay = $31 Return = $299.85

Second Stringers
Win Outlay = $15 Return = $30.20
Place Outlay = $15 Return = $7.36
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  #3  
Old 4th November 2008, 10:53 AM
Percentum Percentum is offline
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Default Top 5 for Tuesday 4 November 2008

FLEMINGTON
R7 no 5 NOM DU JEU

TRENTHAM
R8 no 10 KUDDAM
R10 no7 SPARTANICUS

ELLERSLIE
R3 no 8 GEEZA
R10 no 10 KILIFI
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  #4  
Old 5th November 2008, 07:46 AM
Percentum Percentum is offline
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Default Results Tuesday 4 November 2008

Top 5 (All Up IASBET)
Win Bets
Outlay = $31
Return = $0

Place Bets
Outlay = $31
Return = $30.60

Progressive
Win
Outlay = $62
Reurn = $91.94

Place
Outlay = $62
Return = $330.45
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  #5  
Old 6th November 2008, 09:56 AM
Percentum Percentum is offline
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Default Top 5 & Second Stringers Thursday 6 November 2008

Top 5
FLEMINGTON
R1 no 1 ZIPANESE
R2 no6 RAEBURN
R6 no5 MISS SCARLATTI
R9 no 2 ROCKPECKER
HAWKESBURY
R8 no 5 ALVERTA


SECOND STRINGERS
HAWKESBURY
R9 no 7 TYRONE PRINCE
FLEMINGTON
R4 no 16 BELLE SOCIETY
R5 no 10 BANKSDALE
R8 no 2 GRAND DUELS
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  #6  
Old 7th November 2008, 01:34 PM
Percentum Percentum is offline
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Default Results OAKS Day 2008

(IASBET prices for all up parlays)
TOP 5
Outlay: $31 win and $31 place
Return = $4.30 win and $32.81 place

Progressive:
WIN OUTLAY $93
RETURN = $96.24
PLACE OUTLAY = $93
RETURN = $363.25

SECOND STRINGERS
OUTLAY = $15 win and place
RETURN = $0

Progressive:
Outlay win and place = $30
Win Return = $30.20
Place = $7.36
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  #7  
Old 16th November 2008, 11:04 AM
Percentum Percentum is offline
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Default Percentum's Top 5 Sunday 16 November 2008

Think I'll have a go today after a week in hospital getting a knee replacement. For those of you who think it's like changing racing plates, think again. Anyway, enough of this racing metaphor stuff. They are:


NEWCASTLE
R7 no 12 CONVENT HILL
BUNBURY
R7 no 8 UNDERTAKE DANE
R8 no 1 DANGEROUS DANE
HOBART
R7 no 11 ESPRIT OF EVE
R9 no 7 HEARTBREAK KID
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  #8  
Old 17th November 2008, 01:37 AM
partypooper partypooper is offline
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Default

Percentum, once again 1 unit EW level stakes produces an acceptable profit. Just as a matter of interest have you ever run the excercise of calculating the total amount staked over a period of time divided by the number of selections to arrive at an average stake per selection, and then see what the POT would have been had you placed this amount on each selection???? you see what I'm getting at?
Just food for thought, it took me 30+ years to get there!

PS. I could do with a Knee, back, elbow, foot and hip replacement, and I wouldn't mind swapping this gut for a flat one, and maybe adding a few inches somewhere else! hee hee!

Last edited by partypooper : 17th November 2008 at 01:40 AM.
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  #9  
Old 17th November 2008, 11:02 AM
Percentum Percentum is offline
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Default Update Sunday 16 November 2008

Quote:
Originally Posted by partypooper
Percentum, once again 1 unit EW level stakes produces an acceptable profit. Just as a matter of interest have you ever run the excercise of calculating the total amount staked over a period of time divided by the number of selections to arrive at an average stake per selection, and then see what the POT would have been had you placed this amount on each selection???? you see what I'm getting at?
Just food for thought, it took me 30+ years to get there!

PS. I could do with a Knee, back, elbow, foot and hip replacement, and I wouldn't mind swapping this gut for a flat one, and maybe adding a few inches somewhere else! hee hee!


Partypooper, I actually haven't done any research tweaking these about and I have reached a stage in life where laziness is appealing. One thing I know I have to do is eliminate horses with just one start to their names as selections. Because they show up in my selection process I've been putting them in but, clearly, this is flawed. Before I started posting these I had a good 40/1 winner called Skirmish in one such bet (4 legs only, 2 won and all placed so return was really good). It had only had 3 starts and I think I might make this my minimum starts cut off point from now on. I think I'll curb my enthusiasm and stick to Saturdays and, perhaps, some cup meetings midweek like the approaching Ballarat Cup. The NZers who show up in my selections have excellent strength and depth in their form and will probably be the mainstays of the successes I have (if any) so I like there to be an accompanying NZ meeting.

As for the spare parts. The getting I don't mind. The process is a bit of a worry though. I thought it'd be a simple pinfiring, out in the paddock to freshen up and then Bob's your uncle. Rehab exercises are painful and I keep finding diversions to avoid them.

Sunday's Results

OUTLAY: $31 W & P
RETURN $7.95 W and $8.64 P
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  #10  
Old 18th November 2008, 03:03 AM
partypooper partypooper is offline
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Percentum, I'm really sorry that you see it as *lazyness* I found the revelation as the opposite, i.e I tried every which way to show a better profit than level stakes, but everytime I applied the formula that I described in my last post (HONESTLY) level stakes won out every time!!

Most simply won't admit it, if I'm wrong on this occasion then I humbly accept defeat!
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