No Conduit Mare stuff this year I used to get them from pedigreequery but my membership has lapsed and they don't mention conduit mares anywhere nor have them appear on the example chart anymore, so didn't bother renewing. I tried to do a couple manually but too many mares were missing.

So to replace the "magic 17" number, I present: each runner's Physical biorhythm percentage. The higher the number the better. It's supposed to be for humans, but why not 'not work' for all species?

HORSE	DOB	PHYS%	SIRE	DAM	DOSAGE PROFILE	INDEX	CD
TWILIGHT PAYMENT	06-May-2013	-73%	TEOFILO	DREAM ON BUDDY	1-4-15-6-0	0.93	0
INCENTIVISE	22-Oct-2016	-73%	SHAMUS AWARD	MISS ARGYLE	9-7-7-2-1	3	0.81
SPANISH MISSION	06-Apr-2016	-14%	NOBLE MISSION	LIMONAR	4-3-22-7-0	1	0.11
VERRY ELLEEGANT	12-Oct-2015	98%	ZED	OPULENCE	1-7-19-1-4	1.21	0
EXPLOSIVE JACK	09-Nov-2017	98%	JAKKALBERRY	EXTRA EXPLOSIVE	1-4-4-1-0	2.33	0.5
THE CHOSEN ONE	30-Sep-2015	-100%	SAVABEEL	THE GLITZY ONE	6-15-19-2-4	1.97	0.37
DELPHI	31-Jan-2017	14%	GALILEO	BYE BYE BIRDIE	4-1-17-14-0	0.6	-0.14
OCEAN BILLY	05-Oct-2015	-14%	OCEAN PARK	COOL STORM	1-13-11-1-2	2.29	0.36
SELINO	05-May-2016	100%	CHAMPS ELYSEES	AIR KISS	1-15-17-1-0	2.58	0.47
JOHNNY GET ANGRY	09-Nov-2017	98%	TAVISTOCK	LUMINOVA	2-6-20-8-4	0.82	-0.15
KNIGHTS ORDER	05-May-2015	89%	SO YOU THINK	LAMANKA LASS	6-6-21-9-0	1.15	0.21
PERSAN	22-Sep-2016	89%	PIERRO	OFCOURSEICAN	7-15-3-2-1	5.22	0.89
CARIF	13-Sep-2015	14%	SO YOU THINK	NORZITA	2-13-19-6-0	1.58	0.28
MASTER OF WINE	13-Apr-2015	73%	MAXIOS	MAGMA	4-0-16-8-0	0.75	0
PONDUS	08-Feb-2016	27%	SEA THE MOON	DIABLERETTE	1-3-13-3-2	0.91	-0.09
GRAND PROMENADE	01-Mar-2016	52%	CHAMPS ELYSEES	ZACCHERA	3-8-13-0-0	2.69	0.58
MIAMI BOUND	07-Nov-2016	89%	RELIABLE MAN	ARAPAHO MISS	2-11-10-6-1	1.5	0.23
PORT GUILLAUME	29-Mar-2017	0%	LE HAVRE	KEIRA	2-1-3-2-0	1.29	0.38
SHE'S IDEEL	05-Oct-2015	-14%	DUNDEEL	ANA'S MAIL	8-4-26-4-2	1.32	0.27
FUTURE SCORE	28-Apr-2015	14%	CAPE CROSS	THEOLA	1-7-23-1-0	1.56	0.25
TRALEE ROSE	13-Oct-2016	100%	TAVISTOCK	STAR OF TRALEE	2-5-24-9-4	0.76	-0.18
FLOATING ARTIST	29-Feb-2016	73%	NATHANIEL	MISS KENTON	2-6-16-6-0	1.14	0.13
GREAT HOUSE	28-Dec-2016	-27%	GALILEO	ANJA	4-15-17-12-0	1.34	0.23
SIR LUCAN	24-Feb-2018	-40%	CAMELOT	SPARROW	3-2-15-10-0	0.71	-0.07

Obviously the biorhythm figure is pseudoscience - unless it works. And you can say much the same regarding dosage, as well. If you were an adherent though, you'd be looking for:

• From left to right, the "average" 3200m race winner would have a profile like (5-5-15-4-2) (not to say that any one winner looks like that, just that all the individual numbers average out to those figures)
• Some numbers in the rightmost position would be particularly handy (this indicates that one/some of those ancestors tended to pass on long distance prowess; though that wouldn't help much if turns into a sit and sprint)
• An index of around 1.94
• A CD of around 0.22

Taking all that nonsense into account, along with form, weight swings and the number I first thought of: Floating Artist looks pretty alright. Bonus: he's on the top rung of "the system", is an Aspro System pick, and has a good barrier draw...

I think I might have a 50c E/W bet on him. I wager that the bookmaker that has seemingly blocked my IP address will regret their decision now... Wasn't even scraping data from them! What's with that?!

Delphi's odds have come in and would go up a ladder rung. Note, however, that Pondus may extend the ladder higher and become the only one to score a perfect 10 in 'the system'. His odds are currently $26 at Ladbrokes (which I can still look at) but were at $21 briefly.

Both Delphi and Future Score are being examined tomorrow after exhibiting signs of lameness this morning.

Here are my picks:
1st - Floating Artist
2nd - Pondus
3rd - Sir Lucan
4th - Spanish Mission

If I can wrangle a bonus bet I'll probably put it on Incentivise, to give you some idea of the confidence I have in the above! LOL

All of the below is in no particular order.

These are the ones I have as a chance to win:

Incentivise
Floating Artist
Pondus
Spanish Mission
Twighlight Payment
The Chosen One
Grande Promenade
Sir Lucan
Explosive Jack
Delphi
Great House
Trale Rose
Persan

These are the 3 I ended up with after some hard decisions:

Floating Artist
Trale Rose
Incentivise

Evening chaps.

My best 4 as follows:

Great House
Delphi
Tralee Rose
Twightlight Payment

Best of luck !

Cheers LG

PS exceptional analysis as always Walkermac

__________________
The trick isn't finding profitable angles, it's finding ones you will bet through the ups and downs - UB

As always this is the best cup form analysis around, ty Walkermac i will be making my selections based around your good work.

__________________
One Drive

"If the corporates are treating you poorly , just go elsewhere."
"If they need you , they will soon find out."
"If you need them , you will soon find out." --moeee
_______________________________________________

Some people had tipped that Verry Elleegant's lead-up performances weren't those of a horse a little short of her best, but those of horse targeted at The Cup. ...I wasn't one of those people, but well done to them!

Here's the race: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8CJ50vyHHzg

2021 Melbourne Cup Results
VERRY ELLEEGANT (NZ)	1st of 23		$18
INCENTIVISE	2nd of 23	4L	$2.9
SPANISH MISSION (USA)	3rd of 23	4.4L	$10
FLOATING ARTIST (GB)	4th of 23	4.6L	$11
THE CHOSEN ONE (NZ)	5th of 23	10.6L	$31
GRAND PROMENADE (GB)	6th of 23	12.6L	$15
DELPHI (IRE)	7th of 23	13.35L	$19
SELINO (GB)	8th of 23	13.45L	$81
TRALEE ROSE (NZ)	9th of 23	16.7L	$21
DELPHI (IRE)	7th of 23	13.35L	$19
SELINO (GB)	8th of 23	13.45L	$81
TRALEE ROSE (NZ)	9th of 23	16.7L	$21
SHE'S IDEEL	10th of 23	17.2L	$101
TWILIGHT PAYMENT (IRE)	11th of 23	19.45L	$13
MIAMI BOUND (NZ)	12th of 23	21.45L	$151
GREAT HOUSE (IRE)	13th of 23	21.85L	$26
SIR LUCAN (IRE)	14th of 23	21.95L	$26
EXPLOSIVE JACK (NZ)	15th of 23	23.2L	$51
MASTER OF WINE (GER)	16th of 23	24.2L	$91
PONDUS (GB)	17th of 23	24.6L	$21
CARIF	18th of 23	25.35L	$101
KNIGHTS ORDER (IRE)	19th of 23	25.65L	$101
PERSAN	20th of 23	28.9L	$31
PORT GUILLAUME (FR)	21st of 23	33.15L	$101
JOHNNY GET ANGRY (NZ)	22nd of 23	41.15L	$91
OCEAN BILLY (NZ)	23rd of 23	53.15L	$31

My fancy, Floating Artist, was unlucky to miss a place: Incentivise got in his way a few times in the straight. The trifecta was just three of the four topweights: pretty easy to pick! :P