No Horse Trainer Weight

1 MUMMIFY Lee Freedman 56
2 MAKYBE DIVA (GB) Lee Freedman 55.5
3 DELZAO Greg Kavanagh 54
4 DISTINCTION (IRE) Michael Stoute 54
5 ELVSTROEM Tony Vasil 54
6 DISTINCTLY SECRET (NZ) Mark Walker 53.5
7 HUGS DANCER (FR) Tony McEvoy 52.5
8 ROMAN ARCH Mick Whittle 52.5
9 BALMUSE (NZ) Kevin Myers 52
10 DESERT WAR Gai Waterhouse 52 2.5
11 GREY SONG Tom Hughes (Jnr) 52
12 STRASBOURG Bart Cummings 52
13 ZAGALIA (NZ) Clarry Conners 51.5
14 CONFECTIONER Tony McEvoy 51 1.5
15 UPSETTHYM (NZ) Karen Fursdon 51
16 PACIFIC DANCER (NZ) Shaun Dwyer 50.5
17 AIN'T SEEN NOTHIN' Barbara Joseph 50
18 VOUVRAY (NZ) Peter G Moody 50
19 YAKAMA Bevan Laming 50 1.0
20 FREE AT LAST (NZ) Alan Mathews 49.5
21 WINNING BELLE (NZ) Gai Waterhouse 49.5
22 DANE BELLTAR Leon Macdonald 49
23 STAR OF GRETCHEN (NZ) Peter G Moody 49

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Ta me go maith

Tab No. Horse Trainer Jockey Weight

1 MUMMIFY Lee Freedman D Nikolic 56
2 MAKYBE DIVA (GB) Lee Freedman G Boss 55.5
3 DELZAO Greg Kavanagh Steven King 54
4 DISTINCTION (IRE) Michael Stoute D Oliver 54
5 ELVSTROEM Tony Vasil N Rawiller 54
6 DISTINCTLY SECRET (NZ) Mark Walker D Beadman 53.5
7 HUGS DANCER (FR) Tony McEvoy G Childs 52.5
8 ROMAN ARCH Mick Whittle L Nolen 52.5
9 BALMUSE (NZ) Kevin Myers 52
10 DESERT WAR Gai Waterhouse S Seamer 52
11 GREY SONG Tom Hughes (Jnr) D Beasley 52
12 ZAGALIA (NZ) Clarry Conners M J Walker 51.5
13 CONFECTIONER Tony McEvoy R S Dye 51
14 UPSETTHYM (NZ) Karen Fursdon R McLeod 51
15 AIN'T SEEN NOTHIN' Barbara Joseph 50
16 VOUVRAY (NZ) Peter G Moody C Munce 50
17 YAKAMA Bevan Laming 50
18 WINNING BELLE (NZ) Gai Waterhouse S Baster 49.5
19E STRASBOURG Bart Cummings S Baster 52
20E PACIFIC DANCER (NZ) Shaun Dwyer 50.5
21E DANE BELLTAR Leon Macdonald Ms C Lindop 49


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May the luck of the Irish be with you!



[ This Message was edited by: Paddy on 2004-10-12 16:28 ]

Current fixed odds market:

No. Selection Win Place
005 Elvstroem $4.00 $1.75
001 Mummify $6.50 $2.35
013 Confectioner $6.50 $2.35
007 Hugs Dancer $9.00 $3.00
010 Desert War $9.00 $3.00
002 Makybe Diva $11.00 $3.50
004 Distinction $17.00 $5.00
009 Balmuse $17.00 $5.00
016 Vouvray $17.00 $5.00
018 Winning Belle $17.00 $5.00
003 Delzao $21.00 $6.00
012 Zagalia $21.00 $6.00
006 Distinctly Secret $51.00 $13.50
008 Roman Arch $51.00 $13.50
011 Grey Song $51.00 $13.50
014 Upsetthym $51.00 $13.50
019 Strasbourg 1em $51.00 $13.50
020 Pacific Dancer 2em $51.00 $13.50
017 Yakama $67.00 $17.50
015 Ain't Seen Nothin' $101.00 $26.00
021 Dane Belltar 3em $101.00 $26.00




OFFICIAL THREAD TIPPING PAST THIS POINT





[ This Message was edited by: Paddy on 2004-10-14 18:42 ]

5 ELVSTROEM
10 DESERT WAR
1 MUMMIFY
13 CONFECTIONER

10 Desert War
1 Mummify
7 Hugs Dancer
17 Yakama

Any comment why Yakama and Grey Song have such great odds?. Yakama has a good dist record and Grey Sond can always upset the lot. Remember that he did give a great fight to Mummify in last year C.Cup. Might do it again this year.

Looking at Grey Song's overall stats:-
46 Starts for 5 wins.
Dist 11-1:2:2
Track 14-1:5:0

Can see why at current odds, considering top market chances are all in good form.


Yakama is a little better.
37 Starts for 8 wins.
Dist 3-2:0:1
Track 6-1:0:1


I'd focus for a place.

2004 CARLTON DRAUGHT CAULFIELD CUP

Saturday October 16 - 4.05pm

$2,515,000; 2400 metres

1 Mummify Danny Nikolic (8) 56
2 Makybe Diva Glen Boss (20) 55.5
3 Delzao Steven King (9) 54
4 Distinction Damien Oliver (7) 54
5 Elvstroem Nash Rawiller (4) 54
6 Distinctly Secret Darren Beadman (21) 53.5
7 Hugs Dancer Greg Childs (12) 52.5
8 Roman Arch Luke Nolen (19) 52.5
9 Balmuse Corey Brown (2) 52
10 Desert War Scott Seamer (1) 52
11 Grey Song Danny Beasley (13) 52
12 Zagalia Michael Walker (5) 51.5
13 Confectioner Shane Dye (10) 51
14 Upsetthym Rhys McLeod (17) 51
15 Ain’t Seen Nothin’ Blake Shinn (6) 50
16 Vouvray Chris Munce (14) 50
17 Yakama Mark Zahra (16) 50
18 Winning Belle Stephen Baster (11) 49.5

EMERGENCIES:

19 Strasbourg ---- (15) 52
20 Pacific Dancer ---- (18) 50.5
21 Dane Belltar Clare Lindop (3) 49

The more i look at this race the more i am leaning towards Balmuse, he won in devastating style last start when he had two kg more then Starcraft, drops a massive 7 kg for this, drawn barrier 2, good chance. Elvstroem will be extremely hard to beat from barrier 4 however, perhaps a quinella.

I like Confectioner which ran very well inTurnbull when lost by 1.75 length to Elvstroem. Now he is getting 1.5Kg better than Elv. Shane Dye should do the job for Tony McEvoy who are in great form. From Barrier 10 is perfect for Conf. Still rate Elv as the main danger and 4 other outsider (Grey Song, Vouvray, Mummify and Hugs Dancer) as the other place getter.

For Balmuse, barrier 2 might be to inside for him as he might get trapped as he is a backmarker.