How come u rate the kangaroos @$11+ to make top4 and $100 to win flag after round 2 then change to under $3 for top4 and $20 to win flag after round 3 .( haven't looked at any other teams yet).I know a weeks a long time in football but...........

Sorry Mo, I didn't know you wanted 'season' ratings. Those are my week to week ratings, not necessarily how I think the teams will end up. I notice you seem to have a sort of formula you're using which is weighting in favour of teams sitting higher on the ladder. That probably doesn't work well with the ratings I've been posting, because they are based to a large degree on current form anyway.

If you want my updated 'season' ratings, it looks more like this:

Port Adel 120
West Coast 117
St Kilda 114
Brisbane 111
Melbourne 111
Geelong 108
Sydney 108
Adelaide 99
Fremantle 99
Carlton 96
Collingwood 96
Essendon 96
Kangaroos 96
Richmond 81
W.Bulldogs 81
Hawthorn 72

For a lot of you early movers on taking St Kilda and teams like Hawthorne and richmond, who bagged my comments about them.
How r they going.

Is Brisbane finished, I don't think so. I said Swans are one of my 3 teams to win and got rubbished.. See how many visiting teams win in Brisbane this year and Ports Derby loss will mean nothing when they win next 3 games.

West coast don't have enough good experienced key forwards or defenders to finish in top 4. Once away from WA, lets see how they go, fell in in ade and haven't done anything spectatcular at home either.

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I have interests in racing and all sports. Especially interested in Barrier Trials and willing to contact fellow punters in all states to set up australia wide database of all trials

There's not necessarily any correlation between the two. Sydney play damn well against Brisbane these days, better than any team except perhaps West Coast. If Jason Ball hadn't missed that shot from straight in front last year, it would have been 3 straight wins for Sydney IN Brisbane.

Because their rating has gone up 6 points and most of the expected high rollers have dropped about 6 points.
Which in mathematics comes up as a 12 point improvement!

What is the point of doing ratings AFTER the horse has bolted?
It's like the punter who wants the 2/1 AFTER the horse has firmed into EVENS. Too late mate!

I think you are confused Rocksteady.
Nothing late about the ratings in any field.After every run you update them.
No good using last years ratings.

Rock,

I adjust the ratings after each week to use on the following week's matches.

For example, last night's match:
Kangaroos rated on 102, Collingwood rated on 90, No home ground advantage bonus, Collingwood head to head bonus of 6 points
Predicted final margin: Kangaroos by 6 points

If I had simply used the same ratings that I had at the start of the season, I would have had Collingwood coming out on top.

St Kilda 23 13 151
Melbourne 15 14 104

That's more like it!

Kangaroos at $1.45 to make eight(-25c)
Port adelaide out to $7.50 to win flag(+$1.50)
Hawthorn $2.50 for spoon(+90c)(18/4/05)