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#1
8th February 2011, 03:33 PM
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Follow 'em to win
The on thing I haven’t seen much discussion on here is picking a horse and following it for several starts.
Logic is that there are so many variables in horse racing to take into account and as mentioned before my list of 100 excuses why a horse didn’t win. So, one or even two failures, or even a failed campaign can be forgiven. A failed campaign you say ?! “A failed campaign !!” You’ll find the trainer will usually pull the pin after a couple of runs if nothing seems to be going right. So how do we pick a horse that will win ? Barnys’ rules 1) Look for a NZ’der with ability. These ************s have been coming over here for years with OK sort of horses that seem to beat our good ‘uns. They’re not bringing them over for no reason. Give a proven performer a couple of runs. 2) Look for a lightly raced horse, potentially good, racing in 3) Watch for those interstate neddies (not 4) Black book any horse that breaks a track record, regardless where it is. It’s obviously got ability. 5) Keep your eyes peeled for a lightly raced horse with an excuse for a really bad run (failed due to track conditions etc). Black book it. 6) Try this ‘un. A lightly raced horse on the bottom weight with good form, provided there are only a couple on the minimum, with a huge pull in weights over the top weight. Worth a couple of runs that ‘un. 7) A horse that’s had between 10 and 15 runs who’s second up from a spell after a Barry Crocker first up. Again with decent form prior to a spell. 8) When JB Cummings has an interest in one. The above is based on the premise that there’s a lot of luck involved in racing, and even the trainers and jockeys don’t always know when one is going to win, but they do know when they’ve got a good ‘un. Some fantastic odds are frequently available because of an ordinary, and unexplained run, only to find it's true potential realised in the next start or two. "Geez ..... you could have easily had that on it's run a few starts back?!" I’ll release another of my 100 reasons why a horse didn’t win. “Shied at the crossing” ….. and that to “Some horses just don’t try when it’s windy” I’d love some more suggestions as to how to pick a horse to back for a few runs please. 
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