Results:

28/09/2005 Mildura5 Charlie Magee unplaced
28/09/2005 Mildura6 Ricks Revenge 1st $1.70 $1.20
28/09/2005 Mildura7 Cosmic Legacy 1st $1.40 $1.04
28/09/2005 Mildura9 Lelepa 2nd $1.40

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Great work Oaksnaf.

Perhaps revisit that statistical breakdown next month and more patterns may emerge.

There's a lot to be gained from harness racing, as the analysis has not been done as intensely as horseracing in general, so there are quite a few unknowns to the masses that we can exploit.

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Chrome etc, I agree in principle, but I think that a decent bet would corrupt the divis to an unacceptable extent almost in every case.

am i missing something? chrome prince follows with a 'great work' comment i see for $4 total outlay ($1 win each) get back $3.10?? a loss in anyones lingo!

Chrome is refering to this:



Its a pre-race odd breakdown that showed me some decent results.

Tonight at Shep there are two bets:

Race 3) #3 ($1.04) obviously fav
Race 5) #1 Alberts Bird ($4) not favourite

Ill do some more breakdowns and see what i can come up with, but so far so good.

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Agreed Partypooper, I usually have $100 eachway and the divvies stand up o.k., but if I wanted to "go the hog" I'd be spreading the bets around and going on course.

Betting very early is the key, that way the dividends level out, rather than everyone following 'a move'.

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Hmm i cant seem to back track a particular harness runners form to the beginning of his career. Because all i wanted was to see what was their last class win, and by what marjin. If anyone knows where to get that info, would be appreciated.

Basically a nice outline, of going up or down or staying in the same class as last start would help me a lot to come to a more informed conclusion of why particular runners win in the same system.

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Another little interesting factor:

w/races p/races
31 37
w/wins p/wins
14 11
w/% p/%
45.16129032 29.72972973
Total divi Total Divi
36.2 34.2
Ave Tote Ave tote
2.585714286 3.109090909


The w = has won past 2 races
The p = has placed then won.

As all selections has won last start.

So basically, less selections, more winners, lower average winner, but more profit for the selections that have won their past two starts.

Hmm interesting.

AND!

Places/Favourite

Races 19:
Winners: 10
Return: 23.50

Win/Fav
Race: 22
Winners: 11
Return: $24

So favourites are the way to go:

Places/ non fav
Races: 18
Winners: 1
Return: 5.40

Wins/ non fav
Races: 9
Winners: 3
Return: 16.60

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Today's bets:

Yarra Valley:
Race 7) #9

Harold Park:
Race 1) #8
Race 3) #9
Race 4) #3
Race 7) #9
Race 8) #11

Of the selected bets, Yarra Valley Race 7) #9 and Harold Park race 7) #9 seem the bets bets.

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Race 3) #3 1st $1.04, $1.00
Race 5) #1 2nd

I forgot to add Mooney Valley races tonight:

race 2) #8
race 3) #8
race 4) #9
race 6) #6
Race 7) #13
Race 8) #6

Best selection Race 7) #13
going on results statistics

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