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  #1  
Old 5th January 2006, 02:20 PM
wesmip1 wesmip1 is offline
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Question Dapto Dogs tonight

Anyone got any tips for tonight at Dapto ?

I'll be heading down for a bit of fun. The track looks like it will be wet.

So far I have the following :

Race 1 : Open affair. Hard to pick a dog and will porbbaly end up taking Box 6.
Race 2 : Easy race between Box 1 and 4. Leaning towards Box 1.
Race 3 : Easy race between Box 4 and 5. Leaning towards Box 4.
Race 4 : Open affair. Hard to pick and I will probably go with Box 6 or 1.
Race 5 : Fairly open but Box 7 and 1 should be the better dogs. Leaning towards Box 1.
Race 6 : Easy race between box 1 and 3. I will be taking Box 1.
Race 7 : Easy race . Only Number 3 is a contender.
Race 8 : Easy race between Boxes 1 and 3. I am leaning towards box 3.
Race 9 : Open affair. I will probably take Box 1 or Box 7.
Race 10 : Easy race. I will be taking Box 5.

Any thoughts on these selections ?

Good Luck.
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  #2  
Old 5th January 2006, 04:26 PM
moeee moeee is offline
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I pick s h i t so I suggest goodluck tonight.
I wonder why you like Dapto.Maybe Albion Park better quality dogs is better.
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  #3  
Old 5th January 2006, 04:36 PM
wesmip1 wesmip1 is offline
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Talking

I like Dapto cause its just down the road ..... well a 15min drive....
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  #4  
Old 5th January 2006, 05:12 PM
moeee moeee is offline
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Bendigo and Sandown Specials

Those who are familiar with my tipping prowess know which ones not to back.
But for all the newbies,hold on to your hats!

This latest endeavour is to find the certanties and hope that they pay okay.
The problem is like Papyrus found out,you need a very high strike rate,something I certainly have yet to even believe possible.

Bendigo Race 10
No.8 EMANDEE for $25

Sandown Race 2
No.7 Proven Lucky for $15

Sandown Race 4
No.4 Bridge of Hope for $40

Thats $80 more down the drain.
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  #5  
Old 5th January 2006, 05:31 PM
wesmip1 wesmip1 is offline
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Moeee,

What are you using to define a near certainity ? Is it speed out of the box, overall time stats, box draw, etc ?

Good luck
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  #6  
Old 6th January 2006, 02:58 PM
moeee moeee is offline
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Don't worry about that then.
But It was supposed to be that a dog was much classier than it's opposition.
Wesnip1.
Are you still playing with Kennedy91210 system?
He gone very quiet lately.
Maybe he worked something very good.
I gonna play with his system and any success is all due to his efforts.
Thank you Kennedy91210.
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  #7  
Old 6th January 2006, 04:50 PM
wesmip1 wesmip1 is offline
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Moeee,

Yes I do play with his system with some minor tweaking.
I usually play Any2's with it and hit some nice returns.

Good luck with it.
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  #8  
Old 6th January 2006, 04:56 PM
wesmip1 wesmip1 is offline
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Moeee,

Here is a strategy I use that throws some good winners. Look at the realdogs or hotdogs rating of the dogs. Also check out the tipsters pick for each race.
Find races where they mostly disagree on who will win. This gives you a race where the odds might be some value. Just before the race run the dogs through the system and if one dog shows a good chance of winning and is paying morethan $4.00 back the dog. A good chance of winning would be calculated odds of less than $2.50.

Good Luck with it.
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  #9  
Old 6th January 2006, 11:16 PM
wesmip1 wesmip1 is offline
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Moeee,

I have been working on a high strike rate system which I am still testing using kennedys system.

So far this year it has thrown 33 bets and has had 24 winners(Strike rate of 72%) , 3 seconds and a third. It is still early days though.

The POT is approx 16%.

I'll let you know how it goes after a few more weeks testing.

Good Luck.
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  #10  
Old 9th January 2006, 07:13 PM
Percentum Percentum is offline
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A system I tried for a while but then found it hard to get the form guides for all of the meetings. It is very simple:

1. Qualifiers are taken for an all-up place bet.
2. Selection is any dog with 4 or more starts and is the only dog in the race with a 70% or better strike rate.

That's it.
It went ok for the short time I did it but I'm not really a dogs man or a big punter so I got sick of going to the greyhound and pet supply place to buy the form guides for the sake of a $10 all up bet. A lot of the time there was no qualifier at a meeting as well.

Looking at the divs on dog races I've tried backing all those paying $10 or more for the win with about 15 seconds to go. Usually there were 3 or 4 per race meaning a target return of about $40 per meeting. Look at the dividends on any given night and see how many $10+ dogs there are. The trouble is the huge fluctuations even with 15 seconds to go. I think it's got a bit of promise but only for the $1 punter and you have to ask yourself,'Is it healthy for me to be cooped up in a room by myself listening to the Gulargambone (etc) dogs for hours every evening?'
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