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  #1  
Old 14th March 2007, 10:59 PM
AngryPixie AngryPixie is offline
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Posts: 1,070
Default Beat the Donkey

Hi

I've revised some of the "rules" from the previous thread "The Daily Donkey", and have included the selections I would have posted over the weekend. Take these with however big a grain of salt you wish Basically I'm now laying all selections.

I'm attempting to take a subset of the lay selections from the Daily Donkey website (w w w dot dailydonkey dot com), with the objective of returning a greater strike rate, and POT. I'll keep this going till the end of this month, and will try to post weekend selections.

I'll be using the Racing Index (w w w dot racing-index dot com) as the source of results.

Here's our selections and results to date:

20070306-0130 Newcastle - Neptune Joly ... LOST +1.00
20070306-0130 Newcastle - Flake ... WON -4.50
20070306-0200 Newcastle - Green Ideal ... LOST +1.00
20070306-0230 Newcastle - Alfabet Souk ... LOST +1.00
20070306-0330 Newcastle - Crackadee ... LOST +1.00
20070307-0210 Fontwell - Court Alliance ... LOST +1.00
20070307-0255 Catterick - Ask Bobby ... LOST +1.00
20070307-0315 Fontwell - Travelling Light ... LOST + 1.00
20070307-0315 Fontwell - Herecomestanley ... LOST +1.00
20070307-0325 Catterick - Truly Fruitful ... LOST +1.00
20070307-0345 Fontwell - Ouragan Lagrange ... LOST +1.00
20070308-0240 Wincanton - Wotashambles ... LOST +1.00
20070308-0315 Wincanton - Trading Up ... LOST +1.00
20070308-0425 Wincanton - Le Rochelais ... LOST +1.00
20070309-0100 Ayr - Wensley Blue ... LOST +1.00
20070309-0200 Ayr - Strong Resolve ... LOST +1.00
20070309-0235 Ayr - Or De Grugy ... LOST +1.00
20070309-0310 Ayr - Reckless Venture ... LOST +1.00
20070309-0345 Ayr - Something Silver ... WON -3.33
20070309-0420 Ayr - Daffi ... LOST +1.00
20070310-0255 Ayr - Jimmy Bond ... LOST +1.00
20070310-0330 Ayr - Mr Preacher Man ... LOST +1.00
20070310-0355 Sandown - Stan ... LOST +1.00
20070310-0400 Ayr - Almire Du Lia ... LOST +1.00
20070310-0420 Chepstow - Whitford Don ... WON -6.00
20070311-0110 Warwick - Nick's Choice ... LOST +1.00
20070311-0150 Market Rasen - First Feerie ... LOST +1.00
20070311-0220 Market Rasen - Aqua Pura ... LOST +1.00
20070311-0250 Market Rasen - Golden Oak ... LOST +1.00
20070311-0350 Market Rasen - Dance The Mambo ... LOST +1.00
20070311-0420 Market Rasen - Kayceecee ... LOST +1.00
20070312-0210 Taunton - Lady Wilde ... LOST +1.00
20070312-0230 Plumpton - Bright Eagle ... LOST +1.00
20070312-0240 Taunton - Sitting Duck ... LOST +1.00
20070312-0240 Taunton - Orsus ... LOST +1.00
20070312-0330 Plumpton - Malmo Boy ... WON -6.00
20070312-0410 Taunton - Shernatra ... LOST +1.00
20070313-0300 Cheltenham - Little Brick ... LOST +1.00
20070313-0315 Sedgefield - Emerald Destiny ... LOST +1.00
20070313-0315 Sedgefield - Dead Mans Dante ... LOST +1.00
20070313-0340 Cheltenham - Heads Onthe Ground ... WON -2.50
20070313-0340 Cheltenham - Spot Thedifference ... LOST +1.00
20070313-0420 Cheltenham - Gaspara ... WON -4.50

===
RESULTS: March 6th - March 13th

Pixie:
===
Number of Selections: 43
Successful Selections: 37
Strike Rate: 86.04%
Total Profit: +10.17 units
POT: 23.65%

Daily Donkey:
===
Number of Selections: 248
Successful Selections: 182
Strike Rate: 73.39%
Total Profit: +3.41 units
POT: 1.38%
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"It's worth remembering that profit isn't profit until it's spent off the racecourse." -- Crash

Last edited by AngryPixie : 14th March 2007 at 11:01 PM.
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  #2  
Old 14th March 2007, 11:41 PM
AngryPixie AngryPixie is offline
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Arrow Selections: March 14th

Remember these are lays.

Date-Time Course - Name
20070314-0200 Huntingdon - Ballykiln
20070314-0240 Huntingdon - King's Thought
20070314-0240 Huntingdon - Bawn Boy
20070314-0325 Huntingdon - Topless
20070314-0325 Huntingdon - Heart Strings
20070314-0405 Huntingdon - Glimmer Of Light


Good luck
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"It's worth remembering that profit isn't profit until it's spent off the racecourse." -- Crash
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  #3  
Old 15th March 2007, 07:46 AM
Merriguy Merriguy is offline
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Well done

Though some of those picks were a little on the high side!
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  #4  
Old 15th March 2007, 10:54 AM
Chrome Prince Chrome Prince is offline
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Well done AP.

Perhaps we could even look at horses that continually go around at short odds and fail.
That horse Little Brick has been a real money spinner for me
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  #5  
Old 15th March 2007, 11:20 AM
Mark Mark is offline
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Talking

How can you lose with something called Beat the Donkey !!!
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  #6  
Old 15th March 2007, 12:53 PM
stugots stugots is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mark
How can you lose with something called Beat the Donkey !!!



this isnt like 'spanking the monkey' i hope
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  #7  
Old 15th March 2007, 01:14 PM
AngryPixie AngryPixie is offline
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Thumbs up Results: March 14th

A successful night for all. The Donkey's did very well, and we were lucky enough to choose correctly also.

Date-Time Course - Name
20070314-0200 Huntingdon - Ballykiln ... LOST +1.00
20070314-0240 Huntingdon - King's Thought ... LOST +1.00
20070314-0240 Huntingdon - Bawn Boy ... LOST +1.00
20070314-0325 Huntingdon - Topless ... LOST +1.00
20070314-0325 Huntingdon - Heart Strings ... LOST +1.00
20070314-0405 Huntingdon - Glimmer Of Light ... LOST +1.00


===
RESULTS: March 6th - March 14th

Pixie:
===
Number of Selections: 49
Successful Selections: 43
Strike Rate: 87.75%
Total Profit: +16.17 units
POT: 33.00%

Daily Donkey:*
===
Number of Selections: 264
Successful Selections: 198
Strike Rate: 75.00%
Total Profit: +9.50 units
POT: 3.60%


*I'd originally hoped to use the Racing-Index proofing pages to keep track of the Daily Donkey's results. This morning I've noticed some large discrepancy's between the results posted by the Daily Donkey site, and those posted on the Racing-Index site. In a nutshell the Daily Donkey is doing slightly better than the Racing-Index give them credit for. To this end I've created a simple spreadsheet and will record all the results myself using the Racing Post results as a reference. These are those.
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"It's worth remembering that profit isn't profit until it's spent off the racecourse." -- Crash

Last edited by AngryPixie : 15th March 2007 at 01:19 PM.
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  #8  
Old 15th March 2007, 01:39 PM
AngryPixie AngryPixie is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Chrome Prince
Well done AP.

Perhaps we could even look at horses that continually go around at short odds and fail.
That horse Little Brick has been a real money spinner for me


Chrome

I'm not that familiar with UK racing but have noticed how quickly some horses back-up. Sometimes the next day! As you say there must be quite a few that regularly just make up the numbers. Good idea, I'll try to look out for them.
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"It's worth remembering that profit isn't profit until it's spent off the racecourse." -- Crash
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  #9  
Old 15th March 2007, 11:39 PM
AngryPixie AngryPixie is offline
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Arrow Selections: March 15th

Quite a busy night tonight. Expect one or two accidents. Best of luck.

Date-Time Course - Name
20070315-0100 Cheltenham - King Revo
20070315-0115 Hexham - Westgrove Berry
20070315-0135 Cheltenham - Monet's Garden
20070315-0215 Cheltenham - Black Jack Ketchum
20070315-0300 Cheltenham - Opera Mundi
20070315-0315 Hexham - Supreme Breeze
20070315-0355 Hexham - Rebelle
20070315-0430 Hexham - Mister Magnum
20070315-0430 Hexham - Baligrundle
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"It's worth remembering that profit isn't profit until it's spent off the racecourse." -- Crash
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  #10  
Old 16th March 2007, 12:41 PM
AngryPixie AngryPixie is offline
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Thumbs up Results: March 15th

Not a bad night.

From today I'll start deducting the Betfair commission at a rate of 5%. Whilst not perfect it does give a better perspective on the relative Pixie and Donkey positions. I mean that in a clean way

Hope your getting some enjoyment from this. Is anybody actually laying these other than me?

Date-Time Course - Name
20070315-0100 Cheltenham - King Revo ... LOST +1.00
20070315-0115 Hexham - Westgrove Berry ... LOST +1.00
20070315-0135 Cheltenham - Monet's Garden ... LOST +1.00
20070315-0215 Cheltenham - Black Jack Ketchum ... LOST +1.00
20070315-0300 Cheltenham - Opera Mundi ... LOST +1.00
20070315-0315 Hexham - Supreme Breeze ... LOST +1.00
20070315-0355 Hexham - Rebelle ... WON -5.50
20070315-0430 Hexham - Mister Magnum ... LOST +1.00
20070315-0430 Hexham - Baligrundle ... LOST +1.00

===
RESULTS: March 6th - March 15th

Pixie:
===
Number of Selections: 58
Successful Selections: 51
Strike Rate: 87.93%
Profit: +18.67 units
Commission @ 5%: -2.55 units
Net Profit: +16.12 units
Net POT: 27.79%

Daily Donkey:
===
Number of Selections: 292
Successful Selections: 222
Strike Rate: 76.02%
Profit: +15.75 units
Commission @ 5%: -11.10 units
Net Profit: +4.65 units
Net POT: 1.59%

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