Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Horse Race Betting Systems
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1  
Old 26th April 2004, 11:24 AM
Fryingpan Fryingpan is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 154
Default

Haven't been here a while, so this might not be new news.

http://www.twonix.com/index.jsp?action=ruin

Found this free download for a Longest Lossing Streak calculator based on mathematical probabilities (strike rates etc) which you put in. There used to be a good site that did this but it no longer operates.

Hope this post is useful for some people who like me, want to know more about the odds of success.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 26th April 2004, 11:48 AM
Shaun Shaun is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Western Australia
Posts: 3,456
Default

the way i calculate a loseing streak is i look at my bank balance and if i have $10 i know the loseing streak has to end soon because i am broke and can't bet anymore
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 27th April 2004, 02:09 PM
Dan Dan is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Perth
Posts: 29
Default

This is the formula I use. It might look a bit complicated but once you've used it a few times it's pretty easy.

Predicting the number of losing runs of a given length, against a given strike rate:

X = N x S^2 x (1 - S)^L,

where
X = number of losing runs of length L
N = number of results
S = strike rate
^ = to the power of
L = length of losing run you wish to investigate.

nb. S is in decimal format eg. s/r of 75% would be 0.75

I find if you make N 10,000 it's pretty accurate.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 08:21 PM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655