OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums - Ratings2Win Recent Winning Highlights

#11

31st May 2013, 06:49 PM

Michal

Member

Join Date: Oct 2005

Posts: 1,007

End Of Month MAY Summary

This the end of month summary for the Intelligence Rating (IR) for May 2013 for all TAB Australian Races

Races covered = 1367
Top Pick Strike Rate = 26.4%
Top 3 Strike Rate = 58.6%

This is the accumulative results for period (5/3/2010 - 31/05/2013)

Races covered = 50,800+
Top Pick Strike Rate = 26.9%
Top 3 Strike Rate = 58.4%

__________________
Michal - Ratings2Win Pty Ltd
R2W Axis - Axis is Australia's leading horse racing software and database;
with sophisticated form analysis tools and accurate horse performance ratings for TAB meetings.
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#12

2nd June 2013, 06:51 AM

Michal

Member

Join Date: Oct 2005

Posts: 1,007

01/05/2013

Code:

Theresnonesosassy  $62.00  PkD3
Star Secret        $21.00  InD-SR3
Whos That Cat      $16.00  PkD3-SR3
Iggi Pop           $16.00  IR3-SR3
Emblems            $13.00  InD-PkD2-IR3-SR2
Our Miss Bossy     $12.00  InD-PkD2-IR2-SR2
Kerrific           $10.00  InD-PkD3-IR3-SR2
Mr Slick           $10.00  PkD2
Another Dream      $9.50   PkD3
Craiglea Stellar   $9.50   InD-PkD3
Almighty Bullet    $9.00   InD-PkD2-IR2-SR2
Lightfeet Lady     $9.00   InD-PkD3-IR3-SR2
All Coin           $8.50   InD-PkD1-IR3-SR2
Planetarium        $8.00   PkD1
Secret Ruler       $7.50   InD
Monica Kate        $7.00   InD
Instinctive Move   $6.50   InD-PkD2-IR3-SR2
Quintessential     $6.50   IR3-SR3
Nador              $6.40   InD-PkD1-IR1-SR1
Welcome Return     $6.00   PkD3
Gotabay            $6.00   InD-PkD2-IR2-SR1
Gondokoro          $6.00   PkD3
Cash Attack        $6.00   InD-PkD2
Titanomagnetite    $5.50   PkD3-SR3
Hidden Warrior     $5.50   PkD2-IR1-SR2
Disciple           $5.50   InD-PkD3-IR2-SR2
Luvstrom           $5.50   InD-IR1-SR1
Midnight Hustler   $5.50   InD-PkD2-IR2-SR2
More Bubbly        $5.30   InD-PkD1-IR3-SR2
Detours            $5.00   InD-PkD2-IR2-SR2
Festival Ballet    $5.00   InD
Mr Lowndes         $4.80   InD
Proper             $4.60   PkD3-IR2-SR1
Ask Me Nicely      $4.60   InD-IR3
Chain Of Events    $4.60   IR1
Sizzling           $4.50   IR3
Natural Disaster   $4.40   PkD1-IR1-SR2
Fangles            $4.40   InD-PkD2-IR2-SR2
Dark Miss          $4.20   InD-PkD1-IR1-SR1
Leica Pegasus      $4.00   PkD1-IR1-SR2
Baleen In Me       $3.80   InD-PkD2-IR2-SR2
Testamezzo         $3.60   PkD3-IR2-SR2
Pretty Gully       $3.50   InD-PkD2-IR2-SR2
Mossn Time         $3.50   InD-PkD2-IR2-SR2
Warrego Melody     $3.20   InD-PkD1-IR1-SR1
Plain Lucky        $3.20   InD-PkD1-IR1-SR1
Freton             $3.20   InD-PkD1-IR1-SR1
Adynata            $2.90   InD-PkD1-IR1-SR1
Regal Tier         $2.80   InD-PkD1-IR2-SR2
Fire Up Fifi       $2.65   InD-PkD2-IR1-SR1
Monumental         $2.60   InD-IR3
Sir Moments        $2.60   InD-PkD1-IR1-SR1
Hard Ticker        $2.45   InD-PkD1-IR1-SR1
Daytona Grey       $2.25   InD-PkD3-IR1-SR2
Isis Devil         $2.20   InD-PkD2-IR1-SR1
Excellent Al       $1.60   InD-PkD1-IR1-SR2
-Intelligence Rating: All 73 Races
 Top Pick 23.29%, Top 3 56.16%.
-Speed Rating: All 73 Races
 Top Pick 17.81%, Top 3 54.79%.

Last edited by Michal : 2nd June 2013 at 06:52 AM. Reason: add the date

#13

3rd June 2013, 06:41 AM

Michal

Member

Join Date: Oct 2005

Posts: 1,007

02/06/2013

Code:

Reach The Moon     $31.00  InD-SR3
Abraxas            $17.00  SR3
Rains              $16.00  SR3
Spartypants        $15.00  PkD3
Aubaine Bel        $11.00  InD-PkD3
Geegees Hot Hussie $7.00   InD-PkD3-SR3
Bang On            $6.00   InD-PkD1-IR3-SR2
Royal Equerry      $6.00   IR2
Chloestar          $5.50   InD-PkD1-IR1-SR1
Toy Ruler          $5.50   InD-PkD1-IR1-SR2
Aconcagua          $5.50   PkD2-IR3-SR3
Heart Throb        $5.50   InD-PkD1-IR1-SR1
Stronghold         $5.50   SR3
Ive Got Chins      $5.25   InD-PkD1-IR1-SR1
Wilari             $5.00   InD-PkD2-IR2-SR2
Fast Spring        $5.00   PkD2-IR3-SR2
Destinys Lass      $5.00   IR3
Donnyonetime       $4.80   InD-PkD1-IR1-SR1
In The Mood        $4.40   InD-PkD3-IR2-SR1
Our Gold Stash     $4.40   InD-PkD2-IR1-SR1
Sort This Out      $4.20   InD-PkD2-IR2-SR3
Six Beat           $4.00   InD-PkD3-IR1-SR1
Minute Repeater    $4.00   InD-PkD2-IR1-SR1
Lord Lion Heart    $4.00   IR2
Duel Lover         $3.80   PkD3-SR3
Finley Harper      $3.70   IR2-SR2
Bag Of Monkeys     $3.20   InD-PkD1-IR1-SR1
Isibaeva           $2.90   InD-PkD1-IR1-SR1
Dont Get Me Rong   $2.85   InD-PkD3-IR2
Ladra              $2.80   PkD2-IR1-SR1
Hilarion           $2.80   IR1-SR1
Repartee           $2.65   IR2
The Storeman       $2.20   InD-PkD1-SR3
Geegees Velvet     $2.00   InD-PkD1-IR1-SR1
Dubai Gee Eye      $1.70   InD-PkD1-IR1-SR1
Tints              $1.70   InD-PkD2-IR1-SR1
-Intelligence Rating: All 48 Races
 Top Pick 31.25%, Top 3 56.25%.
-Speed Rating: All 48 Races
 Top Pick 31.25%, Top 3 60.42%.

#14

4th June 2013, 06:47 AM

Michal

Member

Join Date: Oct 2005

Posts: 1,007

03/06/2013

Code:

Orthros            $13.00  IR3
Full Hand          $11.00  InD-IR2-SR2
Cathys Boy         $10.00  PkD2
Duke Of Vasac      $10.00  InD-PkD1-IR3-SR3
Zero To Sixty      $8.50   InD-PkD1-IR1-SR1
Mistaken Grace     $8.00   InD-IR3
Handful Of Dust    $7.50   InD
Pro Volk           $7.00   InD-PkD2-IR3-SR2
Joranda Falls      $6.50   InD
Valdori            $4.00   InD-PkD1-IR2-SR1
Conch              $3.80   InD-PkD1
Valoxia            $3.60   InD-PkD1-IR1-SR1
Awesome Goal       $3.60   InD-PkD2-IR2
World Domination   $1.95   InD-PkD1-IR2-SR1
Pinpoint           $1.50   InD-PkD1-IR1-SR1
-Intelligence Rating: All 23 Races
 Top Pick 13.04%, Top 3 47.83%.
-Speed Rating: All 23 Races
 Top Pick 21.74%, Top 3 34.78%.

#15

4th June 2013, 09:32 AM

Lord Greystoke Lord Greystoke is offline

Member

Join Date: Mar 2012

Posts: 1,237

Morning Michal.

Interesting to see how many of your selections show consensus on all 4 selection variables / factors i.e. InD + Top 3 in PkD/IR/SR. Also, the variance in dividends for these e.g. $1.50 - $10.00 in your post today.

Was it you that said something about a selection being further validated(franked?) when it shows up in several methods?

Cheers LG

__________________
The trick isn't finding profitable angles, it's finding ones you will bet through the ups and downs - UB

#16

4th June 2013, 11:00 AM

Michal

Member

Join Date: Oct 2005

Posts: 1,007

Hi LG,

Thanks for noticing that, and you are right, these type of selections are the easiest way to start with a system that isolates the better and more obvious chances in today's races. These same type of selections can be extensively back-tested and then analysed over additional 120 different filters with which to further refine these possible bets.

We have up to 12 ratings plus our Indicators available to form these sort of consensus type systems/selection methods with, not just the 4 that we display.

Those that lay selections also find this information very handy! There have been several long-shot accidents reported in other threads that would have been easily avoided with our information.

However for the purposes of our Recent Winning Highlights (this thread and our web page) these results are raw information. If the ratings make a consensus, then they do so because they just do; we don't pick which ones to showcase.

The dividends that are shown for these selections are closing fixed internet bookie prices (tote where unavailable), so as to show a conservative and realistic picture of what can be achieved. Many of the long-shots that we show have prices that are much greater, sometimes double, on Betfair for instance.

Kind regards

Michal

Last edited by Michal : 4th June 2013 at 11:03 AM.

#17

5th June 2013, 06:58 AM

Michal

Member

Join Date: Oct 2005

Posts: 1,007

04/06/2013

Code:


Cosmic Glow        $21.00  InD
Better Not Doubt   $10.00  InD
Daymo              $9.50   InD-IR2-SR2
Rouen              $8.50   InD-PkD2-IR1-SR1
Vogue Stinger      $8.00   InD
Short Trip         $8.00   IR3
Northern Magic     $7.00   PkD3-IR2
Pradnya            $6.50   InD-PkD1-IR1-SR1
Strike Me Lucky    $6.00   PkD2-IR3-SR3
Prophecy           $5.50   InD-PkD2-IR2-SR2
Holdontoyahorses   $5.00   InD-PkD3
Tan Tat Alpha      $5.00   PkD1-IR2-SR2
Speedy Sort        $4.60   InD-PkD3-IR2-SR2
Phrases            $3.60   PkD3-SR3
Azrael             $3.40   InD-PkD1-IR2-SR2
Mr Risky           $3.40   InD-PkD2-IR2-SR1
Daph N Alf         $3.40   InD-PkD1-IR2-SR3
Arenzano           $3.00   InD-PkD1-IR1-SR1
Miss Elsa          $2.80   InD-PkD3-IR3
Host Of The Party  $2.45   InD-PkD1
Rocketmountainhigh $2.40   InD-PkD3
Sky Host           $1.45   InD-PkD1-IR1-SR1
-Intelligence Rating: All 32 Races
 Top Pick 12.50%, Top 3 46.88%.
-Speed Rating: All 32 Races
 Top Pick 15.63%, Top 3 40.63%.

#18

5th June 2013, 09:16 AM

moeee

Suspended

Join Date: Jan 1970

Location: Melbourne

Posts: 5,359

12.5% and 15%

What you might try is to sort you database results into track condition.
Perhaps you may find that your efforts are terrible on wet tracks.

Would be better not to suggest anything at all for those conditions should that be the case.

#19

5th June 2013, 10:28 AM

Michal

Member

Join Date: Oct 2005

Posts: 1,007

Hi Moeee,

Thanks for contribution, your comment raises a valid point for several reasons.

Firstly
A look at the 'terrible wet strike rate' possibility from a total of 51,000+ races.

Good TC - 27.0% over 26,841 races

Dead TC - 26.8% over 14,132 races

Slow TC - 26.8% over 5,475 races

Heavy TC - 25.7% over 4601 races

Couple of things to take from this; our heavy track conditions has a slightly lower strike rate; yet even our 'worst' comfortably beats most of the 'best' that other ratings offer. Please note that the number of wet track races aren't anywhere near the dry track races number, when we get them, the strike rates will even out to be same.

Secondly
Good days and bad days are part and parcel of racing, a knee-jerk-reaction to a single day's result (good or bad) is exactly why most punters loose and why our opposition never show daily results of their ratings (if any at all); we hope that we are dealing with intelligent punters here, our posts and articles aim at educating individuals to be/become effective punters no matter what resources they use. Our clients understand variance, deviation and appreciate the transparency of our results and judge us on their excellent long-term performance!

Kind Regards

#20

5th June 2013, 10:44 AM

moeee

Suspended

Join Date: Jan 1970

Location: Melbourne

Posts: 5,359

Well it seems you have looked at the wet track possibility and it certainly ain't due to that.
Just terrible selections on the day.

Perhaps a good idea might be to post the POT beside these Strike rates as you do on the FAVOURITES Thread?
THEN it would actually be a meaningful Standard to readers.
I myself am achieving 37% Strike rate which is WAY above your efforts , but is actually deceptive as I am in fact losing at LOT -3.9% at TAB Starting Prices.

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