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#11
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Ipswich Race 5 Parra State -
Horsham Race 6 Jim Bob 1st $1.90 Horsham Race 8 Railway Max 3rd Horsham Race 10 Mining Oasis 2nd Gosford Race 8 Mctearaway - Warrnambool Race 2 Kafelnikov 2nd Warrnambool Race 6 Ticabond - Warrnambool Race 7 Rumble Supreme 2nd Bet $43.00 Return $43.10 POT Haha, let's call it even at this stage Winners 19/43 Strikerate %44.18
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#12
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Albion Park Race 3 Royal Surfer
Albion Park Race 10 Fever Jack Bulli Race 6 Malak Bale Ipswich Race 3 Queen Lauryn Ipswich Race 7 Hot Dessa Ballarat Race 5 Hayder Bale Ballarat Race 6 Glen Abbey Tom Ballarat Race 8 Fidel Bale Warrnambool Race 5 Halkin Bale Warrnambool Race 8 Hanify's Impact Warrnambool Race 9 Wes Mantooth
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good luck and happy punting |
#13
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Thanks Sportz, was up until a rough trot last night, but with a bit of luck it could have been alot better.
Moeee, thanks for the interest. There are not many races that pass by on tv that I don't watch either at the time or after the races have been run, so you could say I have a good knowledge of most dogs running around. People use speed maps in the gallops to great advantage and I can look at a race field of greyhounds, and do a very similar sort of thing. I love a greyhound that is of a better class than the field they are meeting, and this would be the only thing that would make me select a greyhound that does not have good early pace. A good dog from a bad box will beat a bad dog from a good box......on most occasions. I love to back dogs who I think will lead, the one turn tracks I love because they seem to be fairer I think, in the fact that with a longer run to the first turn each dog has more of a chance on it's merits. But most of all it comes down to times. A dog who can run quick times I have a lot of respect for, and if they look the likely leader around 100m-150m after the start then I want to be on. This s where the speed maps I mentioned earlier help, as I would say on average I am close enough to correct with these maps on say %50 to %60 of the time, and that is very close to my overall winning average. Then, after all that is said and done, you would be a fool if you did not bet when you could secure value. I dont back all the dogs I select, because some just don't have the value that I expected when I selected them, and I don't mind letting them pass. Case in point, Parra State last night at Ipswich, paying $1.30 and $1.40 on the totes, but I was able to secure $2.10 on Betfair. ALas it got beat, but I will take $2.10 any day about a dog I believe to be a $1.50 or $1.60 chance. Thats where you can make profits. Form guides, I don't use so much, only the GRV website to look at the fields, as I said I pretty much know each greyhound and most of its statistics. Just a bit of an insight into how I come about selecting my bets.
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good luck and happy punting |
#14
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Albion Park Race 3 Royal Surfer 1st $2.10
Albion Park Race 10 Fever Jack 3rd Bulli Race 6 Malak Bale 2nd Ipswich Race 3 Queen Lauryn 1st $1.10 Ipswich Race 7 Hot Dessa - Ballarat Race 5 Hayder Bale 2nd Ballarat Race 6 Glen Abbey Tom 2nd Ballarat Race 8 Fidel Bale 1st $3.90 Warrnambool Race 5 Halkin Bale 2nd Warrnambool Race 8 Hanify's Impact 1st $1.70 Warrnambool Race 9 Wes Mantooth 3rd Bet $54.00 Return $51.90 LOT %3.88 Winners 22/54 Strikerate %40.74
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good luck and happy punting |
#15
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Bendigo Race 6 Dancing Lights
Bendigo Race 8 Hot Puzzle Dapto Race 5 Tian Hao Miss Albion Park Race 3 Royston Renegade Albion Park Race 6 Aunty Joan Maitland Race 6 Accounts Maitland Race 7 Miss Elly Mint Maitland Race 8 Elite Oriental Sandown Race 6 Turanza Bale Angle Park Race 4 Roxio Bale Angle Park Race 6 Cadman Bale Angle Park Race 7 Flash Of Light Angle Park Race 10 Aunty Vick Angle Park Race 11 Silent Pedro
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#16
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Of the 54 bets so far, 44 of them have placed for a place strikerate if %81.48 so hopefully some of those placegetters will be winners in the future, as usually my strikerate is 2/3 winners to places, but at the minute it's running at 50/50
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good luck and happy punting |
#17
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I'm not happy with the way you go about finding your selections Shmucta.
Yes you are doing good, but I think a lot of your work depends on what sort of mood you are in. Because you don't seem to be doing any Mathematics in your studies, a lot of your results will depend on your emotions at the time of making your selections. I stick with only Victorian Racing. So I can devote more careful study to what I am doing. I've noticed you seem to bet on anything that the Bookmakers are having a Market on Shmucta. Good Luck to you if you can make it profitable, but I would be sleeping in the gutter or an asylum if I tried doing that. Thanks for putting up your tips. It caused me to study those Races in Victoria where you had a tip and I made not bad Profit in All 3 Races that I looked carefully at. Your selections done good too, well done. Maybe if you enjoy it, you could perhaps look at if any state of Australia is letting you down, and maybe skip them Meetings. |
#18
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Thats understandable Moeee, the way I bet is not for everyone, I would say though that probably %80 of my punting is on greyhounds, I do also love a sportsbet.
The mathematics side of it I am not sure what you mean? I factor alot of things into my selections, but statistics can be good and bad, such as a dog who has won say 3 out of 3 from box one, but statistics dont factor in that tonight the 2 box is a sharp railer with more pace and will maybe cause trouble to the red. I work alot on times, they are one of the major factors, so I do factor maths into the equations. I know which dogs were unlucky and why, and whether or not they will have a change of luck, most likely, tonight with differing conditions. We all have different ways of selecting winners, and you did very well last night, and I am having a trot of running places lol, but it will turn. Cheers for your comments.
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good luck and happy punting |
#19
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Bendigo Race 6 Dancing Lights 1st $1.70
Bendigo Race 8 Hot Puzzle 2nd Dapto Race 5 Tian Hao Miss 1st $2.40 Albion Park Race 3 Royston Renegade 2nd Albion Park Race 6 Aunty Joan - Maitland Race 6 Accounts 1st $1.80 Maitland Race 7 Miss Elly Mint 1st $1.30 Maitland Race 8 Elite Oriental 3rd Sandown Race 6 Turanza Bale 1st $2.80 Angle Park Race 4 Roxio Bale 1st $2.30 Angle Park Race 6 Cadman Bale 3rd Angle Park Race 7 Flash Of Light - Angle Park Race 10 Aunty Vick 3rd Angle Park Race 11 Silent Pedro - Bet $68.00 Return $64.20 LOT %5.5 Winners 28/68 Strikerate %41.17
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#20
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Traralgon Race 5 Salegreys Gold
Traralgon Race 7 Spence's Shadow Gardens Race 6 Irinka Samuel Gardens Race 7 Emo Appeal Richmond Race 2 Brislane Richmond Race 5 Midnight Movie Richmond Race 6 Yorklea Tiger Richmond Race 7 No Way Aaron Richmond Race 8 Smart Betsy Geelong Race 8 Taipan Bale Geelong Race 10 Thanks To You
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