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  #121  
Old 26th July 2017, 05:32 PM
partypooper partypooper is offline
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Get set was the wrong word, what I mean say you have a race with the first 5 @ $2, $3.5 $4.5, $6, and say $8, now with my type of Dutching i.e. staking $100 , the above example would return $82.13 so a loss of $17.87. In my case I only bet where I can get a return of at least $120. further eg. todays bet:

So today, Canterbury R4, nos 2,3,4,5,6 @ $3.4, $3.3., $34, $ 6.5, $31 (had to use odds boost there) to win $23.05

staking was :$36.19, $37.29, $3.62, $18.93, $3.97, so $23.05 profit if any of those 5 wins, and thankfully No 3 did the job. (in reality of course the bets would have to be rounded, which may alter the return slightly)
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  #122  
Old 26th July 2017, 08:41 PM
UselessBettor UselessBettor is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by partypooper
Get set was the wrong word, what I mean say you have a race with the first 5 @ $2, $3.5 $4.5, $6, and say $8, now with my type of Dutching i.e. staking $100 , the above example would return $82.13 so a loss of $17.87. In my case I only bet where I can get a return of at least $120. further eg. todays bet:

So today, Canterbury R4, nos 2,3,4,5,6 @ $3.4, $3.3., $34, $ 6.5, $31 (had to use odds boost there) to win $23.05

staking was :$36.19, $37.29, $3.62, $18.93, $3.97, so $23.05 profit if any of those 5 wins, and thankfully No 3 did the job. (in reality of course the bets would have to be rounded, which may alter the return slightly)


I just ran the under 80% so 20%+ profit. It made up about 30% of the selections but made 75% of the profit.

maybe those numbers help a bit more.
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  #123  
Old 26th July 2017, 10:01 PM
Lord Greystoke Lord Greystoke is offline
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How can the returns be anything other than minuscule if you include the Favorite? Take it out of this equation and remodel the whole proposition as a hybrid derivative and we are cooking on gas I'm thinking. If I get the time I will commence paper testing and come back to you on this approach.

LG
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  #124  
Old 26th July 2017, 11:13 PM
partypooper partypooper is offline
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LG, problem is that the Fav wins 30 % of the time, but I take your point that 1 race in 3 "might " lose $100, but there are many races where the profit is $50- $60, so the main thing is the mental one, and if I am achieving 90% success with a minimum of acceptable profit of 20%?..... get the drift?
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  #125  
Old Yesterday, 01:09 AM
partypooper partypooper is offline
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LG, also an afterthought, my selections are mechanical and although would usually include the top rater and the FAV, but not necessarily so? which thickens the plot, don't you think?

Last edited by partypooper : Yesterday at 01:13 AM.
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  #126  
Old Yesterday, 01:14 AM
partypooper partypooper is offline
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LG, also an afterthought, my selections are mechanical and although would usually include the top rater and the FAV, but not necessarily so? which thickens the plot, don't you think?
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  #127  
Old Yesterday, 01:51 AM
blackdog1 blackdog1 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by partypooper
LG, also an afterthought, my selections are mechanical and although would usually include the top rater and the FAV, but not necessarily so? which thickens the plot, don't you think?
We do get it now John, twice reinforced. LOL Good luck mate.
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  #128  
Old Yesterday, 10:55 AM
partypooper partypooper is offline
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BD, not sure what happened there? anyway todays effort: Echuca R7, nos: 2,4,6,9. @ $3.6, $6, $5.5, $8 to win $33.11.

This is my first real foray into dutching, this idea definitely still needs tweaking, so any advice, stats etc accepted gracefully!
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  #129  
Old Yesterday, 03:10 PM
partypooper partypooper is offline
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Typo yesterday, bank should have read $911.53, now stands @ $944.64
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