Hi, Merriguy. Warwick R6 no. 5 is a scratching. No.7 is the next highest and is under 200 points, so it becomes the selection.

About extending our boundaries:- how about we relax the 199.50 points rule and have no limit on the total points (for test purposes only), but only with TAB numbers 5 and higher?

Today, these selections would be:

Ascot
5/8 (223 points)

Eagle Farm
1/9 (231)
3/11 (304 - this is a very high total)

Strathalbyn
9/7 (216)

We'll see how they go.

I won't check previous results because they can become quite skewered after the races.

Thanks for the explanation about the scratching. Missed that.

Will be interesting to see how that new twist pans out (that's a mixed metaphor for you!). The Strathalbyn selection was a good start to the day.

Yes, Merriguy, the first selection was a good start to the day.

Now E. Farm 3/11 is also an accident. Its S.P. price was $1.66 which gives a profit of $43.18, this includes Betfair's 5% commission - not bad!!!

Hopefully the success will continue, even though there's still no logical reason.

Correction - should read: "now E. Farm 3/11 is also a non-accident" (or smile). That's a huge difference to what I said. I'll again blame it on the pain killers for my bad back.

Today there were 6 smiles from 7 selections for a profit of $9.68.

From the test method of 200 points-plus there were 2 smiles from 4 selections for a loss of $9.82.

Have to study things a bit more closely in spreading the boundaries it seems. Actually the system has thrown up quite a few close shaves. Still thats O.K.. However I must admit I get annoyed when one of the picks wins; but only pays 50 or 60 cents!! Seems a lot of risk/effort for nothing.

I'm persevering with the 200-plus points. Its too early to tell if it's got merit or should be sent to the scrapheap. And I suppose its somewhat heartening that yesterday's loss was not too damaging in spite of a high 50% accident rate.

Yes, sometimes the profit on a race can be very small. Since Monday there have been 16 smiles but only two of them have produced a profit of under $1.00, whilst nine of them with a profit of over $5.00. Seeing that most of the selections are high in the market, some even start fave, that its not surprising there have been close shaves. But what I find surprising is that there have been only three accidents from 67 selections. Of course that could easily change from today especially as there is no real logic to it.

Fingers crossed.

Today's selections are:

Hawkesbury
8/5

Ballarat
6/5
8/5


200 Pointers

Hawkesbury
2/11
5/5

Ballarat
5/8


When the scratchings for Bunbury are known I'll list the selections.

Bunbury selections:
8/8


200 Pointers
1/7 (456 points)
2/14
3/9

Still doing remarkably well, Michael --- great to see.

I have been trying to work out a way of getting a better return on outlay. Again today, while great wins small (relative) returns. I wonder if we can't modify Maria's staking plan and its "bands" to apply them to your successful idea.

With the BSP you have no idea what the return on any outlay may be --- though I feel we are averaging about $5.00 per bet, which means that any accident will cost about six wins to offset.

What if we took the pre-post in the Telegraph and used that as our band indicator? In other words using that to indicate our choices. We don't know how she chose her picks; but it does seem that your idea is giving a great percentage return and it would be a pity not to profit by it.

I realize that there are plenty of "What ifs" in what I have said, but....