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#1
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An Awesome Laying System...Please check
Hi Guys,
I believe the following will be an excellent laying system potentially on a set and forget basis or Betfair SP or flat stakes laying. 1) Horses that ran 2nd last start 2) Resuming from a spell 3) Win % under 20 Can someone see what the overall results are by using a system builder or database? |
#2
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hi marksto,
I dont think there would be much action with those rules. Not many horses run a 2nd then are sent to the paddock for a spell.. Or have I missed something?
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get in the Q |
#3
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The form should read as follows
2X I believe the focus should lead to lower prices with a high risk of losing and an overall profit on turnover. This is the theory and from observations. Tomorrows selections would be. I would also advise to limit the price to say under $8 or $10. Cant R2 - 9 3 - 4 5 - 6 Ascot R4 - 8 8 - 12 |
#4
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It should work just fine.
Here's another Lay Plan to have a go at , it has been performing very well . RULES .Target TAB No.1 .Lay price to be approx $3.50-4.50 Lay Bet 1.5% of bank , level stakes. Profit objective 1.75% a day then STOP for the day. This equates to approx 50% a month. It works a treat.
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Cheers. |
#5
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An Awesome Laying System
I checked this back 6 months in Neale Yardley's Bet Selector program and got these figures
races 477 bets 522 longest lay collect run 32 average payout odds using NSW tab odds 3.73 showing -50.6% when win backed on NSW tab. would need to be checked using actual Betfair lay odds of course but looks very good. I presume this is a win lay method not a place lay method? |
#6
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Hi Ralridge,
Are these stats for my system below of Bhagwans?? The selections I mentioned below all lost and at favourite and near favourite odds. I wish I had insight into a database of results as I believe this will be highly profitable. Cheers, Mark |
#7
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That -50.6% LOT TAB prices, is the type of figure we like to see.
Betfair usually pays 20% more ,therefore, the Betfair result would have been approx -30% LOT which is a profit to us, when lay betting. Thanks for testing that. Well done.
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Cheers. |
#8
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An Awesome Laying System
Hi Mark,
The test I did was on your lay method not Bhagwan's. |
#9
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Quote:
Races; 1284 Bets; 1387 Wins; 195 Strike Rate; 15.2% Ave Win Div; $4.98 Loss $; -415.50 LOT; -30.00% Ave Starting Price; $14.40 Best of luck with it. |
#10
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Thanks so much Domenic. Really appreciated.
I am actually thinking of a maximum lay price cut off of $10. Not sure if this will improve the bottom line. Assuming Betfair odds are 20% better than NSW TAB prices then this should easily make a 10% profit on turnover if I am reading correct? Cheers Mark |
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