Derived from Power Ratings-

Germany 34% (49% to advance to semis)
Argentina 34% (51% to advance to semis)
Draw 32%

Italy 53% (72%)
Ukraine 21% (28%)
Draw 26%

England 40% (59%)
Portugal 29% (41%)
Draw 31%

Brazil 49% (67%)
France 24% (33%)
Draw 27%

portugal to win world cup @ $20.00

Interesting stuff. In particular I'm sure I'm not the only one intrigued by the blatant discrepancies between Argentina and Germany on Betfair.

These are slowly being eroded but some still remain.

Germany is significantly shorter for tonight's elimination yet both are neck and neck for later rounds.

So anyone wanting to venture into the arbitrage arena could try some variation of:

Back Argentina to qualify tonight @2.10

Back Germany to reach the final @3.10

If Argentina loses then Germany will certainly firm well below 2.0 against the winner of Italy v Portugal.