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  #61  
Old 12th May 2011, 06:07 PM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
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Spot on Pete.Why change a winning formula.

Why research past reults ? Past results bear no relation to future results.
There are just too many variables in a race to have something duplicated exactly.Its a exercise in futility.

The author has developed a sensible set of rules that work for him and the only way he can test it is future races.

Cheers
darky
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  #62  
Old 12th May 2011, 06:16 PM
beton beton is offline
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Job123
Firstly you make sure that your system has some merit. Top DS has that. Research (just looking at past forum posts will do) will show you that by themselves they will not produce a positive. You apply your rules and see if you can check against a database of past results. This may even require digging up past results yourself. If you are satisfied of the potential then test it with $1 bets. In a week you will know without a doubt whether to persevere with it or not. Then you ask yourself whether the risk reward ratio is worth it. As Pete says it is working. You are trying to tweak it. have some small bets on it. Compare the two. You are asking to compare on SP. In real time nobody knows what this will be. It has to be to your parameters, your emotions. Beton
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  #63  
Old 12th May 2011, 06:24 PM
Try Try Again Try Try Again is offline
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Hi Job123,

I do not have the Neural information for your selections but using the other 4 rules (from 20th March 2011 using best of NSW and Vic totes)

35 bets
3 winners
Win Collect $40.30
Win Profit $5.30

13 Places
Place Collect $36.40
Place Profit $1.40
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  #64  
Old 13th May 2011, 11:06 AM
Try Try Again Try Try Again is offline
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There are no selections today due to large fields at Scone and <1200m races at Geelong.

Interestingly the Synthetic track at Geelong has thrown up 11 selections before today for no winners and 5 placings ($1.50, $1.70 twice, $1.80 and $2.20). I will keep an eye on this track for future selections.
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  #65  
Old 13th May 2011, 06:00 PM
Job123 Job123 is offline
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Default new system

RULE 1 Top rated Don SCOTT 3.70 to 4.95 or RULE 2-- sp 4 dollars and higher Rule rule 3 dead/good tracks in melbourne and sydney no city meetings Rule 4- 8 to 13 runners only . rule 5 greater than 1200 metres Try Try can you test this system .
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  #66  
Old 13th May 2011, 07:36 PM
Pete the punter Pete the punter is offline
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TRY TRY

Did you miss one today or did i get the rules wrong

Geelong Rc2 No10 Varella

2000m | 9 starters | 3yo maiden | good track | $2.80 DS rated

2nd @ $2.20
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  #67  
Old 13th May 2011, 08:50 PM
max max is offline
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As a noob I don't undersand the "melbourne or sydney no city tracks"?
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  #68  
Old 14th May 2011, 10:48 AM
Job123 Job123 is offline
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Default new system

RULE 1 Top rated Don SCOTT 3.70 to 4.95 RULE 2-- sp 4 dollars and higher Rule rule 3 dead/good tracks in melbourne and sydney no city(metro) meetings Rule 4- 8 to 13 runners only . rule 5 greater than 1200 metres .Rule 6 within 21 days last start . Try Try can you test this system please .
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  #69  
Old 14th May 2011, 11:11 AM
Try Try Again Try Try Again is offline
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There is only one possible selection today

Kembla Grange
R3#5
Purring Flyer

Pete The Punter - Varella was an Open Maiden i.e. 3yo+ Maiden so was not a selection unfortunate as it paid $2.20 the place!

Job123 - I can not test for Days since last started but your original rules gave 57 selections 6 winners (one was $20.90) for total collect of $49.60 LOT 13.0%, 19 places (one was $11.90) for total collect $56.00 LOT 1.8%.

There are 3 possible selections today (depending on SP)
Scone R2#6 Walpersdorf
Kembla Grange R5#5 Sherwoods Choice
Kembla Grange R6#2 La Comedienne
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  #70  
Old 14th May 2011, 11:29 AM
The Elk The Elk is offline
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Talking

Quote:
As a noob I don't undersand the "melbourne or sydney no city tracks"?
Job,
I think the confusion is from using Melbourne/Sydney instead of Vic/NSW

non metro tracks are Provincial/Country tracks which I believe you are referring to (I think)
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