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  #1  
Old 30th December 2017, 11:00 PM
woody woody is offline
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Lightbulb Some Simple Systems

System #1

Pre-post favourite
Last start winner in the last 21 days
Won or placed (1,2,3) at least twice in last three starts
Run within 100 metres of today’s distance in at least one of its last two starts
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  #2  
Old 31st December 2017, 04:12 AM
Shaun Shaun is offline
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Back any fav 1st or 2nd up
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"If you need them , you will soon find out."
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  #3  
Old 20th February 2018, 12:51 AM
dcpg dcpg is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Shaun
Back any fav 1st or 2nd up


I ran this idea through on 3 different days:

Day 1 - 3 bets for $4.5 win all up. 66% strike rate.
Day 2 - 10 bets for $14.8 win all up. 60% strike rate.
Day 3 - 14 bets for $19.2 win all up. 50% strike rate.

I did give all favourites less than $2 a miss. I usually steer away from favourite backing (I like the longshots!) - but this idea seems to have something behind it!
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  #4  
Old 20th February 2018, 10:44 AM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
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Top Weight

Fav

Won LS
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  #5  
Old 25th February 2018, 05:10 AM
Vortech
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Quote:
Originally Posted by darkydog2002
Top Weight

Fav

Won LS



FYI Results over 2017

687 Bets
262 Winners @ 38.1% SR
Return $588.40 @ 14.4% LOT for NSW prices

Regards
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  #6  
Old 25th February 2018, 07:56 AM
bwuce bwuce is offline
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won LS by 1.5 lengths or more
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  #7  
Old 25th February 2018, 11:17 AM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
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The only filter I would suggest is include ALL Meetings.

That was its original contention.

Though when I did place a substantial amount on a few years ago I included .

Same Jockey

Same Distance .

Cheers
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  #8  
Old 20th February 2018, 12:23 PM
Shaun Shaun is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dcpg
I ran this idea through on 3 different days:

Day 1 - 3 bets for $4.5 win all up. 66% strike rate.
Day 2 - 10 bets for $14.8 win all up. 60% strike rate.
Day 3 - 14 bets for $19.2 win all up. 50% strike rate.

I did give all favourites less than $2 a miss. I usually steer away from favourite backing (I like the longshots!) - but this idea seems to have something behind it!


Here is the last 7 days for this system, flat stake using unitab prices to a mac of 3.30

Runners 92
Av Price 2.31
Win 41
Win% 44.57%
Av W/Price 2.19
Outlay 2300.00
Ruturn 2242.50
Profit ($57.50)
P.O.T -2.50%
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"If the corporates are treating you poorly , just go elsewhere."
"If they need you , they will soon find out."
"If you need them , you will soon find out."
--moeee
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  #9  
Old 13th June 2018, 08:28 AM
sportzRus sportzRus is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Shaun
Back any fav 1st or 2nd up

would also give consideration fav 3rd up
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  #10  
Old 13th June 2018, 11:27 AM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
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8 or less runners.

Fav @the jump.
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