I agree, what about the stress on engine and gearbox, he has had some braking issues and electrical issues.
I wouldn't take $1.20 as a value bet.
If they change the engine or gearbox and he has to start from the pits, Nico can win for sure.
Nico made one mistake in USA in that he didn't adjust the downforce on his front wing like Hamilton did. That made a big difference.
At the rate the turbos are spinning, turbo failure is a big possibility, let alone the other components.

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