Thanks Ray.

I am a bit late with my EPL picks this week. I was away over the weekend.

So far, the home teams have had a surprisingly poor record: they have won only 38 matches while drawing 18 and losing 34. That’s not much of a home advantage. I can’t put my finger on any explanation. As we move along, I think the home teams will make their ultras (and betting supporters) much happier.

Last week was a good example. Bournemouth and Chelsea provided the best value bets whilst playing at home. Both drew, so that using the betting trick I mentioned meant that betting supporters broke even. Of course, that happens when your money stays in your pocket too, so let’s look to more exciting bets to come.

Cheers
,
Ray Stefani

Attached Files

EPL Round 10.doc (53.0 KB, 183 views)

I would pat my computer on the head if it had one. The computer's favourites won all 7 matches that weren't drawn. Value bets cashed for Brighton and Watford supporters. The other value bet was a break-even bet because Leicester drew.

Here are my predictions for Round 11. I will be away after Round 11 so my next send will be lucky Round 13.

Good luck,

Ray Stefani

Attached Files

EPL Round 11.doc (53.0 KB, 170 views)

Doing well Ray, again thanks.

I have returned just in time to give you my predictions for EPL Lucky Round 13. The matches will be played 24-26 November, to give us time to build up the luck.

Cheers,

Ray Stefani

Attached Files

EPL Round 13.doc (54.0 KB, 172 views)

I just returned from visiting relatives, so I am a bit late with Round 14. In Round 13, a nice value bet cashed for Newcastle supporters.

A lot of EPL soccer is about to be played. We will have 10 matches played over the upcoming weekend, 10 more at the subsequent midweek and another 10 on the then-following weekend. With congested fixtures, there is always the danger of teams saving players (becoming less effective) and/or playing for a draw. We'll soon know.

Good luck,

Ray Stefani

Attached Files

EPL Round 14.doc (55.0 KB, 168 views)

Thanks for your predictions Ray. Cheers

There were no surprises in Round 14, as we started 30 matches in just over one week. Seven of my favourites won the 9 games that weren't drawn. Brighton supporters cashed a value bet. We haven't seen many draws lately either, which is great. Let's see how mid-week Round 15 plays out.

Good luck,

Ray Stefani

Attached Files

EPL Round 15.doc (55.5 KB, 159 views)

If it seems like I just sent you predictions, that because I did. Here come another 10 matches. The number of draws went up to 3, which seems to happen with congested fixtures. My favourite did win 6 of the 7 matches that weren't drawn.

Good luck this weekend!

Ray Stefani

Attached Files

EPL Round 16.doc (55.5 KB, 155 views)

Cheers to all as you get ready fro Christmas. The onslaught of holiday soccer matches continues. Happily, the fraction of draws is just what it should be as well as the fractions of home wins and away wins. It may be that we don't have to be as defensive about draws as we had to be last season.

I thought I was looking at match results for a few years ago when I found that Chelsea had beaten Man City 2-0, right after I had seen a commentator on CNN World News give a convincing argument of why Man City would win 2-0. Apparently, Chelsea didn't watch the broadcast.

Good luck with Round 17, to be followed with more rounds soon. .

Ray Stefani

Attached Files

EPL Round 17.doc (55.5 KB, 131 views)