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  #1  
Old 26th February 2017, 12:13 PM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
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Smile A question on Trends

Hi Paul and Michel,

Do you see a trend as to why better Priced horses are now appearing to dominate the first 4 Races.

In the past a FAV bettor would discontinue betting after Race 4.

Has me perplexed?

Cheers,
darky
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  #2  
Old 26th February 2017, 03:49 PM
Every Topic Every Topic is offline
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Not sure what you mean by "now appearing" but just ran a quick test of faves under $3 for last year.

all faves
Win SR 40.50% LOT -3.96%
Place SR 71.50% POT 3.97%

first 4 races
Win SR 41.5-60% LOT -3.62%
Place SR 72.80% POT 5.15%

This appears consistent with what we have discussed in here often - the bias in first 4 races.

Just a note...
I looked at one of my faves systems.
In January last year it made a small loss.
In February it broke even and for the rest of the year it made a profit every month.
If one had been standing there in Feb last year and looking back over a couple of months, one could have said that my fave system wasn't working.
Even very successful methods can have quiet times for a month or two.

Hope that helps in some way...
ET
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  #3  
Old 28th February 2017, 10:04 AM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
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Smile

It does and thank you.

Cheers
darky
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  #4  
Old 23rd March 2017, 09:36 PM
The Ocho The Ocho is offline
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Question

Quote:
Originally Posted by Every Topic
Not sure what you mean by "now appearing" but just ran a quick test of faves under $3 for last year.

all faves
Win SR 40.50% LOT -3.96%
Place SR 71.50% POT 3.97%

first 4 races
Win SR 41.5-60% LOT -3.62%
Place SR 72.80% POT 5.15%

This appears consistent with what we have discussed in here often - the bias in first 4 races.

Just a note...
I looked at one of my faves systems.
In January last year it made a small loss.
In February it broke even and for the rest of the year it made a profit every month.
If one had been standing there in Feb last year and looking back over a couple of months, one could have said that my fave system wasn't working.
Even very successful methods can have quiet times for a month or two.

Hope that helps in some way...
ET

Are you saying that place bets on the first fav $3 and under (on the win market) is making a pot? Is that based on Tab or Betfair prices?
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  #5  
Old 23rd May 2017, 11:39 AM
The Ocho The Ocho is offline
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Mmmmm, No activity on this section for 2 months now. Have this mob gone out of business?
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  #6  
Old 23rd May 2017, 03:11 PM
evajb001 evajb001 is offline
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Wasn't even them who answered darky's question lol
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  #7  
Old 23rd May 2017, 03:38 PM
The Ocho The Ocho is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by evajb001
Wasn't even them who answered darky's question lol

You're right! Nothing from R2W since 2 January 2017.
That's nearly 5 months. I know its sometimes pretty quite in here but that's ridiculous!
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Never give up on a dream just because of the time it will take to accomplish it. The time will pass anyway.”

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  #8  
Old 23rd May 2017, 03:50 PM
blackdog1 blackdog1 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Ocho
You're right! Nothing from R2W since 2 January 2017.
That's nearly 5 months. I know its sometimes pretty quite in here but that's ridiculous!
At least they still take your money, according to their website.
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  #9  
Old 23rd May 2017, 04:49 PM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
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Smile

I am another who msses their invaluable input .

Helped me to become a far better punter,

Cheers.
darky
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  #10  
Old 24th May 2017, 10:36 AM
thorns thorns is offline
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Still post on social media lots, and contribute articles and race analysis for Betfair. Just not on here anymore it seems.

Still in business as well.
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