No, I tipped the Force, Jaguars, Reds and Lions, but not by much. The other games did not offer an advantage.

In a way, we had a perfect week. Five of my seven favorites won. Although my underdogs, the Reds and the Lions won the other two matches, their supporters cashed value bets. So far, my odd have been remarkably close to the bookmakers, so bets have been relatively small.

Good luck with week 8.

Ray Stefani

Attached Files

Super Rugby Week 8.doc (47.0 KB, 484 views)

Basically, to test a bet, you multiply my probability by the bookmaker's decimal odds for a moneyline bet. If the product is more than one, that would be a candidate bet. The amount to bet depends on how much much more than one and on the decimal odds. Sometimes it's best to tip a favorite, and other times the underdog. You will find betting methods just after my predictions each week.

Ray

Appreciate your ongoing input Ray. Any early thoughts - Conference winners, Finalists, winning Conference / Team? Thanks.

Good question.

I think the Chiefs, Brumbies, Crusaders and Highlanders will be in with the finals Hurricanes, Blues and Rebels fighting it out for the fifth spot.

I think the Stormers and Lions will be in the finals with the Sharks and Bulls fighting it out for the third spot. The schedule for the last two or three weeks will make the difference.

Cheers,

Ray

All seven of my favourites won last week. There are two games this week that are almost exactly even. The W. Force are favoured by 0.01 points. I’d call that pretty even.

Good luck with week 9.

Ray Stefani

Attached Files

Super Rugby Week 9.doc (47.5 KB, 436 views)

Got all the match winner correct this week although missed two margins
Would never have tipped the cheetahs to score 90 odd points and missd the reds game..had the bulls 1 to 12

I’m a bit late this week. I was away for a few days.

Week 9 was rather strange. After all seven of my favourites had won during week 8, only four of eight won during week 9. The Sunwolves won convincingly, their only win so far. The Western Force continue to underwhelm. The Sharks won as my underdog; but that was OK, because Sharks supporters cashed a value bet.

Good luck with week 10,

Ray Stefani

Attached Files

Super Rugby Week 10.doc (47.5 KB, 555 views)

thanks for that ray
your feedback, if anything changes, would also be appreciated

Last week, five of my seven favourites won. Let’s keep up that success.

Good luck with week 11.

Ray Stefani

Attached Files

Super Rugby Week 11.doc (47.0 KB, 383 views)