my guts says theyve played good footy most of the year theyve lost a few in a row and theyre due for a win ..... but then again I was wrong about Geelong last week ....the difference being I think ill be backing the D's

And you were wrong about the Dees last week!
There is another trap we all fall into,over and over again.
Due for a win.
If a horse runs last,last,last is it now due for a win?.Probably closer to last.
If the wheel comes up red,red,red,is black due for a win.Still 50%.
What is the actual logic that says Melbourne have a chance?
Take off your belt Floydyboy.I think your guts are trying to tell you Melbourne need it more after the belting they're gonna cop next week.

yes I certainly was but I never had my money on cos my guts or lack of it told me to pocket fridays winnings and get out Ill stick with em just the same and barring drastic team changes ill probably drop a lazy fifty on em and see what happens

Have to agree with Mo on that one.
I actually rated the Dees highly but they have lost confidence and aren't playing with any flair or system at the moment.
I reckon Perth isn't the place that you suddenly find your form.
I hope all punters are laying the Power for the flag. They are NO GOOD!! They play precise, pretty boy footy and just imagine what the Lions will do to them if they somehow got to the GF. They are 16th in the comp in Hardball gets and 15th in loose ball gets. If Choco reckons they have changed their style of play he is kiddibg himself.
Im going to couple Bris in GF quinellas with Saints, they hopefully wont meet again after the 1st final till the GF with smaller savers on the Lions with Cats, Swans and Eagles.

Tell you something Mug Punta.
I stuffed up with my advice on The Western Bulldogs last week.
But I was spot on with another couple of predictions so I feel OK to say this.
Port Power has played quite well against Brisbane over the last four years and their style can knock off the Lions again.
A smidgeon more from Chad Cornes and the they won't be meeting the Lions at the Gabba this time either.
Compare the current prices and surely the Power are much better value than the Lions at the minute.Especially after they belt Adelaide next week.

Why not just say LAST??? :smile:

A bit like the Olympics when one of the Aussies is coming last and the commentators say they are coming eighth.

Sorry Sportz, we are very Americanised arent we!!
Mo, You say a lot of smart things and I reckon you are a pretty good judge, but, you will have to learn the hard way.
They are NO GOOD!!
$3.85 is way unders!!!
All credit to 'em for where they have finished after terrible injuries to key onballers.
The big overs are the swans and eagles.
Probly the two form teams of the comp over the last 4-6 weeks.
Remember the Eagles last loss was against Port at AAMI amd they had something like 10-12 more scoring shots.
I may be proven wrong in the final analysis, who knows but im prepared to back myself and when I make big calls like this one I know Im right more often than im wrong.

Mug Punta, it looks like they're going to win their 3rd straight minor premiership and that doesn't happen if you're 'NO GOOD'. Now, whether they can handle the pressure in the finals or they choke yet again, that's another matter entirely.

You guys are all totally missing my point and getting caught up in semantics.
Finals football determines if you are any good.
Freo were fantastic last year not losing once at home untill my Bombers led by Hirdy showeed them what big time footy is about.
If you watch Port's style they play easy uncontested cheating footy, but footy in Sept is man on man, hard contests all over the ground and thats why they've bombed oput the last two series. It's not because they choked, it's because their style of footy falls apart under intense pressure, but, if you all reckon the $3.85 for the flag is great value, jump in.
Like I said earlier I could be wrong, but, as the bare minimum know this. They have hardly changed their style that saw them crash out of the last two finals series so why are they suddenly going to come good in September this time?

Consider this Mug Punta.
A 4 year old kid catches a tadpole and puts it in a bucket.2 days later he goes to check his tadpole and it's become a frog.
In the child's mind,confusion reigns.
Last year was last year and the year before that was the year before that.
Port will be playing Geelong,so there's a win.
And then the weeks break which is the key to most premierships.
The only stumbling block is Brisbane at the MCG.
If they take a leaf out of Paul Roos book,they can get away with a Cup.And an overdue one for all the quality wins they put in over the years.
Effort is rewarded eventually.
Having said that,Go the SAINTS!


[ This Message was edited by: moeee on 2004-08-26 08:21 ]