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  #1  
Old 21st June 2011, 03:27 PM
moeee moeee is offline
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Default One Last Chance

Due to popular demand , I've decided to give this Forum one Final Chance.

I've come up with a plan of attack that makes use of My Extremely HIGH Percentage of winning top selections.
Actually , when I say Plan, there ain't no Plan as yet , but there will be.

What I'm going to do is combine MY assessed Percentage Chance with the Assessed Chance that Joe Public gives the animal.

Its harder to explain than to carry out, so to start , I'll just post my selections and update the results as it goes.

The actual Wagers are human being determined rather than Computer generated rigid Rules.

HORSHAM Race 1

8 STRONG INTENTION $2.40 42.2%
4 SHIRAZ POINT $3.00 33.3%

The Wager will be a win bet on one of the top 2 selections , depending on the Market.
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  #2  
Old 21st June 2011, 05:10 PM
moeee moeee is offline
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Horsham resulted in a small Profit , but there was almost a washout as the Winner tired badly and just managed to hang on.

The Winner was the 2nd selection and the way the Wager sizes worked turned out quite nice.
I ended up having $60 on the Favourite and $30 on the 2nd selectionn.
Had the Favourite won , I would have finished square.

Looks good the way its going after just the single event.

Here's the rest of the selections for tonight.

WARRAGUL RACE 5

6 HAFREN BALE $3.2 31.0%
2 KINGS PRIDE $4.0 24.9%


WARRAGUL RACE 7

1 NANDO TORRES $3.7 27.0%
2 INVICTUS PHOENIX $4.1 24.3%


WARRAGUL RACE 7

2 BLACK SAHARRAH $4.0 25.3%
4 WHERE'S DEMONICA $4.0 25.0%
8 RYKER BALE $4.0 24.8%

Yes there are 3 selections here.
The human element may decide that this Race is not a viable betting Race.
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  #3  
Old 21st June 2011, 07:27 PM
springjoker springjoker is offline
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Sheesh moeee never seen you bet like that before $90 in one race!!! Couldn't be possible. I only had two bets at Horsham.

Why Not Cooper in the 4th finished 2nd. & race 6 Oh Tee Cee got a ripper check was lucky to stay on it's paws. Good thing beaten!! So small $12 loss today.
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  #4  
Old 21st June 2011, 07:54 PM
moeee moeee is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by springjoker
Sheesh moeee never seen you bet like that before $90 in one race!!! Couldn't be possible.


Yeah I know.
You wouldn't believe how devastated I would have felt had the Winner not won.

But really, I've had this 2 Grand sitting about for so long , and it really is silly betting $2 and $4.

I'm hoping that I can get a few winners early and be able to get used to what are Large bets for me.
Anyway , the next few Races are a bit more Open and I'll be betting closer to $25 per animal.
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  #5  
Old 21st June 2011, 08:05 PM
lomaca lomaca is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by moeee
Yeah I know.
You wouldn't believe how devastated I would have felt had the Winner not won.

But really, I've had this 2 Grand sitting about for so long , and it really is silly betting $2 and $4.

I'm hoping that I can get a few winners early and be able to get used to what are Large bets for me.
Anyway , the next few Races are a bit more Open and I'll be betting closer to $25 per animal.
race 7 and 8 go with the pinks!

And mate, nobody is gunning for you, there is only one, and you know who that is!

This world is full of fools and idiots and opinions we don't like but fighting them all is fruitless, just bite your tongue like the rest of us and smile!

Cheers and good luck
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  #6  
Old 21st June 2011, 08:17 PM
moeee moeee is offline
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Just a report on how the Wager went in Race 5 at Warragul.

Both animals were at reasonable Odds.
I had the Winner at Shorter Odds than My 2nd selection , but Joe Public had them vice versa.
When averaging the 2 animals , the Prices ended up about equal , so I had equal wagers on the both of them.

And again, Fortune was with me when My top selection managed to hang on by the barest possible Margin.
I would have swapped My Ticket for Half its face Value instaed of a photo for sure , for sure.

This is very uncomfortable the way I am betting.
Fortunately my wish was granted giving me a bit of a kickstart and I can now afford a large loss , but I'm sure that won't make it feel any better.
Probably a bit like having a rotten tooth pulled at the dentists.
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  #7  
Old 21st June 2011, 08:29 PM
moeee moeee is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lomaca
race 7 and 8 go with the pinks!

And mate, nobody is gunning for you, there is only one, and you know who that is!

This world is full of fools and idiots and opinions we don't like but fighting them all is fruitless, just bite your tongue like the rest of us and smile!

Cheers and good luck


I can't go for the Pinks because I have already done my workout, although in Race 8 I have it equal top pick with 2 others.
But I had a look at Race 7 , and it looks like a good night for you as well.
I'm starting to think I may pocket my winnings , because it is obvious I have dismissed Wild Ron for an error.

Thank you for Free advice.
Hopefully I can manage to use it.

And thank you for the tips , they are both good ones, but I still have trouble backing other peoples thoughts.
My trust in humanity is strained to say the least.

And thank you for commenting.
Is very lonely
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  #8  
Old 21st June 2011, 08:39 PM
lomaca lomaca is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by moeee
have dismissed Wild Ron for an error.
Don't take my word for it Moeee it's only an opinion as I always say, but I fancy its chances just the same.

the race seems to be very open, so anyone's guess is as good as yours or mine.

You really should follow the gallops for a change heh?
just for a sea change, may cheer you up?

See how we go.
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  #9  
Old 21st June 2011, 09:00 PM
moeee moeee is offline
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I would never take your word for it Lomaca.
But you mentioned it , and I had another look , and you were right , it was certainly capable of winning that Race.
And as I started to allow for that fact, it then becomes a Race with 5 Chances.
Very Open as you say.

I stayed out and my nerves stayed relaxed.
My original 2nd selection did get the photo, but I got more out of the Race than backing the Winner.
I think I have recognised that when a Race is open, it means you need to back all the Chances and that leaves no room for Profit.
I guess what I am doing is Dutch Betting.

In Race 8 , I will be staying out, unless something demands that I have a Wager.

Gallops Lomaca?
Too many variables.
Plus - put it this way the only horse I have heard of is Black Caviar.
Too much work needed to get going when on Greyhounds I can almost name every reasonable animal running.
I could, only my memory is crap.
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  #10  
Old 21st June 2011, 09:21 PM
lomaca lomaca is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by moeee

Gallops Lomaca?
Too many variables.
Plus - put it this way the only horse I have heard of is Black Caviar.
Too much work needed to get going when on Greyhounds I can almost name every reasonable animal running.
I could, only my memory is crap.
I know what you mean about gallops but I got my rating down to a pat as far as humanly possible, and making good money.

But I find the dogs more interesting and simpler, maybe I'm wrong.

Can't say I know any dog or horse by name, that's not how I work, although a good friend of mine who died early in life had some very good dogs racing and his son is still a trainer.

I don't keep in contact with him I was a friend of his father, he has only a few dogs in training, two are good, I follow them.

Cheers
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