RACE 1

3 ALPINE PLAYER $3.8
8 PAKENHAM LASS $5.2
7 BEAUTIFUL NOISE $7.2
2 MISS NAH WEE $7.2
4 SONADOR MISS $10
5 SIR ONYX $12
1 BLOW A KISS $14
6 MIZZY MALDINI $33

EXACTAS
3,8 - 3,8 for $1
3,8 - 7,2 for 50 cents

5 TEXEM $2.1
2 BUDGIE LASS $3.2
1 GOTTA WIN ONE $8.5
4 PEDRO'S SHOUT $16
3 MAGIC GEORGE $33
6 REECE'S RAMPAGER $80
7 CRAFTY SHIRAZ $250

Flexi 4

5 - 1,2 - 1,2,4 - 1,2,4,3 for $4 worth
2 - 5,1 - 5,1,4 - 5,1,4,3 for $2.50 worth

7 MASTER HUGH $2.7
2 CRUISE AWAY LASS $5
4 RUN RAMPANT $7.6
8 SIR LEE $9
1 SALEM SIYAN $10
3 RIVERDALE COWBOY $20
5 STONELEIGH $33

Flexi 4
7 - 2,4,1,8 - 2,4,1,8 - 2,4,1,8 for $6 worth

Split times adjusted to the Meadows
1 5.23
2 5.15
3 5.19
4 5.13
5 5.20

7 5.25
8 5.20
2,3,4 have the early speed, seemingly the only danger early is the #1 pushing off the track and hampering the #2.
#5 longtime since it showed it best, has lost a lot of weight, may get a cruisey run in the middle with the dog outside it scratched.

Box Payoff Rank
1 $9.71 4
2 $2.61 1
3 $9.39 3
4 $3.69 2
5 $26.85 6

7 $13.44 5
8 $40.05 7

I haven't had any success in isolating the Winning Races from the Losing ones in my studies.
I figured quality of runners and amount of data available were good criteria, but I been trying to deny I was wrong, but my Bank Account over the years testifies that it ain't true.

Why race 8

Look at the Favourite dog, and check out what Factors have made it the Favourite with the Public.
It's not Time and it's not Class, its is Lengths behind winner or just sum of it's finishing positions as simple as that.

I know how the public will wager on the type of subset, so it's a good race to me

The current Win Pool holds $250
The Watchdog has it as an Open Race.
I've not yet done the Form.
But I certainly wouldn't expect that such a small Win Pool would be an accurate indication of Final Market Order.

Imagine a dog that is Favourite because of Time, recent time , class and post position, this dog is going to go off a short priced Favourite.

From my database, I pull all the data for those types of situations.

My Trifecta print out tells me this group starting less than $2.00.
The trifecta combination 1/2/all -65.39%
So that group of combinations are all underlays - no bet
now turn it around slightly
1/all/2 shows -2.17%
I just improved my situation 60 odd %
I could dig deeper or just play that group.

It's all about wagering , not handicapping wagering makes more difference in your profit than ranking your dogs better.

Handicap how people wager on races and understand how they shift their wagers depending on the type of Favourite.

Early Thoughts

1 SELYNYA SURPRISE $3.5
4 SEISMIC GREEN $5.5
2 WILD VIKI $6
3 CONNOR'S FURY $8.3
5 MELALUKA LAD $9.5
7 UNO BRINNEY $12
8 HEY KOBYBOYN $20

Box 1st Split Rating Rank
1 $15.22 4
2 $76.92 6
3 $6,666.67 7
4 $6,800.00 8
5 $3.51 2
6 $3.28 1
7 $16.67 5
8 $3.69 3
I have the #8 struggling to cross today, esepcially with the #6 being likely to lead, the #1 & #2 need to get clean starts, if they do they should figure at the finish