Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Sports and Gambling
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #21  
Old 30th October 2004, 11:20 AM
Fernando Fernando is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 54
Default

Ive deleted my last post because the figure were off. I'll redo them.

Lets say you played every bet with the same amount and were targeting away wins with a $2.60 average.

strike rate(SR) of 38.5% to break even(well +0.10%)
SR 40% = 4% gain on bankroll
SR 43% = 11.8%
SR 47% = 22.2%
SR 50% = 30%
SR 55% = 43%
SR 60% = 56%

So you need to be around 40% at least to see any value, which i dont think is to crazy. And you dont need to go much higher to see some fantastic results.
Reply With Quote
  #22  
Old 31st October 2004, 03:21 PM
Fernando Fernando is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 54
Default

Both teams played well in there second double header. Here are the stats if anyone wants a follow up.

Breakers 9 52% 48%
Razorba +9 45% 42%

Also in the above post the percentage gain is on bankroll turnover.
Reply With Quote
  #23  
Old 31st October 2004, 04:02 PM
thebookie thebookie is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 217
Default

You have to be mad to bet the line in basketball and completely insane to take the -

Teams/Players couldn't care less if they win by 5 or 50 despite you sitting at home throwing things at the TV and screaming for them to shoot the 3 to cover the -10.5 line!

If you watch the NBL, coaches are always pulling their guns off the court when they're 20 up in the last quarter...just watch that lead get whittled away to 9 and you've done your ass...
Reply With Quote
  #24  
Old 31st October 2004, 04:13 PM
thefan thefan is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 285
Default

I agree with ya bookie. Ive lost on many occassions by just 0.5
Reply With Quote
  #25  
Old 1st November 2004, 02:00 PM
thebookie thebookie is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 217
Default

Just wondering if any of you guys do any business on the NBL totals?
Reply With Quote
  #26  
Old 1st November 2004, 02:13 PM
thebookie thebookie is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 217
Default

And can anyone give me a logical reason why tonight's game isn't on TV?!?!?!
Reply With Quote
  #27  
Old 1st November 2004, 02:39 PM
Fernando Fernando is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 54
Default

I havnt touched them bookie. Thats not to say i never would just havnt looked into it enough.
Reply With Quote
  #28  
Old 2nd November 2004, 04:25 AM
Beljulian Beljulian is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 29
Default

Quote:
On 2004-11-01 14:13, thebookie wrote:
And can anyone give me a logical reason why tonight's game isn't on TV?!?!?!


Fox are too lazy to come to Perth.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 11:45 PM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655