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  #1  
Old 13th July 2024, 10:00 AM
UselessBettor UselessBettor is offline
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Default Profitable Value Lays on Betfair

Ive started putting together some live streams around lays. Might be worth posting here if anyone is interested.

13/07/24 Caulfield 1 8
13/07/24 Caulfield 5 19
13/07/24 Caulfield 9 2
13/07/24 Randwick 3 11
13/07/24 Randwick 3 13
13/07/24 Randwick 4 15
13/07/24 Randwick 7 14

Don't feel right putting a link directly to the page but if you are interested in the analysis you can find it on my channel winningsportsbettingadvice on youtube.
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  #2  
Old 13th July 2024, 05:11 PM
partypooper partypooper is offline
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Default lays

Good to see you posting UB, and 100% S/R. Re: MR5-19, no way could I lay that one though got shuffled back last run, and 3 runs prior as follows:

2nd last run beaten .5 length
3rd last run beaten 1.6 lengths
4th last run beaten 2.6 lengths

and Jye Mcneil on board today

easy after the race eh?
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  #3  
Old 14th July 2024, 02:54 PM
UselessBettor UselessBettor is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by partypooper
Good to see you posting UB, and 100% S/R. Re: MR5-19, no way could I lay that one though got shuffled back last run, and 3 runs prior as follows:

2nd last run beaten .5 length
3rd last run beaten 1.6 lengths
4th last run beaten 2.6 lengths

and Jye Mcneil on board today

easy after the race eh?


I find the method I use is good enough to get a few % profits over time but its slow progress.
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  #4  
Old 14th July 2024, 02:55 PM
UselessBettor UselessBettor is offline
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Apologies I forgot to post todays ones here but they were online in the live stream before the races:

14/07/24 Wodonga 1 3
14/07/24 Wodonga 2 13
14/07/24 Wodonga 6 8
14/07/24 Wodonga 7 8
14/07/24 Wodonga 7 12
14/07/24 Wodonga 8 11
14/07/24 Ballarat 1 2
14/07/24 Ballarat 4 12
14/07/24 Ballarat 4 13
14/07/24 Grafton 1 15
14/07/24 Grafton 1 16
14/07/24 Grafton 1 17
14/07/24 Grafton 4 10
14/07/24 Grafton 4 15
14/07/24 Grafton 5 14
14/07/24 Grafton 6 21
14/07/24 Grafton 7 18

Quite a few of these were above my maximum odds . But even without that sitting at 100% Strike Rate still (you would expect that with these odds so that isn't exactly a flex lol ).
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  #5  
Old 14th July 2024, 05:25 PM
partypooper partypooper is offline
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Default and again

100% again SB, just what I expect.

Difference between us is that I'm looking for long shots that could win, whereas you're looking for long shots that can't.
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  #6  
Old 14th July 2024, 06:51 PM
UselessBettor UselessBettor is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by partypooper
100% again SB, just what I expect.

Difference between us is that I'm looking for long shots that could win, whereas you're looking for long shots that can't.


Pretty much, and both ways work.
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  #7  
Old 15th July 2024, 12:51 AM
partypooper partypooper is offline
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Default usually

well, I've had a few spectacular wins especially with BF, but it can be a long time between drinks, I suspect in your case the opposite?
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  #8  
Old 15th July 2024, 06:23 PM
UselessBettor UselessBettor is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by partypooper
well, I've had a few spectacular wins especially with BF, but it can be a long time between drinks, I suspect in your case the opposite?


yep steady profits and then a short time of absolutely horrible runs that give back a good percentage but overall it works for me and I make a long term profit.
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  #9  
Old 20th July 2024, 10:02 AM
UselessBettor UselessBettor is offline
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For those interested here is the analysis for todays races which was live streamed today:

https://youtube.com/live/ILDpmz_x6yE?feature=share

Laying for $30 each on these ones:

20/07/24 Rosehill 2 10
20/07/24 Rosehill 2 16
20/07/24 Rosehill 2 19
20/07/24 Rosehill 5 13
20/07/24 Rosehill 6 5
20/07/24 Rosehill 6 8
20/07/24 Rosehill 6 10
20/07/24 Flemington 1 8
20/07/24 Flemington 1 9
20/07/24 Flemington 3 9
20/07/24 Flemington 3 15
20/07/24 Flemington 8 15
20/07/24 Eagle Farm 4 14
20/07/24 Eagle Farm 7 5
20/07/24 Eagle Farm 7 7
20/07/24 Eagle Farm 7 14
20/07/24 Morphettville 2 13
20/07/24 Morphettville 2 15
20/07/24 Morphettville 5 6
20/07/24 Morphettville 7 14
20/07/24 Belmont 1 7
20/07/24 Belmont 1 4
20/07/24 Belmont 5 14
20/07/24 Belmont 6 9

The live stream has the max odds which I would take.
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  #10  
Old 21st July 2024, 09:22 AM
UselessBettor UselessBettor is offline
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Well 100% strike rate so far (not surprising with the odds so don't read anything into that yet).

Results and analysis into todays selections and a look at some Jockey stuff:

https://youtube.com/live/tzt1X-YbqFM?feature=share

Sundays selections

21/07/24 Pakenham 2 3
21/07/24 Pakenham 3 8
21/07/24 Pakenham 3 9
21/07/24 Sunshine Coast 3 13
21/07/24 Sunshine Coast 5 12
21/07/24 Sunshine Coast 7 19
21/07/24 Hawksberry 4 3
21/07/24 Grafton 1 9
21/07/24 Grafton 1 10
21/07/24 Grafton 8 19
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