Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > RaceCensus
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1  
Old 4th April 2014, 01:36 PM
Chrome Prince Chrome Prince is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,362
Default RaceCensus Bunbury Bonanza System

So many people waiting on some betting systems rather than lay or arb systems.
Thought I'd contribute my Bunbury Bonanza System:

Last start winner at Bunbury.
Must not be favourite this start.
Not first up from a spell.

Selections 1,627
Winners 246
Strike Rate 15.12%
Profit $465.50
POT 28.62%
Average Dividend $8.51
Maximum Dividend $93.00
__________________
RaceCensus - powerful system testing software.
Now with over 398,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races!
http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html
*RaceCensus now updated to 29/02/2024
Video overview of RaceCensus here:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 4th April 2014, 10:46 PM
Dennis G Dennis G is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2006
Posts: 112
Default

Is that - last start winner@Bunbury or this start is Bunbury, but last start winner anywhere?

Either way, a bit skinny SR....

But thanks, mate.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 4th April 2014, 10:54 PM
blackdog1 blackdog1 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2013
Posts: 177
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dennis G
Is that - last start winner@Bunbury or this start is Bunbury, but last start winner anywhere?

Either way, a bit skinny SR....

But thanks, mate.
"Last start winner at Bunbury."
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 4th April 2014, 11:14 PM
Chrome Prince Chrome Prince is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,362
Default

Up the strike rate a little and add it to the above:

Last start winner at Bunbury
Racing within 30 days
Non metro track this start.

Selections 1,116
Winners 263
Strike Rate 23.57%
Profit $233.30
POT 20.91%
Average Dividend $5.13
Maximum Dividend $24.00

That makes it a total of 698.80 units profit and POT of 25.48% POT.
__________________
RaceCensus - powerful system testing software.
Now with over 398,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races!
http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html
*RaceCensus now updated to 29/02/2024
Video overview of RaceCensus here:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 4th April 2014, 11:18 PM
Chrome Prince Chrome Prince is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,362
Default

Anyone guess why Bunbury throws this result?

__________________
RaceCensus - powerful system testing software.
Now with over 398,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races!
http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html
*RaceCensus now updated to 29/02/2024
Video overview of RaceCensus here:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 5th April 2014, 12:48 AM
dcpg dcpg is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 2013
Posts: 119
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Chrome Prince
So many people waiting on some betting systems rather than lay or arb systems.
Thought I'd contribute my Bunbury Bonanza System:

Last start winner at Bunbury.
Must not be favourite this start.
Not first up from a spell.

Selections 1,627
Winners 246
Strike Rate 15.12%
Profit $465.50
POT 28.62%
Average Dividend $8.51
Maximum Dividend $93.00


I like the Max Dividend!
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 5th April 2014, 09:56 AM
walkermac walkermac is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2013
Posts: 596
Default

It might not be due to Bunbury track specifically, but rather where the horse can perform next (per the system). If non-metro tracks are excluded, I think it leaves York, Northam, Bunbury and Mt Barker within a 4 hour travel loop. Perhaps the limited number of available tracks might have something to say about the class of racing (???). And if as last start winner it's not favourite, a metro horse may be taking a big class drop for a run 'cause it's out of form/early in preparation (???)

How's the S/R compare with Bunbury repeat runners vs a horse running elsewhere? Maybe the course handicapper isn't the best...

What about maiden vs non-maiden last start winners? Maybe it's the done thing in the region to run your maiden through Bunbury (there are no maiden races at Ascot today, nor the previous 3 meets; and just checked the last 2 at Belmont Park: no maidens)
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 5th April 2014, 10:03 AM
walkermac walkermac is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2013
Posts: 596
Default

My WA geography isn't the best Missing Narrogin, Toodyay....and probably plenty of others too
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 5th April 2014, 11:40 AM
SpeedyBen SpeedyBen is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2012
Posts: 464
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by walkermac
My WA geography isn't the best Missing Narrogin, Toodyay....and probably plenty of others too
Pinjarra missing too. That's the closest one to Bunbury.
__________________
Dear Lord
Please let me break even. I need the money.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 5th April 2014, 12:23 PM
stugots stugots is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 879
Default

Why?, Dont think it's got anything to do with the track itself CP, although it is known to favour front runners, other than that there are 60+ trainers operating out of there & it is close to Perth, which makes it the best provincial training area in the state.

Therefore imo winners at that track that are then sent out to non-metro races at their next start away from Bunbury may often be meeting slightly inferior opposition despite the fact they are probably moving up in class. If they are running again at Bunbury, well they are in form & having won their last start there, odds are they are front running types. & the non-fav filter helps add value to the system.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 06:46 PM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655