I love this time of year. Lots of good horses going around at long prices. As I see it, here are a few that are overs:
SYDNEY
R2 Underthetuscansun
R4 Thunderbirdsarego, Ruud Roy
R6 Fear No Other
R7 Enzedex Eagle
R8 Certain Magic, Ratatat Lass
MELBOURNE
R2 Leica Ding
R3 Diamond Cowboy
R4 My Girl Helen
R5 Sandhill Prince
R6 Mr Baritone, Gallica, Red Ruler
R7 Flying Ruby
R8 Young Centaur, Lady Avacan
DOOMBEN
R3 Shale Shaker
R4 Spinelli
R8 no 19 Spirito Volante
ADELAIDE
R5 Wingspiel, Red First
R7 Stakhanovite

Will keep a record of how these go (NSW TAB divs) until Sandown Cup Day which roundabout finishes the Spring Carnival.
Bets = 22
Win Out = $22
Place Out = $22

Saturday's Results
Outlay $23 win and $23 place
Return
Win = $5.3 (Red First paid $5.3)
Place = $22.9
(Enzedex Eagle $9.3, Leica Ding $3.2, Flyting Ruby $3.7, Red First $2.4, Stakhanovite $4.3)

Progressive:

Win Bets 23
Outlay $23
Return $5.3
Progressive -$17.7

Place Bets 23
Outlay $23
Return $22.9
Progressive -$0.1

These look like value runners today:
ADELAIDE
R7 Tostestaroan, Boogie On The Grass
R8 Jutland

DOOMBEN
R2 Chabeli
R4 Craiglea King, Some Journey, Shadow Buster
R5 Mr Doyle
R6 Viking Eagle
R7 Thin & Crispy
R8 Kings Artist, Kyros

MELBOURNE
R1 Orbitting Belle
R2 Heartland
R3 Grizz
R4 Umanugget
R5 Estee
R6 Cats Fun, MacKnuckle, Tubular Bells
R7 Braided General, Uncle Ivan
R8 Reputable, Our Montague, Adaptor

SYDNEY
R2 Gunnadoit
R3 Calm Seas, Babinda
R5 Hello Pretty, Judged, Bryannos Gift, Yallinup
R6 Zavite, GoKart
R7 Emissary, Ivory Pegasus, Balagarney
R8 Amaranth

(Bets 38)

Bets = 38
Winners:
ADELAIDE
R8 Jutland $14.5
BRISBANE
R4 Shadow Buster $27.2
SYDNEY
R7 Ivory Pegasus $13.0
OUTLAY = $38 RETURN = $54.7
Placings
ADELAIDE
R8 Jutland $3.2
BRISBANE
R4 Shadow Buster $5.8
MELBOURNE
R4 Umanugget $2.8
R5 Estee 3.1
SYDNEY
R5 Bryanno's Gift $2.2
R7 Ivory Pegasus $3.3
OUTLAY = $38 RETURN = $20.4
PROGRESSIVE TOTALS
WIN OUTLAY = $61 RETURN = $60
PLACE OUTLAY = $61 RETURN = $43.3

At the moment I've got a small amount on STAKHANOVITE to do big things in Spring. For those of you who are interested a STAKHANOVITE is someone who achieves out of the ordinary positive results (i.e. an over achiever). Stakhanov was a worker in Communist Russia who was put up as an example by Russian officials because of his outstanding results. Everyone was urged to work as hard as him (except, of course, the politicians). Stakhanov was the bench mark in excellence. Be wary of people who use words like 'excellence' often . For those of you who are of a literary bent, Boxer, the horse in ANIMAL FARM, was a bit like Stakhanov. His solution to problems was to say,'I will work harder.' And that's what he did. I'm not sure if Stakhanov ended up like poor Boxer though.

nice work today mate

__________________
At the feast of ego everyone leaves hungry

These look like having a show at long odds today.

MELBOURNE
R1 ReccoridoR
2 Sparkling Satine
R3 Velocitea
R4 Rock The Moment, Briefed
R5 Ista Kareem, Figure Of Speech, Oak Heart
R6 Sea Battle
R7 Barwon Express
R8 Gotta Keep Cool, Tinseltown, Windshear

TAURANGA
R6 Oliver Twist, Lord Carson
R9 Waitui Court
R10 He Kin Roc

SYDNEY
R1 She's A Rock Star
R2 Equable
R3 Absent Friends, Mewrovingian, Ruud Boy
R4 Sinful Warrior, Donoso
R5 Lady Game
R6 King Sabeel, Sweepstaking
R7 Indikator, Cuchurita

HASTINGS
R5 Tridane, Bonn's Girl
R8 Rendzina
R9 Vosne Romanee, Sterling Prince, Alagant Satin
R10 Hodiggidy

ADELAIDE
R1 La Rampa
R2 She's My Diva
R5 Thornburst
R6 Sandquil, Test The Scene
R7 Edge Off, Mancity
R8 Moggaden, Gift Of Knowledge
R9 Rangeraja, Call Centre

BRISBANE
R1 Spirito Volante
R4 Ima Cool Dude
R5 One Eyed
R6 Sir Kingsford
R8 Justincase
(52 bets)

Bets = 52
WINNERS
Melbourne
R2 Sparkling Satine $16.2
R5 Figure Of Speech $74.9
SYDNEY
R3 Absent Friends $18.0
ADELAIDE
R5 Thornburst ($10.0)
Scratched: Windshear $1.0
OUTLAY = $52 Return = $120.1

PLACINGS
MELBOURNE
R1 Recorrido $1.6
R2 Sparkling Satine $5.1
R3 Velocitea $1.9
R5 Figure Of Speech $15.2

TAURANGA
R6 Lord Carson $2.0

SYDNEY
R1 She's A Rock Star $3.5
R2 Equable $4.0
R3 Absent Friends $4.6
R4 Sinful Warrior $4.0

HASTINGS
R9 Sterling Prince $12.1
R10 Hodiggidy $7.9

ADELAIDE
R1 La Rampa $1.6
R5 Thornburst $3.3
R9 Call Centre $3.4

BRISBANE
R5 One Eyed $5.1

Scratched: Windshear $1.0
OUTLAY = $52 Return = $76.3

Progressive WIN OUTLAY = $113 WIN RETURN = $180.1 (+ $67.1)
Progressive PLACE OUTLAY = $113 PLACE RETURN = $119.6 (+ $6.6)

Nice work today!

Thanks Horse. Let's see how it pans out. My suspicion is that win bets will show a profit and place bets will break even or just teeter around win / lose a small amount. There will be long runs of outs but at the prices I'm betting I can afford to make mistakes more often than most.

These may be value today:
SANDOWN
R4 Sallum ($61 on IAS seems good value)
R5 Yourtheman
R6 Dandaad