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  #11  
Old 3rd October 2012, 03:44 PM
Toil Toil is offline
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Michael, how can you tell they are mostly in the favoured section of the market?
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  #12  
Old 3rd October 2012, 04:20 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Toil, I rate each qualifying race as per the CP and $ algorithyms. From the bottom half I then select the outright best-ranked in the Unitab ratings. When testing the selections many of them were at single figures.

Fortunately today there have so far been 7 smiles from 7 selections but unfortunately the selections have been somewhat disappointing - only a total of $23.17 which more or less equates to an average price of around $10.

Hopefully the success continues because of the high amount of action.
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  #13  
Old 3rd October 2012, 04:37 PM
Toil Toil is offline
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Thanks for sharing that Michael, when you lay and they get beaten do you win different amounts on each runner?

Like if I was to lay 3 runners with a $5 stake on each wouldn't I win the same amount on each if they was beaten?
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  #14  
Old 3rd October 2012, 04:47 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Yes, I win different amounts when beaten because I lay them not on the exchange but S.P.

The method had an accident - Dombeen 7/7. It was very close,even the race caller couldn't separate them. If I had laid on the exchange the method would be in profit, but doing that can be dangerous.

After 12 races the loss is $4.26

Last edited by michaelg : 3rd October 2012 at 04:50 PM.
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  #15  
Old 3rd October 2012, 07:53 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Both selections were beaten for a profit of $5.99.


The CP and $ system had two accidents for a loss of $21.19.

However doing the reverse i.e looking at the top half of the CP and $ total points and then selecting the worst of these in the Unitab rankings would have produced a 100% success rate, and a few of them even started as favourites.

So from tomorrow I'll give it a go.
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  #16  
Old 4th October 2012, 11:13 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Three selections today for the CP lay method. So far there's been 13 selections for 13 smiles for a pleasant profit of $64.03 laying each one for a liability of $33.

Bendigo
8/9

Rocky
1/4
7/9


My testing Lay method is pitting the Tele fave against the Unitab rankings. The divvies are quite good and they have all started at single figures. There's yet to be an accident.

Gosford
6/2

Bendigo
3/1
5/2 (currently odds-on)

Rocky
4/4
6/4
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  #17  
Old 4th October 2012, 12:03 PM
trifectaric trifectaric is offline
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HI

Michaelg i am using your method in my quaddies trebles to cut down the number of horses i take, but in the other exotics i put them in for 2nd and 3rd, 4th.
if they are in my numbers.
yesterday i put doomben race 7 number 7 in because of its price.
if they are short i leave them out but if over $4.20 they go in.
good luck and let the good times keep rolling.

cheers Rick
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  #18  
Old 4th October 2012, 07:59 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Trifectaric, I hope you had a good day and did not omit Bendigo 8/9 from your quaddies because it should not have been a lay selection because it was resuming from a spell. As I mistakenly listed it as a selection I have to include it in the results.

From the Tele/Unitab method there was one accident from the 5 selections for a profit of $8.41.
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  #19  
Old 4th October 2012, 09:44 PM
trifectaric trifectaric is offline
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no i had it in on price but i did not win the quaddie at bendigo.
thanks Rick
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  #20  
Old 5th October 2012, 11:47 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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6 selections for the CP lay method. I've double checked that none are resuming.

Moonee Valley
3/5
5/7
6/6

Ipswich
7/2

Port Mac
5/1
6/8
8/7


5 selections for the Tele/Unitab lay method

Port Mac
3/12
7/3
8/6

Nowra
6/1

Ipswich
2/2
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