SANDOWN Race 5

5 PROVEN NITRO $2.9
3 ELITE CHI CHI $3.9
7 TOTAL REBELLION $7.8
2 SIR PEDRO $11.5
4 DEFENCE CHIEF $14
1 SPEEDY COLOUR $18
6 WOODSIDE PARK $22
8 ROZEHILL JESS $50

The top 2 selections are clearly more fancied than the rest of the runners.
A wise Punter would be confining his wager to a Win bet on one of them.

HEALESVILLE Race 8

3 GLOMING $4.9
8 STAR DIAMOND $5.3
1 SO MANIC $5.6
4 JESS UMBRIDGE $6.2
5 LESLIE'S EXPRESS $11.5
2 YOUNG GAZZA $13.3
6 GUNG HO RUMBLE $14
7 BARNEY'S PRIDE $30

4 winning Chances here

HEALESVILLE Race 5

4 OUR PALE ALE $3.7
3 SHIRAZ REEF $9.1
2 GOLD PLEDGE $9.1
1 BOSSY BETTY $9.2
6 RICEY $9.4
5 TUBESMAN $9.5
7 CROWN POKER $10
8 SWEET TIME $11

As can be seen , I am having a lot of difficulty sorting this lot.
There is a massive amout of doubt.
The only thing I know is the top selection has easily the best chance of winning.

I'm not keen on these short distances, but I'm having a crack anyway.

I've found a few I think can lead and win. I've got Jess really short but here but I'm not sure of her pace. I can't find the #1 at all and its pre-post fave.

Attached Files

HEALS.txt (1.8 KB, 490 views)

HEALESVILLE Race 10

2 SPOT ON ROB $3.5
5 JIMMY I AM $5.1
1 ANNIE ANTEATER $7.7
8 COONEY'S MEDAL $9.2
4 BARRABAS $9.4
3 BALOTELLI $12
6 AMBER JET $18
7 HARDAWAY MASTER $25

I be surprised if i can obtain an Overlay about the top selection.

Raven.
I'll comment on your post soon.

You are certainly obliged to stick with what you consider more comfortable.
But if you do mess with these short races , then it can only be a learning curve for you and you will receive great benefit , although I would suggest as a financial proposition , you keep away.
In fact it prolly be to your favour if you keep away completely from the fincial arena until you know the animals as well as I do.
Even I have very little feel for it , but every day in every way I am getting better and better.

Regarding So Manic.
If you notice the FormLines about this animal , it usually runs really well , or it runs totally dismally.
Its a matter of perks and quirks of individual animals.
Look at the Boxes the animal rates poorly on.
They are always wide Boxes.
It just seems very uncomfortable out there.
If you download one of the WatchDog FormGuides , yoy will find the Box Statistivs for each animal.
I choose to use The Rocket Scientist.

Here is So Manic Statistics.
Box 1 is 7 starts for 4 wins and 3 4ths.

Much of the animals failures are from wide boxes and in town.
Theses Form Lines need to dismissed from your calculations and you will find a much higher assessment of So Manic than you originally had.

I looked at box 1& 2 improved it a bit but I just have Jess rating too high, unless the #1 has good speed, i think he's unders. I see Jess has no speed so she should not be that short, I have to work out a way to adjust like a do with the gallops. Heaps of time though.

Well im in front for the rest of the day

a few at Sandown

Attached Files

SAND.txt (1.5 KB, 477 views)

SANDOWN Race 4

7 WEETBIX KID $3.9
8 IMA ROGUE TRADER $5.5
1 BRAVO $5.7
3 SEISMIC TEXAN $6.5
6 CLOVALLEY VIV $11.8
4 JETTISON $17.9
5 DAWN PRINCESS $18.2
2 JO'S GOT JAZZ $25

The top selection will start an Underlay and i will be backing something to beat it.

How do you figure that?
A Large Collect in early Healesville Race?