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  #1  
Old 19th July 2004, 03:44 PM
rabbitz rabbitz is offline
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St Kilda $1.40
Essendon $2.85 Friday night Telstra Dome
Kangaroos $1.40
Hawthorn $2.85 Sat arvo MCG
Fremantle $1.45
Swans $2.65 Sat arvo Subiaco
Brisbane Lions $1.08
Adelaide Crows $7.00 Sat night GABBA
Western Bulldogs $2.50
Collingwobble $1.50 Telstra Dome Sat Night
Port Adelaide $1.14
West Coast $5.25 AAMI stadium Sun 12:40
Geelong $1.30
Carlton Blues $3.50 Telstra Dome Sun Arvo
Richmond Tiges $5.00
Melbourne Demons $1.16 MCG Sun Arvo
There is no such thing as a certainty but I will be concentrating solely on Brisbane,Port adelaide and Melbourne.St Kilda v Essendon is one for the desperates and also if you take either in multis starting on friday night your whole multi system could be shot before the weekend has begun
Moee or someone who can work it out,what is the respective starts for lions,port and dees at $1.70 each of three
cheers


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[ This Message was edited by: rabbitz on 2004-07-19 16:45 ]
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  #2  
Old 19th July 2004, 04:18 PM
sportznut sportznut is offline
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My early ratings:

St Kilda by 15
Kangaroos by 24
Fremantle by 16
Brisbane by 56
Collingwood by 14
Port Adelaide by 34
Geelong by 29
Melbourne by 50
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  #3  
Old 20th July 2004, 12:25 PM
moeee moeee is offline
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Rabbitz.
Bit tricky to work out when they are so short.Especially the lions.

Be prepared for something like this.
Lions -36
Port -29 (Edit -31)
Demons -27 (Edit -30)

And my caution this week is it's about time someone served it up to the Power.
And another word of warning Rabbitz.Just because the teams are short,don't mean nothing.
Brisbane struggled against the Tigers.
Port was belted by the Kangaroos.
The Crows gave the demons a hiding.
I think a good supply of baskets is in order.
Mix and match.That is,if you want to get some sort of collect every week.


[ This Message was edited by: moeee on 2004-07-20 14:06 ]
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  #4  
Old 20th July 2004, 12:40 PM
moeee moeee is offline
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I now realize it is not who is in and who is out,but what position can or cannot be filled.
Essendon on Friday night fell down badly at centre-half-forward.Hird out,Lucas out.I don't know who played that position,but they were ********e!
Sportznut.I suggest you go back in this years Lions results and see how the lions went without Jonathon Brown.
I believe your win margin is way too high.I thought 41 was about right,but take out Brown and I'm thinking 23 is about the most they can win by.
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  #5  
Old 20th July 2004, 01:14 PM
rabbitz rabbitz is offline
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moeee
I think on a fine track at the gabba
sportnutz's margin might be too short
they could easily win by 60+
Having said that I think they cope alright without brown.
Having said that I think they get lazy towards the end of a game
Last week I had them winning by between 40-59
with UNITAB $3.85
towards the end of the match they were in front by 53 pts and i thought i'd lose the bet because they would go over 59 pts.I really didnt think theyd fall asleep and win by 36 only
So because i say one margin doesnt mean i would put money behind it.I think they could win by 50 or 60
but will probably only take 5-6 goals tops.
sportodds have got the start at -42.5
I think melbourne and port are cruising
the following teams will not see a cent of my money
saints
essendon kangas, hawks ,freo ,swans ,pies carlton ,western bulldogs, pies ,west coast,
along with several nrl teams
cheers
P.S.Have you a note for not visiting this forum on monday

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  #6  
Old 20th July 2004, 02:12 PM
nelgsta nelgsta is offline
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I'm a newbie here...

I know a lot of people have jumped off the Bomber's lately, but I still like to include them in my weekly bets...

no Rioli, Cupido, Lucas, Hird, Wellman...

Take out the first quarter against Fremantle last week and they didn't perform too poorly...

St. Kilda will fall back into complacency after thrashing appalling opposition last week.

If Essendon manage to get back a few of the names above (of course ruling back Hird), I wouldn't write them off...

Thoughts?
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  #7  
Old 20th July 2004, 04:49 PM
rabbitz rabbitz is offline
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In response to lions possible winning margin
I've just done a little bit of lookin'about and the lions average winning margin this year is 39.83 pts ,with their gabba winning margin 38.87 pts.(probably due to flogging bombers at the dome)
Also for home and away season to date you may find this interesting.
Average points per quarter
1ST QUARTER-25.75(25.00 in 2003)
2ND QUARTER-29.56(27.13 in 2003)
3RD QUARTER-30.87(25.41 in 2003)
4TH QUARTER-24.18(25.63 in 2003)
Now Moee and sportznut,as far as Jonathon Brown playing or not playing you can work that one out.
Cheers
P.S. I dont think I'll bet on lions at all so I can enjoy the game without worrying about points.
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  #8  
Old 20th July 2004, 05:03 PM
goldmember goldmember is offline
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ST KILDA v ESSENDON

The saints have won only 1/5 against essendon at telstra dome. This year at telstra dome the saints have won all 10 played there while essendon have won 3/7 there.

last 4 H2H:
R11 2001 ESSENDON 128-86 @ TELSTRA DOME
R 8 2002 ESSENDON 171-72 @ TELSTRA DOME
R14 2003 ESSENDON 119-51 @ TELSTRA DOME
R 2 2004 ST KILDA 94-60 @ TELSTRA DOME

KANGAROOS v HAWTHORN

Both have 3 wins each from their last 6 clashes,all at m.c.g, while this year the kangaroos have won 3/4 at m.c.g[including a 29 pt win over hawthorn in r2]and hawthorn have won 1/7.

last 4 H2H:
R21 2002 KANGAROOS 119-104 @ M.C.G
R 7 2003 KANGAROOS 117-89 @ TELSTRA DOME
R20 2003 HAWTHORN 110-96 @ TELSTRA DOME
R 2 2004 KANGAROOS 103-74 @ M.C.G

FREMANTLE v SWANS

Fremantle have won 7/14 against the swans, winning 5/7 at home,3/4 at subiaco and 2/3 at waca, while the swans have won only 4/15 at subiaco overall.Fremantle have won 5/9 at home this year while the swans have won 2/7 away.

last 4 H2H:
R13 2002 SWANS 139-62 @ S.C.G
R 2 2003 FREMANTLE 86-60 @ SUBIACO
R17 2003 SWANS 111-97 @ S.C.G
R 2 2004 SWANS 102-71 @ S.C.G

BRIS LIONS v ADELAIDE

The lions have won 9/13 against the crows, winning 6/8 at the gabba against them.The lions have won 8/8 at the gabba this year while the crows have won 2/8 away.

last 4 H2H:
QFL 2002 LIONS 115-44 @ GABBA
R 8 2003 LIONS 107-89 @ GABBA
SFL 2003 LIONS 124-82 @ GABBA
R 2 2004 LIONS 104-83 @ AAMI STADIUM

WESTERN BULLDOGS v COLLINGWOOD

W/bulldogs have won 1 of their last 6 against collingwood. This year at telstra dome the bulldogs have lost all 5 there and the pies have won 3/6.

last 4 H2H:
R 7 2002 COLLINGWOOD 73-63 @ TELSTRA DOME
R22 2002 W/BULLDOGS 114-73 @ M.C.G
R13 2003 COLLINGWOOD 128-85 @ TELSTRA DOME
R 2 2004 COLLINGWOOD 106-97 @ M.C.G

PORT ADELAIDE v WEST COAST

Port have won 7/11 against the eagles, winning 3/4 played at aami stadium.Pot have won 8/9 at aami this year[ losing to adelaide]while w/coast have won 2/8 away [against w/bulldogs and hawthorn].

last 4 H2H:
R21 2002 PORT ADEL 103-65 @ SUBIACO
R 1 2003 W/COAST 122-74 @ SUBIACO
R16 2003 PORT ADEL 114-50 @ AAMI STADIUM
R 2 2004 PORT ADEL 118-115 @ SUBIACO

GELLONG v CARLTON

Geelong have won 2 of their last 6 against carlton, with those 2 wins being the only 2 played at telstra dome against them.this year at the dome geelong have won 5/6 while carlton have won 2/3.

last 4 H2H:
R22 2001 CARLTON 97-27 @ OPTUS OVAL
R11 2002 GEELONG 100-96 @ TELSTRA DOME
R11 2003 GEELONG 115-75 @ TELSTRA DOME
R 2 2004 CARLTON 104-50 @ OPTUS OVAL

RICHMOND v MELBOURNE

Richmond have won 5 of their last 6 against melbourne, all being played at the m.c.g. This year at the m.c.g richmond have won 2/5 while melbourne have won 9/10 there, losing to hawthorn in r1 119-70

last 4 H2H:
R 3 2002 RICHMOND 96-76 @ M.C.G
R18 2002 RICHMOND 99-94 @ M.C.G
R 8 2003 RICHMOND 112-103 @ M.C.G
R 2 2004 MELBOURNE 135-76 @ M.C.G

[ This Message was edited by: goldmember on 2004-07-20 18:24 ]
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  #9  
Old 20th July 2004, 06:00 PM
moeee moeee is offline
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Apologies to greeting you with a belting Negelsta,but the Bombers in fact played West Coast last week.
Had they won,I would have collected a profit of near $600,so I remember quite well.
And it was failing to provide a centre-half-forward option that was their demise.
Like Newman said,the footy world would have been much better off with Sheedy back at Tigerland.

And the vibe is rising from the gut.No,not the bile.Collingwood versus Western Bulldogs is going to be a blowout,and I really can't see the Dogs in charge.
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  #10  
Old 20th July 2004, 07:35 PM
rabbitz rabbitz is offline
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moeee
collingwood to wack the dogs
hmmm
wheres the alka seltzer
cheers
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