Sandown Lakeside

R1: 3-ESTEE, 5-JEWEL PASSPORT
C Williams & Hayes, C Brown & Freedman

Beware the only first starter in the field. What do we know about it? The market will be all important.

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Pixie

"It's worth remembering that profit isn't profit until it's spent off the racecourse." -- Crash

1. Avionics is 2nd fav on betfair but got no stats for its trainer or jockey.

Estee will be the only selection.

It came 1st, lol Bhag's dont' like your system so far .

R2: possible selections
2. Kings Farewell
5. Tszyu
6. Jeunique
7. High Intensity

What price should i be using to determining what is a betfair fav? The back or lay price? I've been going the lay price since thats what you'd take to get a matched lay easily.

If we ending up laying a winner again, I'm thinking of giving up on ya system, as I don't have enough stats to make good selections.

Might resort back to my original system of just a overall jockey strike rate, as when I tested it on a few meets it was profitable. Unfortunately will be laying horses at high odds, so will have to figure out a limit.

Update: yeah gonna scrap your system Bhags as I just don't have access to the sort of data you have. Sorry, but I need a system that works with what data is freely available to me.

The race data is freely available from racingandsports

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Cheers.

I forgot to mention one of the other rules...

.Must have 11 runners+

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Cheers.

Yeah I tried there but it shows me no stats:

http://www.racingandsports.com.au/r...20.asp?t20=TwnA

This shows stats:
http://www.racingandsports.com.au/r...action=tpremier

But again, doesn't list PER TRACK data, which is needed to make a selection with your suggested system.

Can you provide us with a link to the page that has the stats Bhags? Do you need to create a login or something?

pengo do a google search for race stats third one on the list will give you the info.

Doesn't have trainer stats per track

Who was the most successful rider at Sandown today? I've taken the SuperTAB prices for all the mounts of today's winning riders, converted these to a normalised percentage chance, then combined these to get the riders expected number of winners. Obviously Steven Arnold had a nice day with 2 winners, but how much better was it than the other winning riders? Well quite a bit, in fact he rode 513% more winners than the normalised SuperTAB price of his mounts would suggest. Dean Yendall was the most successful of the riders with a single win, and Cory Brown failed to reach his expected number of winners but only by a little bit.

Rider	OBS	EXP	ADV
Arnold, S	2	0.326	513%
Brown, C	1	1.274	-21%
Hall, N	1	0.507	97%
Newitt, C	1	0.882	13%
Williams, C	1	0.750	33%
Yendall, D	1	0.324	209%

Naturally one days results mean nothing really but I thought this might be an interesting way of comparing who's "better" than who.

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Pixie

"It's worth remembering that profit isn't profit until it's spent off the racecourse." -- Crash

Pengo, its all there, you just have to know where to look , you just go to a venue , then click Jockey stats on LHS same for Trainer stats .
It has an active search mode below just for Crs percentages by clicking the bullet hole needed & away you go.


Example.

http://www.racingandsports.com.au/r....asp?sortpage=1

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Cheers.