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  #1  
Old 5th November 2023, 11:56 PM
walkermac walkermac is offline
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Posts: 600
Default Melbourne Cup 2023

Here's "the system" for this year. Looks like it'll be especially unhelpful though: two thirds of the field are on the top two rungs! No horse gets a perfect score (unless there are some substantial odds changes for some of the runners).

TotalNameLess than 8yoWgt < 57kgNot a mare<= $21 SP< $16 in lastWgtd < than in lastFS in last >= 10Won Black Type<=3L in last<6 victories
9ABSURDE1111111011
9CLEVELAND1110111111
9FUTURE HISTORY1111111110
9GOLD TRIP1011111111
9INTERPRETATION1110111111
9MORE FELONS1110111111
9SERPENTINE1110111111
8ASHRUN0110111111
8BREAKUP1111101101
8KALAPOUR1110110111
8LASTOTCHKA1101110111
8SHERAZ1110011111
8SOULCOMBE1111101101
8VAUBAN1111110110
8VOW AND DECLARE 0110111111
8WITHOUT A FIGHT1111101110
7ALENQUER1110011101
7DAQIANSWEET JUNIOR1110110110
7MAGICAL LAGOON1100011111
7MILITARY MISSION1110110110
7VIRTUOUS CIRCLE1110111001
5OKITA SOUSHI1110001001
5RIGHT YOU ARE 1110001100
4TRUE MARVEL0110011000

You might have more luck with biorhythms! Breakup, Military Mission and Vauban will all be at their top physical rating on the day, according to that silliness

I've spent very little time looking at the race but Vauban, Gold Trip, Future History, and Breakup can be my guess at the first four.
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  #2  
Old 7th November 2023, 10:19 AM
Sportz Sportz is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Posts: 12,054
Default

For what it's worth (sadly these ratings don't have a great record on the Cup)

FLEM 7 - MELBOURNE CUP 3200M

RTG . ODDS . VALUE . HORSE

23.0 . $4.30 . $5.95 . 3 WITHOUT A FIGHT
23.0 . $4.30 . $5.95 . 5 VAUBAN
13.0 . $7.70 . $11.05 . 7 ABSURDE
10.5 . $9.50 . $13.75 . 1 GOLD TRIP
10.5 . $9.50 . $13.75 . 6 SOULCOMBE
6.5 . $15.40 . $22.60 . 9 VOW AND DECLARE
5.0 . $20.00 . $29.50 . 4 BREAKUP
5.0 . $20.00 . $29.50 . 15 LASTOTCHKA
4.0 . $25.00 . $37.00 . 20 MORE FELONS
4.0 . $25.00 . $37.00 . 21 FUTURE HISTORY
2.5 . $40.00 . $59.50 . 17 MILITARY MISSION
2.5 . $40.00 . $59.50 . 18 SERPENTINE
2.5 . $40.00 . $59.50 . 23 KALAPOUR
2.0 . $50.00 . $74.50 . 8 RIGHT YOU ARE
2.0 . $50.00 . $74.50 . 11 ASHRUN
2.0 . $50.00 . $74.50 . 13 OKITA SOUSHI
2.0 . $50.00 . $74.50 . 22 INTERPRETATION

CL/WT RTG: 3 WITHOUT A FIGHT
FORM RTG: 5 VAUBAN
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  #3  
Old 7th November 2023, 03:30 PM
Sportz Sportz is offline
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Posts: 12,054
Exclamation

Incredible dividend in the end for Without A Fight.
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