Luckyboy,

I hope you got on:
Echuca race4 No 2 Ruby's Jester 1st $4.40 and $1.20pl

Cheers.

Xanadu,

Well done!

Certainly was a good thing and won with a fair bit in hand.

:wink:

Thanks Chrome Prince,

They are out there(ie good priced winners) if you are prepared to be selective and wait for the right time.
We'll see what the rest of the week has to offer.

Cheers.

Xanadu,

Sorry I have been AWOL for the past week. I did pick up Sea Jester and Laminated, but missed the Euchuca race.

The jockey change is a good little system. One thing I do like to check with it (via DFS) is if whether the jockey has ridden the horse before - this is an even better pointer.


LB

Yes, I agree Luckyboy, it is a good aspect to take into account.
There are some interesting things happening today at Hawkesbury:
SR5 No1 Arbitrage
-scratched from Canterbury yesterday. Also, unfortunately, in the same race:
SR5 No 4 Euripedes
-Beadman's only ride for the day(remember my comments about leading jockeys going to the provincials for only one ride?
SR7 No 1 Mining Silver
-scratched from Monday to run here in an easier race.
These are pointers to help us determine what stable intentions are-we'll see how they go and hopefully return us a profit.
Unfortunately, the change of jockey theory let me down yesterday at Canterbury:
23.4.03 SR5 No 1 Youthful Edition
won it's previous two races in the country. It was brought to town, a capable apprentice replaced it's regular jockey and it had the advantage of a 3kg claim. Unfortunately, it was not up to the task but that's the way it goes. I went against one of my own rules here and backed a horse ridden by a 3kg apprentice but I thought it had enough pluses to outweigh the fact it was to be ridden by a 3kg claiming boy but it couldn't do it.

Cheers.

Luckyboy,

I hope you got on!
SR5 No 1 Arbitrage unp
SR5 No 4 Euripedes WON $2.0w $1.40pl
SR7 No 1 Mining Silver WON $1.8w $1.10pl
not great prices but a good result anyway.

Cheers.

Xanadu,

I couldn't get on today. I had to attend to some important family matters - take the wife out to lunch. Allows me to get a 'punting' grant for the next Saturday.

Now, a quick one to think about and noting your penchant for jockeys! If you go through the typical Jockey Premiership list you will note that a small number of jockeys make up the greater percentage of winners.

For Saturdays only, use these jockeys and identify their best ride each. You'll be very surprised by the strike rate!


LB

[ This Message was edited by: Luckyboy on 2003-04-24 21:40 ]

Yes, you are right Luckyboy and it is something which I take notice of, especially if one of the top hoops is replacing a perceived "less fashionable " jockey. For instance,today, there is an example:
MR5 No1 Glefti
top jockey, S. King, replaces apprentice, Michelle Payne-expect a good run.
Other potential winners today are:
Gosford R3 No2 Don't Tell Me Lies* scratched from Sydney to run here.
Adelaide R2 No12 Entice*reasonable run last start and drops back in class, from the strong McEvoy stable and ridden by top jockey, S Price.
Good Luck.

Cheers.

I hope you a good result from these:
Gosford Race3 Don't Tell Me Lies 2nd $1.60pl
Adelaide Race 2 Entice Won $2.30w $1.30pl
Melb Race 5 Glefti 3rd $1.60pl*
*what a race!......Glefti was in front in the last 150m but was swamped and held on for 3rd place. POT=36.7% - a pretty good result considering we were a little unlucky in a couple of the races.

Cheers.