Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Horse Race Betting Systems
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #41  
Old 28th May 2012, 05:22 PM
bernie bernie is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2010
Posts: 148
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by bernie
That would be the bet as long as there was no other winner with one start in less than 18 starts
Should read ..no other winner with one WIN in less than 18 starts.
Reply With Quote
  #42  
Old 28th May 2012, 06:29 PM
Barny Barny is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2010
Posts: 1,091
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by bernie
That would be the bet as long as there was no other winner with one start in less than 18 starts.

Not my system. It was posted a long time ago with outstanding results. I was just checking.

Winners on Saturday:
Rosehill R3
Belmont R2

You post the outstanding results and the proof and I'll see what I can do .....

Betcha don't tho' .........
Reply With Quote
  #43  
Old 29th May 2012, 12:09 PM
bernie bernie is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2010
Posts: 148
Default

Barny, Betcha I do.

Here is the thread. Take a look at post 20 by swampfox.

stuningly and almost very simple win system
Reply With Quote
  #44  
Old 29th May 2012, 12:39 PM
Chrome Prince Chrome Prince is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,365
Default

Selections 12,333
Win Return $9,774.30
Place Return $10,095.08
Win Loss $2,558.70
Place Loss $2,237.92
Win LOT 20.75%
Place LOT 18.14%
__________________
RaceCensus - powerful system testing software.
Now with over 399,000 Metropolitan, Provincial and Country races!
http://www.propun.com.au/horse_raci...ng_systems.html
*RaceCensus now updated to 31/03/2024
Video overview of RaceCensus here:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W821YP_b0Pg
Reply With Quote
  #45  
Old 29th May 2012, 12:51 PM
norisk norisk is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Dec 2011
Posts: 334
Default

ouch
Reply With Quote
  #46  
Old 29th May 2012, 01:08 PM
bernie bernie is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2010
Posts: 148
Default

Thanks CP
Reply With Quote
  #47  
Old 29th May 2012, 01:20 PM
beton beton is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 589
Default

What works yesterday does not necessarily work today. I have a graveyard of betting systems that have periods of winning (some with quite long periods) but have fallen into a hole. Would they return to their winning ways? Maybe. Would I use them again? Not likely unless I learn how to smell if they are turning off again. A lot of systems just don't get the returns because every man and his dog (and the dog's dog) are on the selection. So in order for any of these systems to make a comeback, the strike rate must improve or we have to get better prices and most likely both have to occur. Any of these old systems need to be checked month by month and year on year. AND if it has some big divvies and those divvies are the bulk of the profit then you are flirting with danger.
Reply With Quote
  #48  
Old 29th May 2012, 01:42 PM
bernie bernie is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2010
Posts: 148
Default

I totally agree with you beton.
Reply With Quote
  #49  
Old 29th May 2012, 02:08 PM
Lord Greystoke Lord Greystoke is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2012
Posts: 1,237
Default

HI Beton,
Without the benefit of a humungous data engine at my knee..

Would you agree that when one picks up an old system that was working say 5 years ago, and it immediately produces a winner or 2 from a random meeting picked today(and tomorrow) using exactly the same 'rules', there is a reasonable chance that...

(a) it still has legs
(b) few others are following it


LG
__________________
The trick isn't finding profitable angles, it's finding ones you will bet through the ups and downs - UB
Reply With Quote
  #50  
Old 29th May 2012, 03:01 PM
beton beton is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 589
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Lord Greystoke
HI Beton,
Without the benefit of a humungous data engine at my knee..

Would you agree that when one picks up an old system that was working say 5 years ago, and it immediately produces a winner or 2 from a random meeting picked today(and tomorrow) using exactly the same 'rules', there is a reasonable chance that...

(a) it still has legs
(b) few others are following it


LG


Both with a big maybe. I would test it first of all, either by running it thru a data base or in light of no data base, I would test it on paper or live at minimum outlay. If it had legs and fell off the perch because it was overbet then it may still have legs. People get a lead into a system, have few wins and tell their friends which in turn affects the odds which in turn affects the viability of the system. When they start losing they move to next hot system and destroys that as well. A good system may work again if the selection method has a good strike rate or has quality picks. The biggest culprit between 5 years ago and now is computers and access to good ratings. A good rating service will have the winner in their top five, a good system has to be able to pick the top horse out of those 5 OR pick the winning horse that the ratings miss altogether. Most of the information that goes into the computer rating programs is the same, it is all historical data. It goes in and adds 1 plus 1 and comes out 2. A good system has to come out better than 2. Test your system with a small amount that you are comfortable with for a set amount. If you are not in front after 20 x $1 bets bin it. If you are in front play with the winnings and monitor your losses. Beton
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 08:19 PM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655