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#11
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Thanks Percentum, yes I understand now, being an aa-pom I am familiar with combination betting, it was the 31 bets (for 5) that threw me, but now I understand 26 bets in the combo + 5 singles, good stuff, though I didn't realise that AIS were accepting these now.
Worth considering that you can also allot a higher stake for the doubles, and lesser on the Trebles & 4'somes, (i.e. less likely to succeed.) but I would always leave a full unit for the 5 horse accumalator as this can be the lifechanger! Last edited by partypooper : 10th November 2008 at 12:44 PM. |
#12
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Percentum's Top 5 Sunday 16 November 2008
Think I'll have a go today after a week in hospital getting a knee replacement. For those of you who think it's like changing racing plates, think again. Anyway, enough of this racing metaphor stuff. They are:
NEWCASTLE R7 no 12 CONVENT HILL BUNBURY R7 no 8 UNDERTAKE DANE R8 no 1 DANGEROUS DANE HOBART R7 no 11 ESPRIT OF EVE R9 no 7 HEARTBREAK KID |
#13
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Percentum, once again 1 unit EW level stakes produces an acceptable profit. Just as a matter of interest have you ever run the excercise of calculating the total amount staked over a period of time divided by the number of selections to arrive at an average stake per selection, and then see what the POT would have been had you placed this amount on each selection???? you see what I'm getting at?
Just food for thought, it took me 30+ years to get there! PS. I could do with a Knee, back, elbow, foot and hip replacement, and I wouldn't mind swapping this gut for a flat one, and maybe adding a few inches somewhere else! hee hee! Last edited by partypooper : 17th November 2008 at 01:40 AM. |
#14
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Update Sunday 16 November 2008
Quote:
Partypooper, I actually haven't done any research tweaking these about and I have reached a stage in life where laziness is appealing. One thing I know I have to do is eliminate horses with just one start to their names as selections. Because they show up in my selection process I've been putting them in but, clearly, this is flawed. Before I started posting these I had a good 40/1 winner called Skirmish in one such bet (4 legs only, 2 won and all placed so return was really good). It had only had 3 starts and I think I might make this my minimum starts cut off point from now on. I think I'll curb my enthusiasm and stick to Saturdays and, perhaps, some cup meetings midweek like the approaching Ballarat Cup. The NZers who show up in my selections have excellent strength and depth in their form and will probably be the mainstays of the successes I have (if any) so I like there to be an accompanying NZ meeting. As for the spare parts. The getting I don't mind. The process is a bit of a worry though. I thought it'd be a simple pinfiring, out in the paddock to freshen up and then Bob's your uncle. Rehab exercises are painful and I keep finding diversions to avoid them. Sunday's Results OUTLAY: $31 W & P RETURN $7.95 W and $8.64 P |
#15
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Percentum, I'm really sorry that you see it as *lazyness* I found the revelation as the opposite, i.e I tried every which way to show a better profit than level stakes, but everytime I applied the formula that I described in my last post (HONESTLY) level stakes won out every time!!
Most simply won't admit it, if I'm wrong on this occasion then I humbly accept defeat! |
#16
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Party, Alan Rowland, who formerly owned Punters' Choice before Ian Barns believed that there was no difference between flat level stakes and various staking plans. In the end it all balanced out. The staking plan may have recouped all monies lost in a series with a $2 winner backed at high stakes but, equally, a pittance could have been had on a 100/1 winner earlier in a sequence. (Does this make sense? I'm noy sure. I know what I mean though.)
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#17
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22 November 2008
Fingers crossed for these today:
TOP 5 Pukeko R6 no 1 Culminate R10 no 13 Valhalla Adelaide R7 no 8 Whoishe Perth R6 no 2 Fun Spice R7 no 16 Grand Nirvana Second Stringers Brisbane R6 no 1 Albert The Fat R8 no 7 Covet Gold Pukekoe R7 no 9 Puttanesca R8 no 3 Ginga Dude Best Roughie Pukekoe R6 no 15 Striker |
#18
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26 November 2008
Might try these today:
Sandown R5 no 9 Gazza Guru Bunbury R8 no 5 Bushels R9 no4 Delta Bay Te Aroha R4 no5 Jessardo R10 no4 Je Suis |
#19
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Top 5 Friday 28 November 2008
Lots of depth at Otaki today. Here's hoping for these:
R5 no 15 Regal Secret R6 no 12 Flavio R8 no 2 Blackall R9 no 5 Spartanicus R10 no 4 Grasshopper |
#20
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Saturday 29 November 2008
Top 5
Ellerslie R10 no 11 Mr Cool Wanganui R8 no 12 Kovak Eagle Farm R5 no 13 stature R7 no 11 Desdemona R8 no 12 Framous Second Stringers Wanganui R1 no 2 Inevitable R7 no 13 Fuji Walk Eagle Farm R3 no 16 My Counsel R6 no 12 Pentacity Best Roughie Eagle Farm R7 Doug's Mate |
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