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  #11  
Old 24th January 2011, 09:11 PM
marksto2 marksto2 is offline
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Maybe a focus on Maiden races would be a suggestion where the rating is poor. The rules run through a database search would be helpful yes!
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  #12  
Old 25th January 2011, 09:09 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Marksto2, if the method continues to be successful I will most likely increase the size of the bet. However, I don't know if there is too much logic to the method even though a plausible argument can be made to support it. But who knows...and so far so good.

Today's selections:

Taree
3/13

Geelong
4/12

Townsville
1/9
4/9

Fingers crossed.
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  #13  
Old 25th January 2011, 09:29 AM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Correction - its Townsville R2 no.9, not R1 no.9.

I'm currently on pain killers, so I'll put it down to their effects.
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  #14  
Old 25th January 2011, 03:20 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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A very bad day today. 2 accidents for a loss of $52.61.

After three days it's in profit of $40.33.
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  #15  
Old 25th January 2011, 04:36 PM
1annandale1 1annandale1 is offline
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Interesting result Townsville race2 ..Just shows the price variability on Betfair..The lay selection Fraction was 3.2 favorite on Betchoice . driftingto 3.6 SP 3.5 ..Unitab 5.00 fixed . Tote Paying 6.7 .On Betfair drifted from 5.4 ..( I layed it at 5.5).. Remarkably it drifted to 14.00 with BFSP 13.4 . I hedge a small amount at 13.00. to cover my bet.. The point i am making is any system requires a great degree of common sense.Like any position betting or laying if a position becomes available to lay or back a price way over or under the reasonable value then you have to take it.
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  #16  
Old 25th January 2011, 05:25 PM
marksto2 marksto2 is offline
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Can anyone offer any filters to increase the strike rate maybe? Larger fields or certain race types?
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  #17  
Old 25th January 2011, 05:29 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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1annandale1, good point, but not everyone would act upon it.

A few years ago one of my friends backed a football team (Benfica) at $50 to win the Champions League or one of the European comps. Benfica made it to the finals, and I told my friend that if he backed the other team for a certain amount he would obtain a good profit whatever the result of the game. His reply was "no, with me its all or nothing".

I suppose its up to the individual.

As a matter of interest, due to a late scratching Townsville R2 only had 10 runners (the minimum for the system is 11), but having already placed the bet I was unable to cancel it.
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  #18  
Old 25th January 2011, 07:35 PM
jose jose is offline
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Michael, I was going to put you onto someone to put your back right.
Know exactly what you are going thru with it, as have had much the same.
I do however have 3 words that will help you................

STRETCH
STRETCH
STRETCH......

The more the better.
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  #19  
Old 25th January 2011, 08:09 PM
michaelg michaelg is offline
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Thanks, Jose.

It's a nerve in my back which I believe is the sciatic nerve. It has spread to my groin and leg.

I checked the net for sciatica and was recommended a particular stretching exercise. I tried it but I don't think its done any good.

If you could hear me you would swear someone was torturing me or that I was having one continual orgasm. When not on medication the pain is THAT bad.
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  #20  
Old 25th January 2011, 09:03 PM
jose jose is offline
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Mate, I feel your pain.
I was locked up and bent over like a half opened pocket knife for 6 months about 10 years ago.
After a scan it was revealed that I had ruptured 2 discs, somewhere around L3 and L4 from memory.
The specialist I went to wanted to operate on me the next week. I told him that this was a big decision and I would have to talk it over with the family, and he got quite shirty. (still maintain he just wanted a new set of golf clubs)
Finished up going to a back rehab course at the Wesley Hospital for 2 weeks.

There was about a dozen in the 2 week course, 3 of these people had had back operations.
One bloke was a bit better after the op.
One woman was about the same as before the op.
And one poor soul was just about wrecked, she was a lot worse off after the op.
The scarring in and around the back is sometimes worse than the original complaint.
Glad now I didn't let him open me up.
Having said all that, they have come a long way with back ops in the last 10 years or so, but my advice FWIW is if they offer you an op put it off as long as you can.
I have been stretching every morning ever since and as long as I don't overdo things it is quite manageable.
Enough of me, I do hope you come good soon.
Stretch.....Stretch....Stretch.
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