OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums - Can Excluding Over-Bet Factors Make a Difference?

#21

27th July 2013, 06:33 AM

Rinconpaul Rinconpaul is offline

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Quote:

Originally Posted by UselessBettor

contrary too most peoples belief if you add "must be fav" as a rule you will likely be on a winning system at top fluc.

Scanning the fields today, about the only selection that comes close is No 3 "Dragon Street" R2 Gold Coast B Wallace (A) Form 3x but it's got barrier 1 ?

RP

#22

27th July 2013, 06:47 AM

Lord Greystoke Lord Greystoke is offline

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Rinconpaul

Scanning the fields today, about the only selection that comes close is No 3 "Dragon Street" R2 Gold Coast B Wallace (A) Form 3x but it's got barrier 1 ?

RP

Looks like a lottery RP = 5 newbies(technical term). Better still a field with only 1 FU or FS runner which starts favorite and you get on at top fluc?

LG

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#23

27th July 2013, 10:13 AM

Rinconpaul Rinconpaul is offline

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Do you think management should seek sponsorship from the suppliers of "No-Doz" ??

I mean, have a look at some of the post times:
UB 12:33am, Brett V.02 12:04 am, LG 6:47 am, Chrome Prince 5:54 am, Vortech 6:44 am...........??

I mean, you're going to need a supplement of some kind, to get through your betting day?.....lol

So long as it's ASADA approved boys!

RP

#24

27th July 2013, 10:45 AM

beton

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Rinconpaul

More like a lump of 4 x 2 to make them sleep sometime. Mind you, go through the week and it looks like a lot of sleeping was caught up. I thought it was a ghost forum.

#25

27th July 2013, 10:53 AM

Brett V.02 Brett V.02 is offline

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Does that mean Late Night Flight is the omen bet of the year???

AR 6 no 1 - Late Night Flight - $15

Days since last run - 24 (1-21 days over-bet)
Days since last win - 889 (won in last year over-bet)
Barrier - 9 (Wider the better)
Age - 7 (Horses 6 or under over-bet)

Have a sneaking suspicion that this type of approach will take nerves of steal, veins of ice and deep pockets of plentiful cash (which may become less plentiful at a great rate!!!!)

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#26

27th July 2013, 11:16 AM

mattio

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Quote:

Originally Posted by UselessBettor

Brett,

I put it up just to help people out ( a few friends). The server guys said I was using too much CPU on the server and told me they wanted me to pay stupidly high for the service so it got pulled down.

Unfortunately when I looked at others based on the cpu they all said it was too high and I needed my own server. Too costly for me (as I already have access to the data) so I didn't put it back up.

The good thing was it exposed a few peope to system testing and they moved onto products like Chrome Princes which I have heard is a great product.

Hi UB,

If you are interested in getting it back online I would be able to host it for you at no cost.

Cheers,

Matt.

#27

27th July 2013, 11:19 AM

The Ocho

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Quote:

Originally Posted by mattio

Hi UB,

If you are interested in getting it back online I would be able to host it for you at no cost.

Cheers,

Matt.

Now there's an offer too good to refuse. Good O mattio.

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#28

27th July 2013, 11:36 AM

Chrome Prince Chrome Prince is offline

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Rinconpaul

I mean, have a look at some of the post times:
UB 12:33am, Brett V.02 12:04 am, LG 6:47 am, Chrome Prince 5:54 am, Vortech 6:44 am...........??

Some live in Perth, so the time difference.
Some are bakers.
Some are early risers.

Me, I actually suffer from insomnia

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#29

7th August 2013, 10:32 PM

Magister Ludi Magister Ludi is offline

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Brett V.02

1 If the database guys out there have ever run this filter and does it return similar results?

2 Are there any other 'over-bet' factors people believe can have a similar effect.

1. Barriers are a track-specific factor and not a universal factor.

2. You need to use metrics that are far-removed from what the public is using. The metrics that the public is using are already reflected in the tote odds.

#30

7th August 2013, 10:39 PM

beton

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Quote:

Originally Posted by Magister Ludi

2. You need to use metrics that are far-removed from what the public is using. The metrics that the public is using are already reflected in the tote odds.

Pauline had a famous quote which I will pinch "Please explain."

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