Smartgambler
Pro-Punter

Go Back   OZmium Sports Betting and Horse Racing Forums > Public Forums > Horse Race Betting Systems
User Name
Password
Register FAQ Search Today's Posts Mark all topics as read

To advertise on these
forums, e-mail us.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #21  
Old 29th October 2013, 09:34 PM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Nov 1999
Posts: 4,332
Talking

Gees some of you blokes make punting hard for yourselves.

Its a wonder you have time to put the bet on.
Reply With Quote
  #22  
Old 29th October 2013, 10:29 PM
Mark Mark is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Qld
Posts: 1,404
Wink

It's a sad day when I agree with darky.
Reply With Quote
  #23  
Old 30th October 2013, 06:56 AM
Rinconpaul Rinconpaul is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Feb 2013
Posts: 755
Question

Quote:
Originally Posted by beton
Now I am confused. I agree with your first part. You have 170% field and 4 don't start. So their chances are divided pro rata to the remainder. Their chances increase and their prices reduce.

The next part you reduce their 170% chances down to 118% chances. So for Tab#1, adjusted Prepost % 14.45%. By ( 118/170.65) 0.6914 =9.99% A 9.99% chance is $10. Or am I completely wrong. 170% going to 118% should be increasing in price.

Hahaa. Beton I'm not going to revisit the nuts&bolts of the past, but if the reason you started this thread was to say, "Adjust your Pre Post market for scratchings and overround", then I agree with you.

The only thing I don't like nowadays is the creation of synthetic pre posts by the online bookmakers and the admitted trait of individual sports editor's amending the pre post figures to suit their own agenda. All of this could steer a punter in a direction to suit the hype being created by write-ups and advertising.

Let me take you on a visual fantasy to another planet called Mars. The Mars Cup is coming up and Big Bucks the online bookie has assembled his staff for a Monday morning briefing. He tells them,

"I've got the inside info on the Cup and it's that gremlins A, B or C are the main chances. So get onto the press and push gremlin's D & E as favourites and get them to frame the Pre Post around them. In the meantime, I'll go on national Mars TV and tell the punters that if D or E come 1st or 2nd, I'll pay for the Win. That should get them in."

Hahaa, take that with a spoonful of laughter, it could never happen here, or could it....???
Reply With Quote
  #24  
Old 30th October 2013, 09:27 AM
evajb001 evajb001 is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 463
Default

RCP, almost sounds like a word for word exerpt that a bookie who is regularly on TV now would have, goes by the name Dom Squatterhouse.

If you want a fun drinking game for the rest of this spring watch the coverage on free to air and skull a drink each race he says that hes 'Taking this one on' (referring to the favourite)

Last edited by evajb001 : 30th October 2013 at 09:29 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #25  
Old 30th October 2013, 09:39 AM
Lord Greystoke Lord Greystoke is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2012
Posts: 1,237
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by evajb001
If you want a fun drinking game for the rest of this spring watch the coverage on free to air and skull a drink each race he says that hes 'Taking this one on' (referring to the favourite)
Leading indicators eh. Don't you just love 'em? More fun than a nicely buttered slice of slap 'n tickle.

LG
__________________
The trick isn't finding profitable angles, it's finding ones you will bet through the ups and downs - UB

Last edited by Lord Greystoke : 30th October 2013 at 09:44 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #26  
Old 30th October 2013, 10:06 AM
Rinconpaul Rinconpaul is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Feb 2013
Posts: 755
Wink

Quote:
Originally Posted by evajb001
RCP, almost sounds like a word for word exerpt that a bookie who is regularly on TV now would have, goes by the name Dom Squatterhouse.

Probably a cousin of Big Bucks...??
Reply With Quote
  #27  
Old 30th October 2013, 10:36 AM
darkydog2002 darkydog2002 is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Nov 1999
Posts: 4,332
Smile

Ah .Mark.
Your finally realizing that I,m not just a pretty face.

I,m sure that you will be avidly following the WF MC selections as usual.
Reply With Quote
  #28  
Old 30th October 2013, 04:34 PM
Lord Greystoke Lord Greystoke is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2012
Posts: 1,237
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Rinconpaul
I'm the sly one over in the corner watching everyone eat. A kinda' purveyor of humanity and how they behave.
Yep - seen you standing over there for a bit now. You are diagonally opposite me so it's not that hard too spot you.

LG
__________________
The trick isn't finding profitable angles, it's finding ones you will bet through the ups and downs - UB
Reply With Quote
  #29  
Old 30th October 2013, 04:36 PM
Rinconpaul Rinconpaul is offline
Banned
 
Join Date: Feb 2013
Posts: 755
Thumbs up

Quote:
Originally Posted by Lord Greystoke
Yep - seen you standing over there for a bit now. You are diagonally opposite me so it's not that hard too spot you.

LG
Regular Secret Squirrel, hey...lol

I've taken you to Mars, the Restaurant and you've been to see the Golden Spiral, what more do you ask??

Last edited by Rinconpaul : 30th October 2013 at 04:39 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #30  
Old 30th October 2013, 05:03 PM
SpeedyBen SpeedyBen is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2012
Posts: 464
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by evajb001
RCP, almost sounds like a word for word exerpt that a bookie who is regularly on TV now would have, goes by the name Dom Squatterhouse.

If you want a fun drinking game for the rest of this spring watch the coverage on free to air and skull a drink each race he says that hes 'Taking this one on' (referring to the favourite)
And the other one " It'll be a disaster if Dobbin wins ".
__________________
Dear Lord
Please let me break even. I need the money.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On
Forum Jump



All times are GMT +10. The time now is 06:54 PM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.0.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
©2008 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved . ACN 091184655