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  #11  
Old 1st May 2017, 08:43 AM
evajb001 evajb001 is offline
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Luckily it was back to winning ways on the weekend with some upsets going my way meaning an especially successful weekend on the head to head bets. Results as follows:

Round 6:
Win: +9.2200 units 4/7 bets
Line: +4.2400 units 5/7 bets

Overall:
Win: +29.8225 units 25/41 bets
Line: +9.5825 units 25/41 bets

Almost up 40 units for the year in 6 rounds which is a pretty nice effort. Even if you were only betting 1 unit on each of the bets you'd be up 21.4 units. I'll say it again, the success is unlikely to continue in its current form as its nearly impossible to hit 61% on line bets over the long term but lets ride the wave.
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  #12  
Old 5th May 2017, 09:41 AM
evajb001 evajb001 is offline
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I'm back with the Round 7 bets and I have to say I've got a little bit of confidence about this weekend. Pretty much the main bet I have major concern about is the Carlton line/win bet as I think Collingwood will really play to the occasion this weekend (125 year celebrations) and obviously the North Melb win bet is extremely unlikely. Besides those two bets I'm pretty happy with things this weekend but I could look like a fool come monday.

Round 7:
North Melbourne 1x
Carlton 2x
Port Adelaide 2.5x
Gold Coast 2x
Sydney 2.5x
Melbourne 2.5x
Fremantle 2.5x

Best of luck
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  #13  
Old 8th May 2017, 08:28 AM
evajb001 evajb001 is offline
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Well I certainly didn't see that coming. I thought North Melb had a good chance at the line but not to win. Same goes for Carlton, I thought Collingwood may have turned the corner last weekend and with their 125 year celebrations might have gone for back to back wins but I guess not.

I had concerns about Port as they hadn't actually beaten anyone decent and that showed. Melbourne were disappointing but had they even just won the game the round would've been even better for betting.

Round 7:
Win: +11.3000 units 5/7 bets
Line: +4.2000 units 5/7 bets

Overall:
Win: +41.1225 units 30/48 bets
Line: +13.7825 units 30/48 bets

7 rounds completed and were up almost 55 units. Not a bad effort.
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  #14  
Old 12th May 2017, 09:18 AM
evajb001 evajb001 is offline
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I have almost zero confidence in this rounds bets. I see west coast, gws, geelong, richmond and sydney all likely chances of winning. Lets see what happens I suppose:

Round 8:
Western Bulldogs 1.5x
Hawthorn 1.5x
Collingwood 1.0x
Essendon 2.0x
Fremantle 1.0x
North Melbourne 2.5x
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  #15  
Old 15th May 2017, 08:28 AM
evajb001 evajb001 is offline
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Another profitable round although it could've been a lot better. Collingwood were 10 seconds away from getting the win which would've been a big boost and hawthorn let brisbane kick some goals late which meant they didn't cover the line. I was always confident myself that sydney would win which was unfortunate that the system had north as its biggest bet of the round losing 5 units on them. Anyhow results are as follows:

Round 8:
Win: +2.2950 units 3/6 bets
Line: +1.0600 units 4/6 bets

Overall:
Win: +43.4175 units 33/54 bets
Line: +14.8425 units 34/54 bets

Almost 60 units up for 8 rounds of footy now, not a bad effort. The H2H bets are hitting 61% Strike Rate with a 39.1% Profit on Turnover, while the line bets are hitting a 63% Strike rate with a 13.4% POT.
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  #16  
Old 17th May 2017, 07:57 AM
thorns thorns is offline
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Been checking in occasionally on this, top results!
60 unit profits for 6 weeks, let alone a season is pretty impressive.

Hope you have had a few dollars on these and the good run continues.
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  #17  
Old 17th May 2017, 08:26 AM
evajb001 evajb001 is offline
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Thanks thorns, unfortunately I haven't had a single dime on the selections its all been a test run to see if the system was profitable or i'd backtested it too heavily. I just can't believe how well its been able to pick the underdog winners which I think is pretty impressive given the way the season has gone.

Even at flat stakes its +35.9680 units which is pretty ridiculous for 8 weeks of a season. As you say lets hope it continues.
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  #18  
Old 17th May 2017, 08:43 AM
thorns thorns is offline
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Not knowing the first thing about AFL, have the results been pretty consistent with a normal season, or has it been a chaotic type start to the season which has worked in your favour targeting the underdogs?
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  #19  
Old 17th May 2017, 10:07 AM
evajb001 evajb001 is offline
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The system doesn't necessarily target underdogs, it works on a statistics basis based on a few stats that correlate the most to winning scores. The competition is a lot tighter this year then most previous years which has probably helped somewhat but I'd say its still relevant as the teams its selected, whilst being underdogs, have obviously been performing well in the relevant stats still.
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  #20  
Old 19th May 2017, 08:54 AM
evajb001 evajb001 is offline
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Another weekend I'm not entirely comfortable with but lets see how it goes. The St Kilda, Richmond and North Melbourne bets i'm particularly concerned about while the others i'm reasonably confident about. Could be a break even type weekend maybe.

Round 9:
Geelong 2.5x
St Kilda 2.5x
Richmond 1.0x
Collingwood 2.5x
Adelaide 1.5x
North Melbourne 2.5x
Fremantle 2.5x
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