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  #11  
Old 20th May 2004, 12:59 PM
Floydyboy Floydyboy is offline
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yep ya right when i wrote that i hadnt even looked at the teams and i was confused but I had a squiz and came up with that last post
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  #12  
Old 20th May 2004, 07:48 PM
goldmember goldmember is offline
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couple of short prices with teams that are out of form, so straight out and multi's i'll look for value.

Bris lions to win 1-39 @ $2.80
w/bulldogs to win 1-39 @ $2.65
hawthorn to win 1-39 @ $3.60
kangaroos to win 1-39 @ $2.75
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  #13  
Old 21st May 2004, 11:20 AM
moeee moeee is offline
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Goldmember
When I play those margin bets,and my team is about 37 or so points in front during the last quarter,it ruins the game as a spectacle.
I start hoping my team misses the shot for goal and cursing players.
I now think better to take the shorter odds the win and just get in the collect window.
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  #14  
Old 21st May 2004, 11:51 AM
sportznut sportznut is offline
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Yeah, I never take that sort of margin bet either. It's hard enough to simply pick the winning team without also having to hope that they don't actually win by too much!

I will sometimes back teams to win OVER the margin if my ratings say that they're going to absolutely thrash the opposition, but I never pick teams to win UNDER the margin.
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  #15  
Old 21st May 2004, 12:03 PM
goldmember goldmember is offline
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Moeee, tried the shorts last year and there is always 1 team that stuffs up a weekends football.I try to mix up multi's and cut down on legs, getting better value and not outlaying as much. These aren't all multi bets, there just what i think are value selections , i will probably back the the kangaroos,w/bulldogs,hawthorn,and geelong with A start and mix them up with margins along with league bets and do the same with league and afl, but as you know with sportodds you cant multi some different options as you can with sportstab so i'll pick between the two and mix them up

cheers
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  #16  
Old 21st May 2004, 12:09 PM
moeee moeee is offline
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Quote:
On 2004-05-21 11:51, sportznut wrote:
Yeah, I never take that sort of margin bet either. It's hard enough to simply pick the winning team without also having to hope that they don't actually win by too much!

I will sometimes back teams to win OVER the margin if my ratings say that they're going to absolutely thrash the opposition, but I never pick teams to win UNDER the margin.


Still think it ruins it a bit when your team is marginally under the 40 points.
But thats probably me and my personality.
Tell you what though.
I had St.Kilda to beat Brisbane by 1 to 12 pts. and I loved that game,umpire errors regardless.

Goldmember - What does it mean "tried the shorts" - Excuse my ignorance,but I'm here to learn.

Mo.


[ This Message was edited by: moeee on 2004-05-21 12:13 ]
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  #17  
Old 21st May 2004, 12:20 PM
goldmember goldmember is offline
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All depends on the games you pick, if its a hard game and the team i think can win is the outsider, well i wouldnt take them 40+.I only bet on the margins ocasionally anyway, but i thought there a good price, better than backing them straight out, if there gunna lose, there gunna lose, might as well get a better price.

cheers
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  #18  
Old 21st May 2004, 12:29 PM
moeee moeee is offline
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Comprende Goldmember.
How then would you have felt,if you backed the kangaroos last week?.
Your selection bolts in and the bookies still get your money.Found another way of getting beaten.
Maybe split your stake in a ratio of 90% (1-39) and 10% (40+).Not too big a dent in return if your smaller margin gets up.

Mo.

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  #19  
Old 21st May 2004, 12:47 PM
moeee moeee is offline
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Quote:
On 2004-05-19 14:08, goldmember wrote:

PT ADELAIDE v RICHMOND

pt adel have won 7/9 against richmond and all 6 played at football pk.

last 4 games:
R15 2001 PT ADEL 96-52 @ FOOTBALL PK
R12 2002 PT ADEL 154-70 @ FOOTBALL PK
R 6 2003 PT ADEL 84-57 @ FOOTBALL PK
R21 2003 PT ADEL 124-104 @ DOCKLANDS

CARLTON v W/BULLDOGS

carlton have won 6/11 against the w/bulldogs and 5/8 at optus oval,including 3 of the last 4 times they met.

last 4 games:
R13 2001 CARLTON 153-92 @ OPTUS OVAL
R 6 2002 W/BULLDOGS 96-68 @ DOCKLANDS
R21 2002 CARLTON 99-97 @ DOCKLANDS
R 8 2003 CARLTON 107-100 @ OPTUS OVAL


Well the Port stats that you have provided speak for me.
They spoke for Hawthorn,Kangaroos and Geelong last week.
Ports shocker last week?
Kangaroos had a shocker prior to your research to their chances against Port.

The Carlton game is a bit harder to see.
Its more in the last 4 times they met at Optus.

Actually,On second thoughts,I wish I left this game out and just stuck with Port and Brisbane.

Mo.
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  #20  
Old 21st May 2004, 01:27 PM
goldmember goldmember is offline
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moeee, last year i took pick your own starts and was taking anywhere from +12.5t to +45.5 ,and $1.15 to $1.50 and most of them were the top teams and favourites, but sometimes the bludgers got flogged, so now i pick more carefully and go for better value and limit selections to 1 or a couple of teams in the AFL andthe same in NRL and have got better results.

cheers
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