View Full Version : Maiden Longshot System.
TESTAROSSA
23rd February 2004, 06:08 PM
Have been tinkering around with catching those maiden runners who pop up and win at good odds and have come up with (i think) a good plan on capturing some of these juicy winners.
These are the results since Tuesday 17th February (short sample i know, will be going back and checking results beyond that time when have enough time).
Feb17 Werribee R1 Lady Canny 2nd, NPP
Feb17 Werribee R2 Charlies Legacy UNP
Feb17 Werribee R2 Gone For Glory UNP
Feb17 Townsville R4 Crystal Express 3rd, $2.20
Feb18 Hawkesbury R1 Jonoble 1st, $10.20, $2.30
Feb18 Mornington R2 Onus 4th
Feb18 Doomben R1Starzami 1st, $10.20, $2.10
Feb18 Strathalbyn R2 Bella Futura 4th
Feb18 Strathalbyn R2 Disco Slacks UNP
Feb18 Strathalbyn R7 Edison 1st, $28.60, $6.40
Feb18 Strathalbyn R7 Dendy Walk UNP
Feb18 Pinjarra R2 Coded 1st, $29.00, $5.80
Feb19 Canterbury R2 One Small Step UNP
Feb19 Canterbury R2 Zamurd UNP
Feb19 Benalla R2 Apples UNP
Feb19 Benalla R2 Weeping Willow UNP
Feb19 Benalla R3 Nina Belle UNP
Feb19 Benalla R3 Shes Striking 1st, $10.90, $3.10
Feb19 Benalla R3 La Speranza UNP
Feb20 Yarra Glen R3 Bobbafet 2nd, $12.50
Feb20 Rockhampton R5 Pegunny Jake UNP
Feb20 Queanbeyan R1 Roxbury Hall UNP
Feb20 Queanbeyan R4 Tract UNP
Feb20 Queanbeyan R4 Meddling Magpie - UNP
Feb20 Quirindi R3 Broc's River 1st, $8.30, $3.00
Feb21 Geelong R3 Longstone UNP
Feb21 Gold Coast R4 Skinstad UNP
Feb21 Kembla Grange R4 Blushing Maizy 3rd, $11.10
Feb22 Kilmore R9 Little Darling UNP
Feb22 Penshurst R2 Dreja UNP
Feb22 Port Lincoln R8 Daring Echo UNP
Feb22 Sunshine Coast R3 Monkeypicken UNP
Feb22 Taree R3 Slashers Creek 3rd, $1.60
Feb22 Taree R5 Sudan Silk - 3rd, $2.70
Feb22 Wyong R2 Champony UNP
Feb22 Wyong R2 Neurology UNP
Feb22 Wyong R2 Kaoru Square UNP
Feb22 Wyong R5 Mr Brisvegas UNP
Feb22 Wyong R5 Hello Cyrstal 3rd, $4.40
Feb23 Scone R2 Brocanteur 1st, $37.80, $5.20
Feb23 Scone R4 Tsear UNP
Feb23 Kyneton R2 Red Car Express UNP
Feb23 Kyneton R2 Vice Admiral UNP
Selections 43.
Winners 7.
Placings 14.
Return - $136.00.
Profit - $93.00.
P.O.T 215%.
So far so good.
Cheers.
<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: TESTAROSSA on 2004-02-23 18:10 ]</font>
TESTAROSSA
23rd February 2004, 06:11 PM
Tuesday Selections:
Back only if $8.00 or longer!!!!
Bathurst.
R1 (13) Star Of Fashion
Pakenham.
R3 (3) Amtrak
Townsville.
R3 (4) Who Dares Wins
Cheers.
sportznut
23rd February 2004, 07:01 PM
Testarossa,
Without actually giving away all the rules, what are the basics of the plan??? :smile:
TESTAROSSA
23rd February 2004, 07:17 PM
Hi Sportz,
The system is very simple really, so giving away the basic rules would give away the system, which i don't want to do at this stage, i will just say that all selections are either 1st up or 2nd up :smile:
Cheers.
<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: TESTAROSSA on 2004-02-23 19:18 ]</font>
sportznut
23rd February 2004, 07:54 PM
Okay, sure thing! It's looking pretty good. Let's see how those ones go tomorrow. :smile:
crash
24th February 2004, 06:57 AM
Testarossa wrote:
'Hi Sportz,
The system is very simple really, so giving away the basic rules would give away the system, which i don't want to do at this stage...' Quote.
If I had a system with a 205% POT, I wouldn't be giving away the rules either !
So...
Not trying to be harsh or upset anyone, but I think I'm making a valid point, which is reason enough to comment:
Great, the results of a system with unpublished rules [ about as interesting as reading a tattslotto result you havn't got a ticket in ].
Apart from being a possible exercise in self praise,is there some sort of rational reasoning at work here ?
If so, please enlighten me as I just can't see it. [ It's obviously on the wrong forum page as well ].
Cheers.
<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: crash on 2004-02-24 07:13 ]</font>
Shaun
24th February 2004, 02:44 PM
Crash ...the fact he put his recent results there is enought to understand how the system works if you take the time to go over each selection and find common ground
crash
24th February 2004, 05:42 PM
Thanks Shaun,
I'm with the program now. Testa was 'secretly' letting everyone in on the system ?
Boy, am I s-l-o-w !!
Thanks Testa.
TESTAROSSA
24th February 2004, 05:51 PM
Crash,
The reason i posted results is because i am going to post the selections daily from today, i thought people might want to know what the previous results were like.
I might be wrong but were you the one who said Sportz was an idiot for posting his successful system rules? Now you are calling me an egomaniac because i posted a few background results from a system i have been working on so i can post selections daily.
Shaun is right the system is pretty simple, all you have to do is have a look at each selections form and you will notice they all have something in common.
Cheers.
<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: TESTAROSSA on 2004-02-24 17:53 ]</font>
TESTAROSSA
24th February 2004, 05:57 PM
Tuesday Results:
Bathurst.
R1 (13) Star Of Fashion - 3rd, $3.50.
Pakenham.
R3 (3) Amtrak - RACE ABANDONED.
Townsville.
R3 (4) Who Dares Wins - RACE ABANDONED.
Cheers.
TESTAROSSA
24th February 2004, 06:25 PM
Wednesday Selections:
Ipswich.
R4 (9) Petite Fraar
R4 (16) Real Live Woman
R5 (11) Oransay
Cheers.
crash
24th February 2004, 11:06 PM
Testa,
Steady ! I didn't call you anything.
I was commenting on what was actually in [or wasn't in ] your first post, not your unknown 'intentions' [ that you have belatedly now posted ]. We ain't mind readers here.
I made fair comment considering your posts content, not an accusation. Why would anyone bother ?
Testa wrote:
"I might be wrong but were you the one who said Sportz was an idiot for posting his successful system rules? Now you are calling me an egomaniac " end quote.
Before you go suggesting I called someone an 'idiot' or called you an 'egomaniac', perhaps you should read the forum rules on slander because your indulging in it.
If anything I called Sportz 'altruistic' [ a compliment ] and certainly not an 'idiot'. He also agreed with the point I was making if you would care to look.
Cheers.
<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: crash on 2004-02-25 00:09 ]</font>
Shaun
25th February 2004, 12:05 AM
Testa....i am buggered if i can find your neat bit of form....think this will take longer than i thought.....did you use your own data base for this system
Desi
25th February 2004, 12:12 AM
Testarossa,
Not sure what it is...cos I know I am slow he he! and lazy...Testa thanks for the tip today..might have a look at the Ipswich lot...like any system...time will tell but so far looks OK...
crash
25th February 2004, 12:28 AM
Selections 43.
Winners 7.
Placings 14.
Return - $136.00.
Profit - $93.00.
P.O.T 215%.
O/L $86 [assuming e/w on all bets ]
Wouldn't profit only be $50 not $93 ?
Only the cost of the win bets have been deducted from return.
Cheers.
Shaun
25th February 2004, 12:48 AM
crash never assume it will always make an ASS out of U and ME he didn't include the place betts because there were none....he was demonstrating win returns....but did show the place % if any one was interested
crash
25th February 2004, 07:07 AM
Have to agree there Shaun.
I guess I was too tired from all the searching for the common links that these horses have, to add everything up.
My assumption was, as there is no O/L total, but the place prices and place totals are displayed along with the win totals, it should mean something [ e/w betting ? ].
I should not assume there is a logical reason behind anything in this forum anymore.
I did try, rather feebly, to cover myself with a question mark [ at the last moment ].
So far, I have come up with these system rules:
1. Win bet only
2. Must be a maiden
3. 1st. or 2nd. up only
4. Any day of the week
5. stating price up to $38 [maybe more]
6. any barrier
7. any jockey
8. any trainer
9. If more than one selection, go with your best guess or throw a dart [?]
There may be more, but I am at a loss and still tired [ and I just got up ].
Cheers.
<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: crash on 2004-02-25 07:27 ]</font>
good 4th
25th February 2004, 08:44 AM
I cant find anything in common with theses selections..... it's got me, come on TESTAROSSA how about a clue??????
GD4TH
Shaun
25th February 2004, 10:29 AM
NO clues...i like this game...just when i think i have found it...there will be one horse that stuffs it up......he did say it was simple so i am guessing there is 1 or 2 rules
TESTAROSSA
25th February 2004, 12:29 PM
There are actually 7 rules, but you already have 3:
(1) Must be a Maiden.
(2) Must be 1st or 2nd up.
(3) Must be $8.00 or more.
Clues:
(1) Check amount of starts for each selection.
(2) The thing they all have in common happened at their first lifetime start.
Hope that helps.
Cheers.
puntz
25th February 2004, 02:32 PM
can you be a bit more specific on the
"first life time start" ?
Is this trials, home track, or the actual track of their very first start /
TESTAROSSA
25th February 2004, 03:24 PM
Puntz,
First actual race start involving prizemoney.
TESTAROSSA
25th February 2004, 04:52 PM
Wednesday Results:
Ipswich.
R4 (9) Petite Fraar - UNP
R4 (16) Real Live Woman - UNP
R5 (11) Oransay - 1st, $8.40, $2.50.
Selections 47.
Winners 8.
Placings 16.
Win Return - $144.40.
Win Profit - $97.40.
Win P.O.T 207.2%.
Place Return - $68.40.
Place Profit - $21.40.
Place P.O.T - 45.5%.
Cheers.
TESTAROSSA
25th February 2004, 04:56 PM
Thursday Selections:
Bendigo
R1 (2) Carlton Caper
R1 (8) Silent Street
R2 (2) Baudolino
R2 (4) English Oak
R2 (6) Mistanz
R3 (2) Classic Chevron
R3 (11) Umbria
Gosford
R3 (6) Pompeii Dancer
R4 (3) Gipsy Magic
R4 (7) Mrs Hogan
R5 (7) Cosmology
R5 (11) Mechanical Fan
R5 (13) Smart Maxie
Cheers.
sportznut
25th February 2004, 05:01 PM
It's certainly doing well Testa! :smile:
<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: sportznut on 2004-02-25 17:04 ]</font>
good 4th
25th February 2004, 05:13 PM
Forgot to back your selections but great stuff.
Still cant work it out though. Prize money hey mmmmmmmmmmm
Nope cant work it......
GD4TH
crash
25th February 2004, 05:43 PM
1 st. start ?
Well, being maidens, what they all have in common is they lost. LOLOL.
Cheers.
kenchar
25th February 2004, 06:02 PM
Crash,
Sorry about this but I can't help myself.
Yeah they lost like 2 of the 3 tips you posted the other day. ( actually 4 tips but 1 was scatched).
I watched those tips with interest and the only conclusion I can come to is that don't worry about doing any form, just go to the Qtab site and look for the horses that have got a big red mark on the odds and you will come up with the same selections.
Would save you a lot of time :lol:
crash
25th February 2004, 06:07 PM
You had a bad day Ken char ? 1 win and a second wasn't bad from 3. [weren't all favorites either]. Perhaps you should put some tips up yourself ? Your not even risking being in the comp.
Testa,
Have just finished checking out the first starts of the horses here. The only thing I can find in common, is that they are all horses [?].
Love a riddle, but ???
Good going anyway Testa, however your doing it.
Cheers.
<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: crash on 2004-02-25 18:38 ]</font>
kenchar
25th February 2004, 06:33 PM
No actually I had a puuuuuuurfect day, 2 bets 2.1 and 2.5 :grin:
Just getting tired of you having a shot at people for no reason.
<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: kenchar on 2004-02-25 19:42 ]</font>
Our Maizcay
25th February 2004, 11:42 PM
Ok ..
i haven't finished looking through everything, but here are my possible 3 additional rules based on the horses given.
Testarossa ... am I right about any of these???
* Under 10 starts .. ie 1 to 9
* Weight change from previous start either up max 3kgs, or down max 3kgs (-3 to +3 kgs)
* My longshot ... Average Prizemoney $2,000 or less.
Also, I have narrowed your selections down again using some very basic additional criteria , and got two new feeds. The results were... with only one additional rule...
BELLA FUTURA unp
CODED $29.00 $5.80
DISCO SLACKS unp
HELLO CRYSTAL 3rd $4.40
JONOBLE $10.20 $2.30
MONKEYPICKEN unp
PEGUNNY JAKE unp
ROXBURY HALL unp
SHE'S STRIKING $10.90 $3.10
SLASHERS CREEK unp $1.60
STARZAMI $10.20 $2.10
Selections: 11
Collect (Win): $60.30
Profit: $49.30
With the smallest of extension of the same criteria we could add this to the above...
CRYSTAL EXPRESS $2.20
LADY CANNY
WEEPING WILLOW
CHARLIE'S LEGACY
LA SPERANZA
DARING ECHO
ORONSAY $8.40 $2.50
BROCANTEUR $37.80 $5.20
LONGSTONE
DREJA
ONUS
CHAMPONY
NINA BELLE
GONE FOR GLORY
It drops your strike rate, but there is a good profit there.
The other sub-system from your horses gives these results ... again, a very simple criteria ( 1 rule)..
CODED $29.00 $5.80
CRYSTAL EXPRESS $2.20
HELLO CRYSTAL $4.40
JONOBLE $10.20 $2.30
KAORU SQUARE
MONKEYPICKEN
NINA BELLE
SHE'S STRIKING $10.90 $3.10
SLASHERS CREEK $1.60
ZAMURD
Selections: 10
Win Div: $50.10
Profit: $40.10
Place Div: $19.40
Profit: $9.40 (94%)
I'll show you mine if you show me yours :smile:
I have looked at tomorrows yet, so haven't applied my criteria to your selections.
Good Luck for tomorrow....
OM
jaffa
26th February 2004, 01:33 AM
I have used a very successful maiden system on city and provincial tracks for 20 years , since a rails client of bookie Col Dale in sydney put me on to it.
Only time i have back $125 winners 3 times in town, Simple rules which i am happy to share.
First -- Barrier 7 or inside
2nd -- No 2nd ups unless first prepartion
3rd -- Must not had more 7 starts
4th and last-- Must be $ 7 or more.
If 2 in race back both, if more back best drawn 2.
Maidens anywhere. Just have a look on Thurs 26/2/04 at any track.
Desi
26th February 2004, 02:48 AM
Testa,
Just got home in time for a late bite and witnessed Oransay come in...good pick LOL of course did not have time to back it...will watch with interest Thursday's lot as there are a lot more...
Our Maizcay
26th February 2004, 03:21 AM
Testa,
here is my selections based upon your selections for Thursday 26th...
1st Plan
BENDIGO 2 6 MISTANZ
BENDIGO 3 11 UMBRIA
GOSFORD 4 3 GIPSY MAGIC
GOSFORD 5 13 SMART MAXIE
GOSFORD 4 7 MRS HOGAN
BENDIGO 2 4 ENGLISH OAK
2nd Plan
BENDIGO 2 6 MISTANZ
GOSFORD 5 13 SMART MAXIE
BENDIGO 2 2 BAUDOLINO
Regards,
OM
TheAvenger
26th February 2004, 06:16 AM
It will be most interesting watching this system in action tonight. I'm glad your selections are on the two tracks I'm allowed to bet from the U.S.. Good luck to us all.
Maiden races are tough to crack here as well.
Regards,
Glenn
crash
26th February 2004, 07:39 AM
Maizcay/Jaffa,
Wow, this thread is 'growing' systems !
The common link for Testa's system though, is something in common to all horse's first start. Find that and everything else becomes clear I think.
Will have to have another look.
Cheers.
<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: crash on 2004-02-26 07:40 ]</font>
crash
26th February 2004, 07:54 AM
Kenchar,
I prefere humor with my 'shots', not cheap spite [I don't think anyone in this forum needs you as babysitter].
Back to publishing your tips after they run [you should start another thread on it ] ?
We could vote on a new rule in the comp. to encourage you to join in, allow you to post your Sat. tips as results on Sat. night.
My only bets yesterday were R6 and 7 at Sandown: $9 and $4.50 wins. Sounds a bit flat after the event, doesn't it ?
Mountaineers couldn't climb the chip on your shoulder. Give it a rest, this ain't your thread.
Cheers.
<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: crash on 2004-02-26 11:08 ]</font>
TESTAROSSA
26th February 2004, 09:23 AM
On 2004-02-25 23:42, Our Maizcay wrote:
Ok ..
i haven't finished looking through everything, but here are my possible 3 additional rules based on the horses given.
Testarossa ... am I right about any of these???
* Under 10 starts .. ie 1 to 9
* Weight change from previous start either up max 3kgs, or down max 3kgs (-3 to +3 kgs)
* My longshot ... Average Prizemoney $2,000 or less.
OM,
The Under 10 starts rule is spot on, the other 2 are not, there are no rules involving Weight or Prizemoney, or Barriers as well.
Everyone,
The thing they all have in common at their first start is pretty simple, ( Besides losing Crash :smile: ) You are all gonna kick yourselves when you realise what it is.
I suggest going to Expertform and searching each selection in Horse History and look at everything each selection has in common at its first start.
Hint - It involves a number :wink:
Cheers.
<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: TESTAROSSA on 2004-02-26 09:24 ]</font>
TESTAROSSA
26th February 2004, 09:51 AM
Thursday Selections:
After Scratchings:
Remember only back if $8.00 or more!!!
Bendigo
R1 (2) Carlton Caper
R1 (8) Silent Street
R2 (2) Baudolino
R2 (4) English Oak
R2 (6) Mistanz
R3 (2) Classic Chevron
R3 (11) Umbria
Gosford
R3 (6) Pompeii Dancer
R4 (3) Gipsy Magic
R4 (7) Mrs Hogan
R5 (11) Mechanical Fan
R5 (13) Smart Maxie
Cheers.
TESTAROSSA
26th February 2004, 09:52 AM
Fridays Selections:
Ararat
R2 (4) Sea Tern
R8 (3) Dream Luck
R8 (11) Just Leica
Doomben
R3 (2) Iron Bridge
R3 (5) Riotous
R3 (7) Templin
R3 (8) Mr Benson
Grafton
R5 (3) Te Rapa Boy
R5 (11) Emanjaya
Penola
R2 (5) Avons Magic
R8 (13) Call To Action
Cheers.
insidetube
26th February 2004, 10:43 AM
Hi Testa
All these horses were in the market first up,so connection must have a good opinion of there horse,just going of todays and tommorrows tip's they have all ran in the top 5, all but 1 Te Rapa Boy 6th . well thought i would through my 2 cents in.
Hey Testa would love to catch up at wyong races 1 day.
The Tube
crash
26th February 2004, 10:59 AM
$8.00 pre-post or starting price ?
Go-Long
26th February 2004, 11:02 AM
under 10/1 starting price
TESTAROSSA
26th February 2004, 11:20 AM
On 2004-02-26 10:59, crash wrote:
$8.00 pre-post or starting price ?
Starting price.
Congratulations go to Insidetube and Go-Long, selections must have been 9-1 or less in their first lifetime start.
Insidetube,
Would be great to meet up at Wyong races one day, if you wanna send me an email penrith43@hotmail.com is where to send it.
Cheers.
crash
26th February 2004, 12:04 PM
OK Testa,
We have:
1. Must be a maiden
2. 1st. or 2nd. up
3. 10 or less starts
4. 9/1 or less first career start
5. Must be $8 or more starting price
6. ???????
7. ???????
Two rules missing folks.
Cheers.
Go-Long
26th February 2004, 02:07 PM
updating rules?
Must be running at same distance (1st up)
or within 200m.
Must have a 50%+ strike rate in top five.
puntz
26th February 2004, 02:36 PM
HA !
won't fool me.
Bendigo race 2
No 1 paid 37.20 (NSW)
But guess what ?
What price did it open ?
Very nice win ,
THANK YOU VERY MUCH !
crash
26th February 2004, 02:57 PM
Awesome fellow wasn't a qualifier [it paid $17 Vic. tab I think ]???
All tips have lost but R4/3 and R5/11 at Gosford are still goers.
Cheers.
<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: crash on 2004-02-26 18:44 ]</font>
puntz
26th February 2004, 03:39 PM
Crash, no it was not a qualifier according to these rules, BUT,
it shows me alot of focus WAS on the rule selections, therefore it exposes what this one about.
May not happen again, but the oportunity was there
TESTAROSSA
26th February 2004, 05:52 PM
Thursday Results:
Sorry fellas tough day today, although if you backed all runners regardless of price would have just lost.
Bendigo
R1 (2) Carlton Caper - UNP
R1 (8) Silent Street - UNP
R2 (2) Baudolino - UNP
R2 (4) English Oak - UNP
R2 (6) Mistanz - 3rd, (Under $8)
R3 (2) Classic Chevron - 1st, (Under $8)
R3 (11) Umbria - 2nd, (Under $8)
Gosford
R3 (6) Pompeii Dancer - 3rd, (Under $8)
R4 (3) Gipsy Magic - 1st, (Under $8)
R4 (7) Mrs Hogan - UNP, (Under $8)
R5 (11) Mechanical Fan - UNP
R5 (13) Smart Maxie - 1st, (Under $8)
Remember a bad day like this will be common when dealing with a longshot system!!!
Cheers.
<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: TESTAROSSA on 2004-02-26 17:52 ]</font>
TESTAROSSA
26th February 2004, 05:54 PM
On 2004-02-26 12:04, crash wrote:
OK Testa,
We have:
1. Must be a maiden
2. 1st. or 2nd. up
3. 10 or less starts
4. 9/1 or less first career start
5. Must be $8 or more starting price
6. ???????
7. ???????
Two rules missing folks.
Cheers.
Last 2 rules involve lengths beaten throughout racing career.
If everyone is sick of figuring them out i will tell the last 2 rules.
Cheers.
crash
26th February 2004, 06:20 PM
Testa,
When Sports was publishing his great systems ,some people thought I was giving him a hard time [ far from it actually ]. Later in his thread I called him altruistic [ suffering an over generous heart ] for what he was doing.
Sportz eventually saw my point and realized that in this game, you are betting against other punters, not the TAB.
When I posted my last post, Gosford R4/3 was showing above $8 [$11 I think ] and it was the only bet I got on [payed in Vic. $6.70] as I wasn't going to be around to see the starting price.
Why did it drop in price ? Because there has been over 400 'views' today and it doesn't take a brain surgeon to work out what happened.
Many people view this forum to pick the bones out of it [ I recollect calling them parasites, which upset a few contributors that the barb wasn't directed at ]. It would be great if the forum was restricted to the handful that actually contribute ].
For a long-shot system, how long will it take for it to be impossible to find a pick that is starting at $8 or more, tomorrow, or the day after ?
Cheers.
<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: crash on 2004-02-26 18:59 ]</font>
kenchar
26th February 2004, 06:52 PM
Crash,
It opened equal 5/1 2nd fav on fixed odds and came over sky it was being well backed, so if you think the price was anything to do with this thread then you are in ya ya land, UNLESS all the big punters at Gosford are getting their selections from this forum???????.
I would rather think their information was informed info.
Oh! just to make you happy I had a bad day, BUT that's not why I am posting this.
Cheers
crash
26th February 2004, 07:10 PM
[ Yes, it's obvious why you are posting ]
Sorry to hear you had a bad day Kenchar .
Contrary to what you would like to believe, I am not mean spirited at all. You should take your vendetta elsewhere, as it really is tiresome, and probably not just to me.
If you keep following me around the forum snapping at my heals every chance you get, I'll do something about it you won't like
[ IT'S TIRESOME MATE ! ].
On IAS the price was above $11 [ not fixed ] when I placed my bet.
It doesn't take BIG punters to kill a price this time of week, just a lot of smallish ones !!
Cheers and better luck tomorrow.
<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: crash on 2004-02-26 19:30 ]</font>
kenchar
26th February 2004, 07:28 PM
Crash,
Sorry I can't agree the tab price just adjusted itself to somewhere around it,s on course price which is the norm except for big longshots.
The only exception you will get to this is midweek Brisbane and Adelaide races ( mainly Brisbane) where their market % is so high you can get a large variation, but mainly in the bigger open fields which are very FLAT in the betting, and here You can find a horse $5 with the books and say $12 on the tab, BUT only if Sky doesn't mention the difference because if they do sure as hell the sheep will follow.
Cheers
I just noticed the additions to your last post, there is no vendetta as you call it, but as I posted a few months ago quite often I pick you up on a lot of of things, but never bothered posting back, now I am and it seems like you can't cop it.
You like giving it out though.
By the way the horse WAS TOP SELECTION ON QTAB RADIO PICKS, and do you realise how many people follow those.
Cheers again
<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: kenchar on 2004-02-26 20:11 ]</font>
crash
26th February 2004, 08:38 PM
Sorry, my response allowance for you has just run out Kenchar [ you'll have to find your cheap thrills ealsewhere ].
<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: crash on 2004-02-26 20:39 ]</font>
TESTAROSSA
26th February 2004, 08:52 PM
These are the results since Sunday 8th February:
Wyong
R1 (9) Birubianice UNP
Flemington
R3 (8) Teleprint - UNP
Sunshine Coast
R2 (17) Bucks Secret 1st, $34.20, $6.60
R2 (18) Monkeypicken 4th
Gawler
R2 (9) Northgate Street - UNP
R3 (9) Ill Have Fun UNP
R3 (12) Lens Gold UNP
Kilmore
R3 (2) Clear Intent 2nd, $3.40
R9 (5) Kennys Rainbow UNP
R9 (8) Vice Admiral UNP
Wagga Wagga
R3 (3) Plaudere 2nd, $2.70
R3 (5) Captain Aubrey 1st, $13.40, $3.50
Pinjarra
R2 (7) Dr Gee UNP
R3 (9) Royal Risca UNP
Warracknabeal
R3 (1) Buds Boy UNP
R3 (4) Duel In The Sun UNP
9/2/04
Hobart
R1 (1) Im A Bandit UNP
10/2/04
Seymour
R8 (5) James Blonde UNP
11/2/04
Sale
R2 (7) Houston Calling UNP
R2 (17) Oriana 1st, $19.10, $4.50
Ipswich
R2 (2) Mates Rates 2nd, $9.20
Balaklava
R2 (9) Bobbie Deegs 1st, $12.80, $2.70
R2 (12) Oceanic Belle UNP
R3 (5) Chigwidden UNP
R3 (6) Hurricane City 3rd, $2.10
12/2/04
Gosford
R6 (6) Hilly 4th
Ballarat
R1 (8) Red Sceptre UNP
R1 (13) Classic Chevron 3rd, $2.00
R2 (6) Thorbey - UNP
R2 (8) Leeds United 4th
Bunbury
R2 (12) Royal Showman 1st, $9.60, $3.10
13/2/04
Eagle Farm
R2 (1) Tropiqualo 2nd, $2.70
R2 (6) Craiglea Warrior 4th
R3 (4) Odalisk 3rd, $3.70
Horsham
R1 (12) Staresque - UNP
Goulburn
R3 (6) Spy Game UNP
Walcha
R7 (5) Prince Of Time - UNP
14/2/04
Wangaratta
R3 (9) His Worship UNP
R4 (2) Geiger Way - UNP
Gold Coast
R1 (1) Triple It Will 4th
R1 (6) Cinque Bella Donna - UNP
Toowoomba
R7 (5) Great Drop - UNP
R7 (7) Reckless Jester - UNP
15/2/04
Kyneton
R1 (15) Honour Your Lady 4th
Colac
R4 (10) Duchess Of Time 3rd, $5.60.
Launceston
R2 (6) Grasjar 3rd, $2.80
16/2/04
Taree
R1 (1) Madame Joy 3rd, $1.80
R1 (3) Warrior Elf - UNP
17/2/04
Werribee
R1 (6) Lady Canny 2nd, NPP
R2 (7) Charlies Legacy UNP
R2 (10) Gone For Glory UNP
Townsville.
R4 (6) Crystal Express 3rd, $2.20
18/2/04.
Hawkesbury.
R1 (11) Jonoble 1st, $10.20, $2.30
Mornington.
R2 (4) Onus 4th.
Doomben.
R1 (8) Starzami 1st, $10.20, $2.10
Strathalbyn.
R2 (4) Bella Futura 4th
R2 (5) Disco Slacks UNP
R7 (1) Edison 1st, $28.60, $6.40
R7 (6) Dendy Walk UNP
Pinjarra.
R2 (9) Coded 1st, $29.00, $5.80
19/2/04.
Canterbury.
R2 (6) One Small Step UNP
R2 (12) Zamurd UNP
Benalla.
R2 (6) Apples UNP
R2 (8) Weeping Willow UNP
R3 (5) Nina Belle UNP
R3 (7) Shes Striking 1st, $10.90, $3.10
R3 (12) La Speranza UNP
20/2/04.
Yarra Glen.
R3 (1) Bobbafet 2nd, $12.50
Rockhampton.
R5 (4) Pegunny Jake
Queanbeyan.
R1 (6) Roxbury Hall UNP
R4 (8) Tract UNP
R4 (12) Meddling Magpie - UNP
Quirindi,
R3 (6) Broc's River 1st, $8.30, $3.00
21/2/04.
Geelong.
R3 (6) Longstone UNP
Gold Coast.
R4 (4) Skinstad UNP
Kembla Grange.
R4 (15) Blushing Maizy 3rd, $11.10
22/2/04.
Kilmore.
R4 (4) Mr Balinchy UNP
R9 (10) Little Darling UNP
Penshurst.
R2 (2) Dreja UNP
Port Lincoln.
R8 (8) Daring Echo UNP
Sunshine Coast.
R3 (14) Moneypicken UNP
Taree.
R3 (6) Slashers Creek 3rd, $1.60
R5 (10) Sudan Silk - $2.70
Wyong.
R2 (4) Champony UNP
R2 (8) Neurology UNP
R2 (16) Kaoru Square UNP
R5 (8) Mr Brisvegas UNP
R5 (12) Hello Cyrstal 3rd, $4.40
23/2/04.
Scone.
R2 (1) Brocanteur 1st, $37.80, $5.20
R4 (3) Tsear UNP
Kyneton.
R2 (5) Red Car Express UNP
R2 (6) Vice Admiral UNP
24/2/04.
Bathurst.
R1 (13) Star Of Fashion 3rd, $3.50.
25/2/04.
Ipswich.
R4 (9) Petite Fraar - UNP
R4 (16) Real Live Woman - UNP
R5 (11) Oransay 1st, $8.40, $2.50.
26/2/04
Bendigo
R1 (2) Carlton Caper UNP
R1 (8) Silent Street - UNP
R2 (2) Baudolino - UNP
R2 (4) English Oak - UNP
Gosford
R5 (11) Mechanical Fan - UNP
Selections - 101
Winners - 13
Placings - 31
Win Return - $232.50
Profit - $131.50
P.O.T - 130%
Place Return - $124.80
Profit - $23.80
P.O.T - 23.5%
EW Return - $357.30
EW Profit - $155.30
EW P.O.T - 76.9%
Cheers.
sportznut
26th February 2004, 09:04 PM
Testa,
I take it those results are based on getting at least $8 or no bet???
Shaun
26th February 2004, 09:49 PM
Sportz...i have a system that i am testing at the moment that is a longshot system with a 12% strike rate and and ave divi of about $12 i have a minimum price of $8 i have found that going lower you do get more winners but you also get lots more selections that lose....the $8 rule cuts down your bets just like your price structure on your systems do
Mark
26th February 2004, 10:44 PM
Yes, well over 400 views, but by the same half a dozen people, over & over. I don't think they all had enough on to affect the price.
puntz
26th February 2004, 11:16 PM
40/60 staking rule I get
40 units win/60 units place
I done this very quickly and not checked for accuracy, but well in front.
Credit Testa, nice system
the copy and paste on this forum has me stuffed, but I think if one copy and past this in spreadsheet and do the formula it should work out ok
Longest loosing streak though was 10
cost profit
10000 6788
Paid win Paid plce Bet w Bet pl Cost Rtn w Rtn pl Net Streaks
R1 (9) Birubianice UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 1
R3 (8) Teleprint - UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 1
R2 (17) Bucks Secret 1st, $34.20, $6.60 34.2 6.6 40 60 100 1368 396 1664 0
R2 (9) Northgate Street - UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 1
R2 (18) Monkeypicken 4th 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 2
R3 (9) Ill Have Fun UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 3
R3 (12) Lens Gold UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 4
R3 (2) Clear Intent 2nd, $3.40 0 3.4 40 60 100 0 204 104 0
R9 (5) Kennys Rainbow UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 1
R9 (8) Vice Admiral UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 2
R3 (3) Plaudere 2nd, $2.70 0 2.7 40 60 100 0 162 62 0
R3 (5) Captain Aubrey 1st, $13.40, $3.50 13.4 3.5 40 60 100 536 210 646 0
R2 (7) Dr Gee UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 1
R3 (9) Royal Risca UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 2
R3 (1) Buds Boy UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 3
R3 (4) Duel In The Sun UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 4
R1 (1) Im A Bandit UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 5
R8 (5) James Blonde UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 6
R2 (7) Houston Calling UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 7
R2 (17) Oriana 1st, $19.10, $4.50 19.1 4.5 40 60 100 764 270 934 0
R2 (2) Mates Rates 2nd, $9.20 0 9.2 40 60 100 0 552 452 0
R2 (9) Bobbie Deegs 1st, $12.80, $2.70 12.8 2.7 40 60 100 512 162 574 0
R2 (12) Oceanic Belle UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 1
R3 (5) Chigwidden UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 2
R3 (6) Hurricane City 3rd, $2.10 0 2.1 40 60 100 0 126 26 0
R6 (6) Hilly 4th 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 1
R1 (8) Red Sceptre UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 2
R1 (13) Classic Chevron 3rd, $2.00 0 2 40 60 100 0 120 20 0
R2 (6) Thorbey - UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 1
R2 (8) Leeds United 4th 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 2
R2 (12) Royal Showman 1st, $9.60, $3.10 9.6 3.1 40 60 100 384 186 470 0
R2 (1) Tropiqualo 2nd, $2.70 0 2.7 40 60 100 0 162 62 0
R2 (6) Craiglea Warrior 4th 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 1
R3 (4) Odalisk 3rd, $3.70 0 3.7 40 60 100 0 222 122 0
R1 (12) Staresque - UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 1
R3 (6) Spy Game UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 2
R7 (5) Prince Of Time - UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 3
R3 (9) His Worship UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 4
R4 (2) Geiger Way - UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 5
R1 (1) Triple It Will 4th 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 6
R1 (6) Cinque Bella Donna - UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 7
R7 (5) Great Drop - UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 8
R7 (7) Reckless Jester - UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 9
R1 (15) Honour Your Lady 4th 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 10
R4 (10) Duchess Of Time 3rd, $5.60. 0 5.6 40 60 100 0 336 236 0
R2 (6) Grasjar 3rd, $2.80 0 2.8 40 60 100 0 168 68 0
R1 (1) Madame Joy 3rd, $1.80 0 1.8 40 60 100 0 108 8 0
R1 (6) Lady Canny 2nd, NPP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 1
R2 (7) Charlies Legacy UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 2
R2 (10) Gone For Glory UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 3
R4 (6) Crystal Express 3rd, $2.20 0 2.2 40 60 100 0 132 32 0
R1 (11) Jonoble 1st, $10.20, $2.30 10.2 2.3 40 60 100 408 138 446 0
R2 (4) Onus 4th. 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 1
R1 (8) Starzami 1st, $10.20, $2.10 10.2 2.1 40 60 100 408 126 434 0
R2 (4) Bella Futura 4th 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 1
R2 (5) Disco Slacks UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 2
R7 (1) Edison 1st, $28.60, $6.40 28.6 6.4 40 60 100 1144 384 1428 0
R7 (6) Dendy Walk UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 1
R2 (9) Coded 1st, $29.00, $5.80 29 5.8 40 60 100 1160 348 1408 0
R2 (6) One Small Step UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 1
R2 (12) Zamurd UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 2
R2 (6) Apples UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 3
R2 (8) Weeping Willow UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 4
R3 (5) Nina Belle UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 5
R3 (7) Shes Striking 1st, $10.90, $3.10 10.9 3.1 40 60 100 436 186 522 0
R3 (12) La Speranza UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 1
R3 (1) Bobbafet 2nd, $12.50 0 12.5 40 60 100 0 750 650 0
R5 (4) Pegunny Jake 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 1
R1 (6) Roxbury Hall UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 2
R4 (8) Tract UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 3
R4 (12) Meddling Magpie - UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 4
R3 (6) Broc's River 1st, $8.30, $3.00 8.3 3 40 60 100 332 180 412 0
R3 (6) Longstone UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 1
R4 (4) Skinstad UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 2
R4 (15) Blushing Maizy 3rd, $11.10 0 11.1 40 60 100 0 666 566 0
R4 (4) Mr Balinchy UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 1
R9 (10) Little Darling UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 2
R2 (2) Dreja UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 3
R8 (8) Daring Echo UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 4
R3 (14) Moneypicken UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 5
R3 (6) Slashers Creek 3rd, $1.60 0 1.6 40 60 100 0 96 -4 0
R5 (10) Sudan Silk - $2.70 0 2.7 40 60 100 0 162 62 0
R2 (4) Champony UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 1
R2 (8) Neurology UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 2
R2 (16) Kaoru Square UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 3
R5 (8) Mr Brisvegas UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 4
R5 (12) Hello Cyrstal 3rd, $4.40 0 4.4 40 60 100 0 264 164 0
R2 (1) Brocanteur 1st, $37.80, $5.20 37.8 5.2 40 60 100 1512 312 1724 0
R4 (3) Tsear UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 1
R2 (5) Red Car Express UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 2
R2 (6) Vice Admiral UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 3
R1 (13) Star Of Fashion 3rd, $3.50. 0 3.5 40 60 100 0 210 110 0
R4 (9) Petite Fraar - UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 1
R4 (16) Real Live Woman - UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 2
R5 (11) Oransay 1st, $8.40, $2.50. 8.4 2.5 40 60 100 336 150 386 0
R1 (2) Carlton Caper UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 1
R1 (8) Silent Street - UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 2
R2 (2) Baudolino - UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 3
R2 (4) English Oak - UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 4
R5 (11) Mechanical Fan - UNP 0 0 40 60 100 0 0 -100 5
Selections - 101 10000 6788
crash
27th February 2004, 02:03 AM
Nice work Puntz. Have you figured out the 2 missing rules ?
Mark,
I hope you are right, but the views went
through the roof yesterday. Only time will tell I guess.
Cheers.
<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: crash on 2004-02-27 02:08 ]</font>
puntz
27th February 2004, 08:09 AM
Crash,
To be honest, no.
I use a much simpler method of selections
that utilizes the other 9/4 staking plan which sustains 11 consecutive losses @ 115 units.
Therefore not so savvy on what to look for cos I have stuck to one method of selection for years.
It works, it ain't broke so why fix-it !! ?
Just like the rule in the 9/4 staking plan say's
"Good for the not so long shot type selection system".
The 9/4 plan could be a bit risky with testa's selections cos there was a run of 10 outs.
One more loss and the 115 units would have vanished.
However, I'll do another calculation with the 9/4 staking method and see what happens when time permits.
crash
27th February 2004, 09:16 AM
Puntz,
Ah, 40/60 !! Now I get where you were coming from in that other thread.
Your right about the outs and also it is worth remembering that only 4 winners accounted for most of the profit. Would have to keep getting those biggies to stay on top.
Still, this is a fascinating system of Test's, not that it has worked [so far], but why it has worked at all ? Hard to see any handicapping rhyme or reason to it [?].
Cheers.
<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: crash on 2004-02-27 09:23 ]</font>
puntz
27th February 2004, 09:26 AM
Crash,
This was a point I try to make.
OK, so we have testa's selection results, all posted for all to see. It was too easy to sit back, type in a spreadsheet,then look at the profit/loss sum, and easy to say, "yeah this will work"
But in the real world, if one is REALY on the 10th bet after 9 loses..do you think it's as easy as sitting behind a keyboard and due to "past results" it will win like in some utopia-matic..
I don't think so..emotions are one of the major, if not THE major hurdles to get by on the punt.
<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: puntz on 2004-02-27 11:17 ]</font>
crash
27th February 2004, 10:06 AM
Puntz,
I spotted the 60/40 typo and was correcting it about the time you were writing.
Yes, the good ol' real world can quickly become a scary place. I hope there was no gusto betting yesterday on the loosing streak. Today's betting will be very timid, yet the system might be on fire !!!
Cheers.
TESTAROSSA
27th February 2004, 10:34 AM
Fridays Selections after scratchings:
Ararat
R2 (4) Sea Tern
R8 (3) Dream Luck
R8 (11) Just Leica
Doomben
R3 (5) Riotous
R3 (7) Templin
Grafton
R5 (3) Te Rapa Boy
R5 (11) Emanjaya
Penola
R2 (5) Avons Magic
Cheers.
TESTAROSSA
27th February 2004, 10:44 AM
On 2004-02-26 21:04, sportznut wrote:
Testa,
I take it those results are based on getting at least $8 or no bet???
Thats correct Sportz.
On 2004-02-27 09:16, crash wrote:
Still, this is a fascinating system of Test's, not that it has worked [so far], but why it has worked at all ? Hard to see any handicapping rhyme or reason to it [?].
I believe there is a reason it has worked (so far) and that is that obviously if a selection started at 9-1 or better in its first lifetime start, it MIGHT have some ability.
That brings us to the 1st or 2nd up rule, which i believe gives the trainer a chance of producing the horse in much better shape then its 1st start, how often have we seen an average/good 2yo come out 1st up as a 3yo and become a very good 3yo+ horse.
The under 10 starts rule is pretty obvious, we don't want to be backing maidens who haven't won after that many chances, and the 8-1 or above starting price is obvious as well, don't want to be backing maidens that get to short.
Cheers.
Our Maizcay
27th February 2004, 01:36 PM
Testa...
here again is my subset of your version. Yesterday there was 2 qualifiers without luck.. so here goes for today..
Our Maizcay's Testarossa Maidens Part One:
Penola: Race 2 #5 Avon's Magic
Grafton: Race 5 #3 Te Rapa Boy
Doomben: Race 3 #7 Templin
Ararat: Race 2 #4 Sea Tern
Ararat: Race 8 #11 Just Leica
Our Maizcay's Testarossa Maidens Part Two:
Penola: Race 2 #5 Avon's Magic
Grafton: Race 5 #3 Te Rapa Boy
Doomben: Race 3 #5 Riotous
Ararat: Race 8 #11 Just Leica
I'm a little late on these, but only one has run to date ... Sea Tern, but it didn't qualify as it was paying around $5.00.
Good Luck,
OM
sportznut
27th February 2004, 01:44 PM
Templin definitely WON'T be $8 or better. The way they were talking about this one on Radiotab this morning, I think it'll probably be short priced favourite!
TESTAROSSA
27th February 2004, 05:35 PM
Fridays Results:
Ararat
R2 (4) Sea Tern - UNP, (Under $8)
R8 (3) Dream Luck - UNP
R8 (11) Just Leica - UNP
Doomben
R3 (5) Riotous - UNP
R3 (7) Templin - 2nd, (Under $8)
Grafton
R5 (3) Te Rapa Boy 3rd, (Under $8)
R5 (11) Emanjaya - UNP
Penola
R2 (5) Avons Magic UNP, (Under $8)
Cheers.
TESTAROSSA
27th February 2004, 05:36 PM
Saturdays Selections:
Cranbourne
R2 (10) The Queens English
R3 (2) Kingdoms Century
R3 (13) Postcode
Gold Coast
R2 (5) Irish Band
R4 (10) Cinque Bella Donna
Newcastle
R1 (6) Salaam Dubai
R2 (2) Al Tharb
R2 (12) Atezzeta
R4 (3) Jireha
R4 (6) Reconnoitre
Toowoomba
R1 (2) Luke Tomahawk
R1 (11) Zellweger
R2 (7) La Special
Cheers.
TESTAROSSA
28th February 2004, 11:10 AM
Saturday Selections after scratchings:
Cranbourne
R2 (10) The Queens English
R3 (2) Kingdoms Century
Gold Coast
R2 (5) Irish Band
Newcastle
R1 (6) Salaam Dubai
R2 (2) Al Tharb
R4 (3) Jireha
R4 (6) Reconnoitre
Toowoomba
R1 (2) Luke Tomahawk
R1 (11) Zellweger
R2 (7) La Special
Cheers.
Our Maizcay
29th February 2004, 01:10 AM
Testarossa,
I forgot to post my additional selections for your system today.
They were for Part A and Part B:
Irish Band
Kingdom's Century
Of course only Kingdom's Century was over the $8.00 mark, and paid $7.00 for the place on UniTAB.
As mentioned previously, there is only 1 simple rule for each subset.
For Part B the simple rule is: Finished less than 3 lengths from winner last start.
For Part A the simple rule is: for those with PPPro, the horse must be in the predicted top 3 rankings.
All previous selections I have posted following your initial selections have adopted those simple rules.
Hope you capitalised today on your good results.
Regards,
OM
Desi
29th February 2004, 05:56 AM
Testa. Our Mainzcay,
Thats a lot of data...some excellent tips...is a $40-$60 split a normal betting allocation for these types of systems?
Seems a lot but having seen the results you would have to be in the black...
Thanks
TESTAROSSA
29th February 2004, 10:36 AM
Saturdays Results:
Cranbourne
R2 (10) The Queens English - UNP
R3 (2) Kingdoms Century 3rd, $9.70
Gold Coast
R2 (5) Irish Band 3rd, (Under $8)
Newcastle
R1 (6) Salaam Dubai UNP, (Under $8)
R2 (2) Al Tharb 1st, (Under $8)
R4 (3) Jireha - UNP
R4 (6) Reconnoitre - 1st, (Under $8)
Toowoomba
R1 (2) Luke Tomahawk 2nd, $4.70
R1 (11) Zellweger 1st, (Under $8)
R2 (7) La Special UNP, (Under $8)
Cheers.
TESTAROSSA
29th February 2004, 11:04 AM
Sunday Selections:
Ballarat
R1 (9) Huahinee
R1 (10) Lucky Diva
R1 (11) Possible Chance
R2 (4) Exspecta Knockback
R2 (7) Leeds United
R3 (1) Bobbafet
R4 (12) Show Princess
Seymour
R2 (4) Grumpy Pat
R2 (7) Spelling
R2 (9) Wathohuck
R2 (12) Stolen Thunder
R3 (6) Geiger Way
R3 (8) Rain King
R3 (12) La Speranza
Sunshine Coast
R2 (6) Triple It Will
Cheers.
Chuck
29th February 2004, 01:57 PM
Hey Testa,
Does the last (or second last) rule of the system have anything to do with the margin they were beaten by in their first race?
thx.
TESTAROSSA
1st March 2004, 03:33 PM
Chuck,
On the right track!!!
TESTAROSSA
1st March 2004, 03:34 PM
Sunday Results:
Ballarat
R1 (9) Huahinee - 3rd, $3.20
R1 (10) Lucky Diva - 1st, (Under $8)
R1 (11) Possible Chance - UNP
R2 (4) Exspecta Knockback - UNP
R2 (7) Leeds United - UNP
R3 (1) Bobbafet - 1st, (Under $8)
R4 (12) Show Princess - 1st, (Under $8)
Seymour
R2 (4) Grumpy Pat - UNP, (Under $8)
R2 (7) Spelling - UNP, (Under $8)
R2 (9) Wathohuck - 1st, (Under $8)
R2 (12) Stolen Thunder - UNP
R3 (6) Geiger Way - UNP
R3 (8) Rain King - 2nd, (Under $8)
R3 (12) La Speranza - UNP
Sunshine Coast
R2 (6) Triple It Will - UNP
Cheers.
TESTAROSSA
1st March 2004, 03:52 PM
Sorry fellas been very busy today, so wasn't able to post selections, wish i did though, we had 2 winners from 5 selections.
Mondays Results:
Sale
R1 (13) With Daring 2nd, (Under $8)
R2 (1) Bally Mitchell 1st, $9.70, $2.40
R2 (7) Balanne - UNP
R2 (12) Little Chief Debra UNP, (Under $8)
R3 (9) Desert Clearance 1st, $9.00, $2.10
Port Macquarie
R3 (1) Creative Force 4th
R3 (7) Luvatius - UNP
Cheers.
TESTAROSSA
1st March 2004, 04:02 PM
Tuesdays Selections:
Geelong
R4 (10) Reine Du Soir
R4 (11) Sweet Scholar
R8 (3) Amtrak
Townsville
R5 (10) Auntie Lou
Wyong
R2 (3) Cosmology
R3 (6) I Know I Am
R3 (9) Extra Terrestial
R3 (10) Pride Of Nevis
R5 (2) Winjal
Cheers.
TESTAROSSA
1st March 2004, 04:16 PM
Updated Results:
Since Feb 7:
Selections - 121
Winners - 15
Placings - 36
Win Return - $251.20
Profit - $130.20
P.O.T - 107.6%
Place Return - $146.90
Profit - $25.90
P.O.T - 21.4%
EW Return - $398.10
EW Profit - $156.10
EW P.O.T - 64.5%
Since first posted selections:
Selections - 29
Winners - 3
Placings - 7
Win Return - $27.10
Loss - $1.90
L.O.T - 6.5%
Place Return - $28.10
Loss - $0.90
L.O.T - 3.1%
EW Return - $55.20
EW Loss - $2.80
EW L.O.T - 4.9%
Cheers.
TESTAROSSA
2nd March 2004, 01:33 PM
Wednesday Selections:
Eagle Farm
R1 (4) Rigel Kent
R1 (8) Handsome Mark
R1 (12) Hip Hop Anonymous
R2 (11) Stellina Belle
R4 (1) Destinies
R4 (2) Iron Bridge
R4 (3) Mr Benson
R5 (1) Chinbok
R5 (9) Peaceful Honour
Kembla Grange
R1 (1) Wishyouweremine
R1 (5) Danehills Echo
R1 (9) Scottish Laird
R1 (15) Coalmine
R2 (6) One Small Step
Mornington
R1 (1) Deadly Possessions
R4 (9) Lipad
R4 (10) Requisite
Murray Bridge
R2 (8) Mt Billy
R2 (9) Glorose
R2 (12) La Noria
R3 (6) Hurtling Along
R3 (7) Lex Luthor
R3 (8) Prince Malebo
R8 (16) Consumate
Cheers.
TESTAROSSA
2nd March 2004, 07:28 PM
Tuesdays Results:
Geelong
R4 (10) Reine Du Soir - UNP, (Under $8)
R4 (11) Sweet Scholar - 2nd, (Under $8)
R8 (3) Amtrak - 1st, (Under $8)
Townsville
R5 (10) Auntie Lou - UNP
Wyong
R2 (3) Cosmology - UNP, (Under $8)
R3 (6) I Know I Am - UNP
R3 (9) Extra Terrestial - 2nd, $3.90
R3 (10) Pride Of Nevis - UNP
R5 (2) Winjal - 2nd, (Under $8)
Cheers.
ginger
4th March 2004, 12:26 AM
last two rules??
same d+c
TESTAROSSA
4th March 2004, 11:05 AM
Wednesday Results:
Eagle Farm
R1 (4) Rigel Kent - UNP, (Under $8)
R1 (8) Handsome Mark - UNP
R1 (12) Hip Hop Anonymous - 3rd, (Under $8)
R2 (11) Stellina Belle - UNP, (Under $8)
R4 (1) Destinies - UNP, (Under $8)
R4 (2) Iron Bridge - UNP
R4 (3) Mr Benson - 2nd, $3.60
R5 (1) Chinbok - 1st, $11.70, $3.30
R5 (9) Peaceful Honour - 3rd, (Under $8)
Kembla Grange
R1 (1) Wishyouweremine - UNP, (Under $8)
R1 (5) Danehills Echo - 3rd, $3.10
R1 (9) Scottish Laird - UNP
R1 (15) Coalmine - UNP
R2 (6) One Small Step - UNP
Mornington
R1 (1) Deadly Possessions - 2nd, (Under$8)
R4 (9) Lipad - 4th, (Under $8)
R4 (10) Requisite - UNP, (Under $8)
Murray Bridge
R2 (8) Mt Billy - 2nd, (Under $8)
R2 (9) Glorose - SCRATCHED
R2 (12) La Noria - UNP, (Under $8)
R3 (6) Hurtling Along - 3rd, (Under $8)
R3 (7) Lex Luthor - 2nd, $2.00
R3 (8) Prince Malebo - UNP, (Under $8)
R8 (16) Consumate - 1st, (Under $8)
Cheers.
TESTAROSSA
4th March 2004, 11:19 AM
Thursday Selections:
Ballina
R2 (2) Prince Protruda
R2 (11) Look Here Tay
R5 (4) Rocky Road
R5 (6) Ebony Splendour
Canterbury
R1 (8) Shiver Of Gold
Warrnambool
R8 (6) Stony It Is
R8 (7) Triggered
Cheers.
TESTAROSSA
4th March 2004, 11:22 AM
Ginger,
Last 2 rules are:
(6) Must have finished at least 5 lengths or less from the winner of at least 1 start, unless it has only had 2 starts in which case must have finished closer then 6 lengths to the winner.
(7) Must not have been beaten by 10 lengths or more on more then 1 occassion
Hope that makes sense.
Cheers.
TESTAROSSA
5th March 2004, 11:28 AM
Thursday Results:
Ballina
R2 (2) Prince Protruda - 3rd, $6.20
R2 (11) Look Here Tay - 1st, (Under $8)
R5 (4) Rocky Road - UNP
R5 (6) Ebony Splendour - UNP
Canterbury
R1 (8) Shiver Of Gold - UNP
Warrnambool
R8 (6) Stony It Is - 2nd, (Under $8)
R8 (7) Triggered - 1st, (Under $8)
Cheers.
TESTAROSSA
5th March 2004, 11:44 AM
Fridays Selections:
Balaklava
R2 (1) Bucephalus
R2 (6) Ownership
R2 (13) Royal Reda
R2 (14) Zingo
R8 (15) Free Friday
Echuca
R1 (6) Lauras Charm
R1 (8) Magizan
R2 (3) Devils Duchess
R2 (5) Petite Lille
R8 (2) Brum
Gunnedah
R3 (3) Peejaycee
Ipswich
R2 (8) Cinque Bella Donna
Nowra
R3 (8) Neurology
R4 (4) Champony
R6 (12) Du Monde
Cheers.
ginger
5th March 2004, 11:58 AM
sorry to but into testas terrific tips
i think a spiteri could have a good day today from testas tips he rides
AR3-1 and AR8-15
CYA
TESTAROSSA
6th March 2004, 12:27 PM
Fridays Results:
Balaklava
R3 (1) Bucephalus 1st, (Under $8)
R3 (6) Ownership 3rd, (Under $8)
R3 (13) Royal Reda - UNP
R3 (14) Zingo 2nd, (Under $8)
R8 (15) Free Friday 1st, (Under $8)
Echuca
R1 (6) Lauras Charm 2nd, (Under $8)
R1 (8) Magizan 3rd, (Under $8)
R2 (3) Devils Duchess UNP, (Under $8)
R2 (5) Petite Lille - UNP
R8 (2) Brum - UNP
Gunnedah
R3 (3) Peejaycee UNP, (Under $8)
Ipswich
R2 (8) Cinque Bella Donna - UNP
Nowra
R3 (8) Neurology 1st, (Under $8)
R4 (4) Champony UNP, (Under $8)
R6 (12) Du Monde 3rd, (Under $8)
Cheers.
TESTAROSSA
6th March 2004, 12:28 PM
Saturdays Selections:
Newcastle
R3 (11) Sudan Silk
R5 (9) Waterfire
R5 (13) Reigning Love
R5 (14) Troubeaut
Toowoomba
R1 (3) Luckiest
R1 (5) Must Honour
R1 (7) Great Elle
Cheers.
TESTAROSSA
7th March 2004, 10:55 AM
Saturdays Results:
Newcastle
R3 (11) Sudan Silk - UNP
R5 (9) Waterfire - UNP, (Under $8)
R5 (13) Reigning Love - 2nd, (Under $8)
R5 (14) Troubeaut - UNP, (Under $8)
Toowoomba
R1 (3) Luckiest - 3rd, (Under $8)
R1 (5) Must Honour - UNP
R1 (7) Great Elle - UNP
Cheers.
TESTAROSSA
7th March 2004, 11:31 AM
Sundays Selections:
Devonport
R3 (4) King Of Kata
Echuca
R2 (3) Charlies Legacy
R3 (1) Dirt Road Hally
R3 (4) Barely Hunter
R3 (10) Goldstram
R3 (12) Little Darling
Stony Creek
R1 (9) Postcode
R1 (10) Miss Henny Penny
R2 (4) Narrogin
Pinjarra
R1 (11) Pezzetto
Cheers.
TESTAROSSA
7th March 2004, 03:59 PM
Sundays Results:
Devonport
R3 (4) King Of Kata - UNP
Echuca
R2 (3) Charlies Legacy - 3rd, $3.60
R3 (1) Dirt Road Hally - UNP
R3 (4) Barely Hunter - 2nd, (Under $8)
R3 (10) Goldstram - UNP
R3 (12) Little Darling - 1st, $14.00, $4.40
Stony Creek
R1 (9) Postcode - UNP, (Under $8)
R1 (10) Miss Henny Penny - UNP
R2 (4) Narrogin - UNP, (Under $8)
Pinjarra
R1 (11) Pezzetto - 1st, (Under $8)
Cheers.
TESTAROSSA
7th March 2004, 04:22 PM
Monday's Selections:
Cheltenham
R1 (1) Glorose
R1 (3) Miss Maverick
R1 (7) Imeldas Shoes
R8 (1) Al Chergar
R8 (8) Vain Cheval
R8 (9) Vainsky
R8 (10) Wavefront
R8 (14) Nureyevs Girl
Coffs Harbour
R1 (3) Madame Joy
R1 (4) Nancys Hope
R6 (2) Pressed
R6 (4) Black All Over
Eagle Farm
R1 (1) Octazure
R1 (2) Dinamira
R1 (3) Gay Deception
R1 (4) Wapilly
R1 (5) Kakonie
R2 (2) Declanter
R4 (3) Marwood Road
R4 (11) Merinda
Hanging Rock
R1 (6) Soiree Girl
Moe
R8 (6) Miss Debonair
R8 (8) Princess Gabriele
R8 (10) Rouge Sky
Rosehill
R1 (5) Erthakit
R1 (9) Shes In Demand
R2 (3) Church On Sunday
R2 (10) Sassy Soda
Cheers.
TESTAROSSA
9th March 2004, 08:35 AM
Monday's Results:
Cheltenham
R1 (1) Glorose - 2nd, (Under $8)
R1 (3) Miss Maverick - UNP
R1 (7) Imeldas Shoes - UNP, (Under $8)
R8 (1) Al Chergar 4th
R8 (8) Vain Cheval 1st, (Under $8)
R8 (9) Vainsky - UNP
R8 (10) Wavefront - UNP
R8 (14) Nureyevs Girl 2nd, (Under $8)
Coffs Harbour
R1 (3) Madame Joy - UNP, (Under $8)
R1 (4) Nancys Hope - 3rd, $3.40
R6 (2) Pressed 4th
R6 (4) Black All Over - SCRATCHED
Eagle Farm
R1 (1) Octazure - 4th, (Under $8)
R1 (2) Dinamira - UNP, (Under $8)
R1 (3) Gay Deception - 3rd, NTD
R1 (4) Wapilly - UNP
R1 (5) Kakonie - SCRATCHED
R2 (2) Declanter - UNP, (Under $8)
R4 (3) Marwood Road - UNP, (Under $8)
R4 (11) Merinda - 4th, (Under $8)
Hanging Rock
R1 (6) Soiree Girl - 2nd, (Under $8)
Moe
R8 (6) Miss Debonair UNP, (Under $8)
R8 (8) Princess Gabriele UNP, (Under $8)
R8 (10) Rouge Sky 3rd, (Under $8)
Rosehill
R1 (5) Erthakit - UNP
R1 (9) Shes In Demand - 1st, (Under $8)
R2 (3) Church On Sunday - 2nd, (Under $8)
R2 (10) Sassy Soda SCRATCHED
Cheers.
TESTAROSSA
9th March 2004, 08:36 AM
Tuesdays Selections:
Cessnock
R1 (3) Tsear
R1 (4) Vasspour
R1 (8) Sagapo
R3 (12) Madam Kruger
Horsham
R2 (3) Cogitate Lady
R2 (5) Jilldaw
R2 (9) Tuscany Crown
R3 (4) Leroy The Boy
Port Lincoln
R1 (2) Lincoln Sea
Cheers.
TESTAROSSA
10th March 2004, 11:07 AM
Tuesdays Results:
Cessnock
R1 (3) Tsear - UNP
R1 (4) Vasspour - 3rd, (Under $8)
R1 (8) Sagapo - UNP
R3 (12) Madam Kruger - UNP, (Under $8)
Horsham
R2 (3) Cogitate Lady - 2nd, (Under $8)
R2 (5) Jilldaw - UNP
R2 (9) Tuscany Crown - 1st, (Under $8)
R3 (4) Leroy The Boy - UNP, (Under $8)
Port Lincoln
R1 (2) Lincoln Sea - UNP
Cheers.
TESTAROSSA
10th March 2004, 11:20 AM
Wednesdays Selections:
Cranbourne
R3 (8) Fuji Sunrise
Ipswich
R3 (2) Rumour Mill
Naracoorte
R1 (5) Military Twostep
R1 (6) Mururoa
Randwick
R2 (1) Awol
R2 (2) Baronial
R2 (7) Pompeii Dancer
R2 (11) Torpedoes
Cheers.
TESTAROSSA
11th March 2004, 11:22 AM
Wednesdays Results:
Cranbourne
R3 (8) Fuji Sunrise - 2nd, (Under $8)
Ipswich
R3 (2) Rumour Mill - 1st, (Under $8)
Naracoorte
R1 (5) Military Twostep - 2nd, (Under $8)
R1 (6) Mururoa - 1st, (Under $8)
Randwick
R2 (1) Awol - UNP, (Under $8)
R2 (2) Baronial - 2nd, (Under $8)
R2 (7) Pompeii Dancer - UNP, (Under $8)
R2 (11) Torpedoes - 1st, (Under $8)
Cheers.
TESTAROSSA
11th March 2004, 11:37 AM
Thursdays Seections:
Ballarat
R1 (1) Baudolino
R1 (7) Viracocha
R1 (12) Find An Oasis
R1 (13) Forest Voodoo
R2 (8) Short Hand
R4 (5) Mistanz
R4 (9) Tigara
Hawkesbury
R1 (10) Savings Are Golden
R4 (3) Rochambeau
R6 (6) Bosworth Field
Rockhampton
R3 (1) Balvain
Cheers.
TESTAROSSA
11th March 2004, 06:00 PM
Thursdays Results:
Ballarat
R1 (1) Baudolino - UNP
R1 (7) Viracocha - 1st, (Under $8)
R1 (12) Find An Oasis - UNP
R1 (13) Forest Voodoo - UNP
R2 (8) Short Hand - UNP
R4 (5) Mistanz - 2nd, (Under $8)
R4 (9) Tigara - 1st, (Under $8)
Hawkesbury
R1 (10) Savings Are Golden - UNP, (Under $8)
R4 (3) Rochambeau - 2nd, (Under $8)
R6 (6) Bosworth Field - UNP, (Under $8)
Rockhampton
R3 (1) Balvain - UNP, (Under $8)
Cheers.
TESTAROSSA
11th March 2004, 06:13 PM
Fridays Selections:
Doomben
R1 (1) Mr Benson
R2 (3) Luke Tomahawk
R4 (3) Strong Suit
R4 (8) Vacillate
R4 (14) Collo Rotonto
Muswellbrook
R2 (2) Black All Over
R2 (3) Bourbon Alley
R4 (8) Go Fil
R4 (9) Jaritha
Seymour
R1 (8) Possible Chance
R2 (4) Stolen Thunder
Cheers.
<font size=-1>[ This Message was edited by: testarossa on 2004-03-12 12:35 ]</font>
TESTAROSSA
13th March 2004, 10:45 AM
Fridays Results:
Doomben
R1 (1) Mr Benson - 1st, (Under $8)
R2 (3) Luke Tomahawk - 4th, (Under $8)
R4 (3) Strong Suit - 3rd, (Under $8)
R4 (8) Vacillate - UNP
R4 (14) Collo Rotonto - UNP
Muswellbrook
R2 (2) Black All Over - UNP
R2 (3) Bourbon Alley - 3rd, (Under $8)
R4 (8) Go Fil - 3rd, $2.60
R4 (9) Jaritha - UNP, (Under $8)
Seymour
R1 (8) Possible Chance - UNP
R2 (4) Stolen Thunder - 1st, (Under $8)
Cheers.
watsonnek
1st August 2007, 08:12 PM
There's got to be many a safer way to invest :rolleyes:
Chuck
1st August 2007, 09:11 PM
would you believe i was only looking at this (2004!!!) thread last week :eek: this system started off a ripper, i still think there could money to be made around this one :)
Sportz
1st August 2007, 09:46 PM
Well, if we could bet on the races from 2004, yeah, I'm sure we could make some money. ;)
Chuck
1st August 2007, 10:11 PM
oh sportznut you altruist :D
pengo
23rd December 2007, 11:16 PM
shutup you egomaniac ;)
crash
24th December 2007, 07:53 AM
would you believe i was only looking at this (2004!!!) thread last week :eek: this system started off a ripper, i still think there could money to be made around this one :)
I agree Chuck, this system could still have legs. I think a major rule flaw though was the 'up to 10 starts'. Any horse that hasn't won it's maiden within 10 starts isn't getting my money as they have developed consistent form ... losing!
I think if the No. of starts was reduced to 5, the system would have less starters [needed] and better potential [?]
Chuck
24th December 2007, 05:11 PM
shutup you egomaniac ;)
i wasn't the egomaniac, testarossa was!
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