An idea only

[xptdriver]

Gday All

below are the horses that I have rated on top and a computer rating program has rated on top as well for today... I am interestd to see if this works finding winners as well as reducing the number of bets, and improving SR, by weeding out the duds, these may very well prove to be the duds :)

I haven't tested them, so are posting them as an experiment.. see if the forum curse kills em stone dead :)

I would expect most to be fav or not far off fav

10/02/2006 1:17 WALCHA 1 3 CLANGSHOT Class 3
10/02/2006 1:35 TATURA 1 11 OKIATO Maiden 3yo
10/02/2006 1:52 WALCHA 2 4 MR FIRTH Maiden
10/02/2006 2:27 WALCHA 3 2 CHYNA SUCCESS Class 1
10/02/2006 3:17 ALBURY 3 4 WAHALA Class 2
10/02/2006 3:25 TATURA 4 6 SATZERO Maiden 3yo+
10/02/2006 3:37 WALCHA 5 3 SILVER SATIVA Class 2
10/02/2006 4:05 EAGLE FARM 4 6 COQUITO ROSE Maiden 3yo+
10/02/2006 4:25 GAWLER 3 2 GOLD LENS Class 1 3yo
10/02/2006 5:05 GAWLER 4 3 SUPER SOVEREIGN Class 2
10/02/2006 5:15 ALBURY 6 6 STICK Class 3
10/02/2006 5:20 TATURA 7 2 CYCLONE SYLVIA Class 4 3yo+
10/02/2006 6:05 EAGLE FARM 7 4 FELINE ARTISTRY Class 4
10/02/2006 6:40 DARWIN 2 3 MONTEPERTUSO Class 5
10/02/2006 6:42 EAGLE FARM 8 6 CIRCUS MAXIMUS Class 1
10/02/2006 8:35 MOONEE VALLEY 4 5 LADY SUNDRIDGE Class 1 3yo
10/02/2006 9:05 MOONEE VALLEY 5 3 AVENUE GOOGLE Rest 0 Metro Win
10/02/2006 10:05 MOONEE VALLEY 7 6 GOLD PIED Class 6 4yo+

[xptdriver]

Gday All

that seemed to work Ok .. but it is only one day and 18 selections...

from those 18 selections we had 5 winners and 6 place getters
(11 including the winners)

Win outlay 18
return 38 (Best tote)

Place Outlay 18
return 23.2 (best tote)

May be worth keeping an eye on....

[wesmip1]

Nice Work.

Keep it up.

[Mr ed]

Hi XPT well done, where do you get best tote for the place from?, i want it.

[xptdriver]

Hi XPT well done, where do you get best tote for the place from?, i want it.

Gday Ed

there is a site, that has horse and something about "siber" in it's name that gives you the four totes live... Austote, STAB UniTAB and Tabcorp... All bar Austote bet for the place... If my clue is too vague.... email me and I will point u in the right direction.. U will need accounts with the TABS you want to bet with....

I don't know of a bookie that offers best place tote so it is a manual job trying to get the odds... for the win probaly 7/10 times austote is the best.. they also round to 0.05 instead of 0.10 as the others do... tho i keep accounts with the others as well... again it is a manual job, but I believe there is software available that will do it automatically for you... Austote doesn't normally bet on Mondays, and is usually metro only only Weds and Sats and Public holidays.. don't forget with austote you need to deduct the takeout after the dividend is declared... that max is 5%, depending on Turnover you can get it down to about 2%.. so still is way better than the other totes on average.

Hope that helps

[bradw]

Hi XPT well done, where do you get best tote for the place from?, i want it.
Try Betezy, they pay best tote on win and place betting.

[Mr ed]

Thanks Xpt and Brad, the problem i have with the manual stuff X is that i like to bet in the country where pool sizes are small and most turnover is done in the last 2 mins of betting, thus i really can't work out what to bet on.

That intrigues me about Austote, i really would have thought that only very good judges would bother signing with them, in a sense you are competing with other knowledgable punters rather then the rank and file. So i would have thought the prices of the true chances in a race would have been alot smaller, despite the decreased % takeout.

Brad thanks for that info about betezy i have looked at them before however they do only operate the best place service for metro meetings and as i wrote earlier i'm more a provincial man.

Thanks for the input lads, much appreciated

[xptdriver]

Here are today's offerings


11/02/2006 12:03 CRANBOURNE 1 3 DELETION Maiden 3yo+
11/02/2006 12:30 ROSEHILL 1 1 BYE BYE BELLA Class 6 3yo+
11/02/2006 1:02 CHELTENHAM 1 2 CHANGING EYES Rest 1 Metro Win 2yo
11/02/2006 1:27 GRAFTON 1 2 SILVER BONANZA Open
11/02/2006 1:46 HOBART 4 3 SAGITTARE Maiden 2yo
11/02/2006 2:12 CAULFIELD 3 1 JUMLAH Group III 2yo
11/02/2006 2:34 GOLD COAST 3 1 SHORT WAY Class 4
11/02/2006 2:38 CRANBOURNE 5 6 FINE PERFORMANCE Maiden 3yo+
11/02/2006 2:42 DOOMBEN 3 5 SIR SENSIBLE Class 6
11/02/2006 2:52 CAULFIELD 4 2 KAPHERO Group III 2yo
11/02/2006 3:06 HOBART 6 11 LUCIBEAR Class 1
11/02/2006 3:10 ROSEHILL 5 7 PURPLE DANE Class 6 3yo+
11/02/2006 3:17 CRANBOURNE 6 1 TUBULAR BELLS Class 4
11/02/2006 3:30 CAULFIELD 5 7 WHAT'S THE MAIL Listed Race
11/02/2006 3:37 ALICE SPRINGS 1 1 POTASKI Class 1
11/02/2006 3:47 ASCOT 1 1 FIGHTING FOX Open 2yo
11/02/2006 3:58 CRANBOURNE 7 5 VICTORY SWEEP Class 1
11/02/2006 4:06 GRAFTON 5 5 DANCE THE TANGO Maiden
11/02/2006 4:10 CAULFIELD 6 5 LAD OF THE MANOR Group I
11/02/2006 4:17 ALICE SPRINGS 2 2 LAMBENT Class 3
11/02/2006 4:27 ASCOT 2 1 STORMED OUT Open 3yo
11/02/2006 4:34 GOLD COAST 6 1 THE LIP Class 2
11/02/2006 4:41 DOOMBEN 6 12 BABINDA HALF Open
11/02/2006 4:50 CAULFIELD 7 9 AMERRYKING Listed Race 3yo
11/02/2006 5:00 CHELTENHAM 7 7 SOUTHERN CLASS Open
11/02/2006 5:37 ALICE SPRINGS 4 3 RAZZOTANO Maiden
11/02/2006 5:40 CHELTENHAM 8 3 AL HAZAAR Open 3yo
11/02/2006 5:44 HOBART 10 1 THE MIGHTY WEST Class 4
11/02/2006 5:55 GOLD COAST 8 2 VITAL STATISTIC Class 1
11/02/2006 7:42 ASCOT 7 8 KING WALLY Listed Race 3yo+
11/02/2006 8:20 ASCOT 8 2 BOLD RANSOM Rest 3 Metro Win 3yo+

[xptdriver]

Today was pretty much a square day, albeit with a small profit..

Here is the running tally

Races 48
WINS 14
PLACES 34

WIN POT 46.25%
SR 29.17%
AV DIV $5.01
P/L 22.20 UNITS


PLACES 34
PLACE POT 26.04%
SR 70.83%
AV DIV $1.78
P/L 12.50 UNITS

[xptdriver]

12/02/2006 11:55 COLAC 1 7 GEM OF THE HILLS Open 2yo
12/02/2006 12:40 KYNETON 1 5 CAN SHE WIN Maiden 2yo
12/02/2006 1:00 COLAC 3 5 STAY ALL DAY Maiden 3yo+
12/02/2006 1:05 WYONG 1 7 ZOCCOLETTA Maiden 2yo
12/02/2006 1:20 BATHURST 2 2 MATCHLESS Open 2yo
12/02/2006 1:55 BATHURST 3 3 GREEN FELLAS Open
12/02/2006 2:15 WYONG 3 3 TEN TO COUNTDOWN Class 3
12/02/2006 2:50 WYONG 4 1 CENTINELLE Maiden
12/02/2006 2:55 NARACOORTE 4 3 GORSKA VILA Class 2
12/02/2006 3:00 KYNETON 5 1 DRIZZLE Class 3
12/02/2006 3:05 BATHURST 5 9 LOLIREDINI Maiden
12/02/2006 3:25 WYONG 5 2 HIS EXCELLENCY Maiden
12/02/2006 3:35 KYNETON 6 3 WINDSOX Open
12/02/2006 3:40 BATHURST 6 4 MISS MOONLINE Class 1
12/02/2006 4:00 WYONG 6 3 MONTE POWER Class 2
12/02/2006 4:37 COLAC 9 2 STRAIGHT LEGS Flying
12/02/2006 4:50 ALBANY 1 1 SPECIAL JESTER Open 3yo+
12/02/2006 4:54 KYNETON 8 1 FULL TILT Class 1
12/02/2006 4:58 BATHURST 8 5 DELPHIC DANCER Class 3
12/02/2006 5:25 ALBANY 2 1 LITTLESIXFOOT Maiden
12/02/2006 7:55 ALBANY 6 5 AHABSTER Class 3

[xptdriver]

Below are some to consider for today

21/02/2006 2:00 CESSNOCK 1 6 PHARAOH'S CURSE
21/02/2006 2:35 CESSNOCK 2 2 BALWEARIE
21/02/2006 3:10 CESSNOCK 3 1 MONTECITO
21/02/2006 3:45 CESSNOCK 4 9 MIDNIGHT SHAKER
21/02/2006 4:20 CESSNOCK 5 1 CONTRACTUAL
21/02/2006 4:55 CESSNOCK 6 3 BATH
21/02/2006 5:30 CESSNOCK 7 2 LOCHRON
21/02/2006 1:15 TOWNSVILLE 1 1 OUT TO LUNCH
21/02/2006 3:00 TOWNSVILLE 4 1 RIO GRANDO
21/02/2006 3:35 TOWNSVILLE 5 1 GREAT ROMANCE
21/02/2006 4:10 TOWNSVILLE 6 1 RUHLMANN
21/02/2006 4:45 TOWNSVILLE 7 3 NATHAN'S COMMAND
21/02/2006 1:12 WANGARATTA 1 9 CAN SHE WIN
21/02/2006 2:22 WANGARATTA 3 2 PETAEUSTIS
21/02/2006 2:57 WANGARATTA 4 1 COMIC ECHO
21/02/2006 4:07 WANGARATTA 6 5 ZIMSTAR