Gold Coast Saturday

[maverick1993]

Last week the e?????s said it was a hard card...i didnt see it that way but tomorrow i agree with them...taken me 3 days of ratings headaches to get an idea here .and i have alot of races where i've alot of top raters.....the good thing about a day like tomorrow is theres good value around so you can back more than just the one runner and i think its a good plan of attack...
Good luck tomorrow...i'll be having a big one after such a good last Saturday and some good results this week,,but i'm not super confident.

Race 1
Looks a hard race. Last start i gave Shilo a chance even with the wide barrier and he did well to go down only a length especially down the E/F straight..If Beadman gets him across to the rails and rates him well he could win this. The rail back in the true now so so the inside early on could be a big advantage...a tough ask from the even wider barrier here ,,but he could do it.Radar Orielly is an interesting runner..i remember him flying home first up last time after racing wide..he could give this a shake 1st up here but the track doesnt really suit...and Birthday Bash did very well last start in a hot time..he doesnt really go that well here or 2nd up but Colless helps his cause.....
These the top three for me...sort of race where you could make a case for most of them...I keep thinking that if Shilo had drawn a good barrier he would be fairly short here and i'm a fan of Radar ..the odds should be pretty good so i should be able to back both of them...the track specialist Short way will give alot of cheek up front..make sure hes there in your tris ect with Birthday Bash..

Race 2.
Motivate and Clang Edition on top for me...both look well suited ..the odds for Clang Edition are pretty good but there were some positive signs for Motivate last start...even though i think he still had enough time to win...But JB sways it narrowly Motivates way here but only just....Clang edition is above average and a big chance,,,an interesting runner is Point Of Honour who charged home from a mile back here last time he raced here...Colless will give him the cosy run and he could surprise,,
Motivate one last time..

Race 3.
What a race...the two slipper runners of Maunds dominate betting and so they should...doesnt look a betting race for me..but Pure Energy looks pretty good here...Lynch prefers Goldy but Pure Energy seems to have the wood on her ...if you like roughies Ring Ring did well last start and Sweet As has ability,,,Ghetto Blaster with the master with the youngies will be in the mix aswell....,,I'd lean towards Pure Energy who has alot of heart but if the rail is the place to be jump on to Goldy who will be tough to run down .....no value in this race at all ,,,but watch the 1st couple of races and get a guide to any bias...

Race 4.
Gaze and Super Lacuna arent very easy horses to rate...both have ability..but i'm sticking to the horses i know...especially on the good track...Prend was fantastic last start,,was super strong the last 50 and another horse Vietnam was also very impressive when he finally got clear,,,The jockey leans me towards Prend again ,,,and it looks like I'm tipping a big day for JB :)
...Hayils Magic was good last start but the alley is a worry and with the benifit of the inside barrier and not a heap of speed in the race Super Lacuna has a big show also.....i'm not very confident in this race but still think Prend and Vietnam will be the ones running on when it counts and at the odds might be able to back both of them...

Race 5.
Found a 10/1 shot here in DiamondsontheInside ,,,,i'm a huge fan of Strawbery Malt and i think she follows Fashions Afield across and they'll both be up on the speed....they'll have to do a bit of work so i think a horse drawn well with a strong finsh could win this.....tereshenko 1st up 1400m ?? interesting ?? Moody isnt an idiot and he would have this horse primed for this race.....Fashions will be hard to beat but i'm hoping they pressure her up front ...Strawbery will run a huge race as usual....Emit time looked good last start and from the inside with Beadman on board will give a good site...and who could forget Master Dennis flying home from miles back when he was here last the barrier worries me but if they ride him like that again he could steal this.....
can't tip them all and if theres no bias ...Diamondsontheinside e/w

Race 6.
I have 4 horses here very evenly rated, Amex, Daunting Lad, Deuxime, Consular....i usually just leave these races alone...but i'm a massive fan of Deuxieme and with Colless aboard it just seals the deal...he looked good last start as did Amex who loves the track,,...and i was stunned with Daunting Lad..he just exploded to victory last start...he usuals winds up but last start Patillo just pushed the nitro button,,but he hasnt drawn the good barrier he has enjoyed of late.........Impaler is right in this race and i still probably have missed the winner.....Umatrick a lightweight knockout chance...Consular as brave as always...
Deuxieme for me at the good odds.(i've already had a nibble at the 100's for the straddie)...but at the 6's its worth having something on the Lad aswell..
if they are winning on the rail....i'd be looking at Impaler to get over the top of tornado alley..

Race 7.
Ikes Dream looks a good bet on such a hard card...Some might say the track wont suit but she looks a class above them..Roman Arch as tuff as nails will be in the hunt and Mahtoum was good last start ,,,if you like huge roughies Classic Carla at 100's caught my eye last start...hes been set for the Brissie cup and i've had a nibble at the 26's as i think the race will be void of any real class......Devastating will improve here and Villa bleds last couple of runs have been encouraging..
Doesnt look any value in this race But Ikes Dream should be winning..

Race 8.
Love and Money at 10's looks value...should get the cosy run on the rail and ran on well last start,,,,,The Princess back against the girls will be hard to catch and who could forget Coincidental last time here,,,i was alittle dissapointed with Coincidental last start but hes bound to be improved...if Single Rose gets a start shes right in this after a massive run last start even with the bad barrier.....and La Montagna was unbelievable last start,,, if the odds permit i might have something on her aswell,,,,,but Love and Money at the e/w's looks a good bet...

A friggin hard day tomorrow....J/B for
Best Bets,,,,Motivate, Ikes Dream, Prend
Best e/w's.... Love and Money, Deuxieme,

Good Luck all...its needed tomorrow :) ..and go the Kangarooooossssssss

[Raw Instinct]

Tough old day this one but what a day of races it is.

Race 1: Hard race to start the day out and I couldn't be overly confident with anything here I do like 3 horses though Doonan Dancer, Get Salty and Hamah. If forced to pick out of the 3 of them I would probably lean towards Doonan Dancer he has the ability to settle in a forward position and should get a nice run at pretty good e/w odds after that Hamah has to be a chance has been hitting the line nicely lately and should be decent odds again I wouldn't leave him out of your multiples.

Race 2: I amnot overly interested n this one however I do think that Mikan has a good chance of winning was a very nice run behind Legendary Man last start and I think it would only have to repeat that performance to have a good chance here.

Race 3: Once again not overly interested in this race you would think that Pure Energy would start a deserved fav but can it back up from a fairly tough campaign. One horse I have had a bit of time for is Cole Trickle not sure if it will be upto winning tomorrow but might be worth a small e/w bet if they ride him back he will hit the line nicely and you just never know in racing anything can happen.

Race 4: I am a huge fan of Prend and think it will go extremely close in this race it absolutely ate up the turf late last time and probably should have won just not sure what sort of odds we will see tomorrow would want atleast 4 or 5-1 for a horse with it's racing style, outside out that I like half of the field Hayil's Magic, Magic Harmony, Caos Cross, Vietnam and even the 4th emergency who has no chance of gaining a start Legal Engagement. If I had to search for a bit of value it might be Caos Cross but I do think that Prend will be extremely hard to hold out.

Race 5: Tough race and I will be looking towards some value here i Master Denis hopefully they will just snag him back and let him get one run at them we all saw his last run it was enormous a repeat could prove hard to hold out, another horse I have a little bit of time for is Rumbird probably not upto this class but it is amazing how many times you see horses like it run out of there skin is these races.

Race 6: Another hard race here think I might have said that before I like 3 horses here Amex, Top Marc and Show Biz Kid but seriously just about any horse in the field could be winning this Consular would probably be the one I would be most worried about outside of the 3 I mentioned. Not sure what I am going to back will wait and see what odds come up tomorrow but I am fairly certain I will have something e/w on Top Marc.

Race 7: I am going to take on Ike's Dream here she is probably the class horse of the field however she is suspect beyond 1600m I feel that way even despite the last run, I think Devastating has a big chance of winning this race was a good run last start and I would imagine 3rd up 2000m should suit him to a tee I am also a fan of Cinque Cento however I do feel she has been extremely disappointing this prep if she is ridiculos odds tomorrow I might put something on her outside of that Octapussy looks a very serious race horse and I think Serenote might be worth a e/w ticket. All in all I will probably back Devastating for the win and Serenote e/w

Race 8: Love and Money for me here we could be jinxing it Mav I have always been a fan of this horse and it looks like it should settle into a great spot again from a sweet draw, La Montagna picks itself but she will be spotting them a big start just a matter of whether she can get there in time. I also don't mind Free Roller has to be a bit of a chance as does Countess Bathory might just come down to how I am travelling at this stage but I will definitely be backing Love and Money.

[maverick1993]

other state selections
Sydney
Fritzs Princess, Ledger, Mosso, Gorgonite,
Kembla
Sydney City
Flemington
Merlot Now..(track ??)
Gawler
Civil
Ipswich
Chatinn

[Dazz]

What about Merlot Now Mav ????

I think tomorrows the day !!!

S Nolen on him (one ride all day) he's probably given up 3-4 rides at

The provincials & big spaces of Flemington in Favour.

* I cant see them beating Ikes dream tomorrow , End of.

** I like Prend but not tomorrow, I dont like mixing superstition with Punting

Butt, when a horses form is 32, the percentage of winners must be a whole 1%.

Anyone else noticed this. This is the only time i apply superstition.

[maverick1993]

Backed him every start of his career Dazz....i'll be on as usual.. the track at maybe heavy is a worry though,,

[Dazz]

Will definately keep one eye on the state of the track then.

Another one to look out for is in the 1st in melbourne, SW Arnold down for

one ride all day #6 Villa Alvarado.

Arnold killed 'em in Adelaide last week (Marju Snip) and i'm surprised hes got the

one ride with all the major jocks away.

[Svenvlad]

Hey Mav,

Just got back from the league test. Not a real fan of the nrl but it was a good night out, and can't wait for the races tomorrow. They've got together a great day and i'm really keen.

Race 1 - Don't mind Doonan Dancer here. Will be on pace, which suits around the coast and gets to a more suitable distance here. 1200m isn't long enough for him - he finds em too quick and can't get to the lead. I think he can run well at odds. Rampant Lion will put in a better performance tomorrow, if ridden a bit more aggresively. Birthday Bash was a good return, but the 2nd up form is a worry. Nice place chance if the pace is on.

Race 2 - Not my sort of race. Clang Edition shuld be cherry ripe for this one, given his last run (peaking 50m out). With that under his belt, he won't be far off them. Point of Honour might run a nice race here too, from the 1 alley. Has ability this one, and there has been money around for him in a few of his runs. Motivate might find the straight a bit short, but has a strong finish when there is pace on.

Race 3 - Great race this one. Ghetto Blaster's problem is the alley, but i think he is very good. If he gets in (Colless is a massive plus on that front) i think he can trouble these. One at odds that i think has good ability and can figure is Captain Lightning. A few wraps floating around for this one. Will be on pace and can stick on around this course. Sweet As must have ability, for Dwyer to have it here. Place chance if they run along out in front. Plenty of other chances though. That is a top field.

Race 4 - Another good race. I love Prend but think she is a lay tomorrow. She won't have enough room to wind up tomorrow, in my view. She really only got going the last 150m or so at EF last time, and that luxury won't be afforded to her at the Gold Coast. I don't Mind Caos Cross. The Cape Cross breed are doing well, and can get ground no worries and with Cahill on board i think she is a top chance. Vietnam was a nice run last time, but the straight is a worry with her too. Prend has loads of ability and i love the way she races but i can't have her on top tomorrow, but she is definately the one when she returns to EF over some ground. Oaks/Derby is perfect for her.

Race 5 - Tough, tough race. Barrier has got Master Denis again. If he draws the inside, he goes really close. I can't have him from out there though. Mav's tip Diamondsondinside is the one for me here too. Can find his fair share of trouble, but Byrne is quality and shouldn't get him into too much traffic. I think he can finish over the top of them here. Fashions Afield is quality and will be right in the firing line all the way, but the pressure will be on from the word go here and that won't suit this horse. Master Denis will have to get a long way back again (same as in the millions race), but he has loads of talent and can figure in the placings.

Race 6 - The hard races just don't stop. Theres about 10 i'd like to include here :). There should be lots of speed here, with Tornado Alley, Impaler and Messiaen. For that reason (and possibly because i am totally mad), i don't mind Amex. I havent come across a more unreliable horse, but his Gold Coast record is great and he has drawn the right alley. Whiteley has a great record on him too. Hard to Catch was a massive run at the goat track last time, coming from the tail. Top chance. Daunting Lad, as Mav said, really attacked the line at EF last time, but eh 12 alley is the concern. Patillo is riding well though.

Race 7 - Like Devastating. Didnt get any room last time, but will be ready for this one and i think he can go mighty close. Has loads and loads of ability when he is right. Byrne knows him well too. Roman Arch is coming off good form down south and can figure here, while rock hard fit. Ike's Dream isn't a horse i can come into, but should be respected i suppose, from that stable.

Race 8 - Nice one to finish on. I like Coincidental. Colless has wasted for this one, which is a great lead. She has the good weight, good jock and the first up fitness run. I think she'll go mighty close. Princess Margaret got nothing her own way last time out and can improve here with a softer run. She has plenty of ability. La Montagna is right on her way to the 10000 and can cement her spot in that race with a good performance in this race. And if the speed is on, theres no doubting she can run right over the top of these.

Great days racing tomorrow, the Coast will be going off. I haven't really got a best bet, its too hard but Doonan Dancer and Captain Lightning could run good races at odds.

Best of luck to everyone tomorrow. Enjoy the great racing!

Sven

[TheAvenger]

Thank you, gents.

Glenn

[Percentum]

My tip for Gold Coast:

Barriers 1-6 with the field in quinellas in all races with 15+ starters

Has done well in Doomben lately as well.

Not recommended any other tracks

[Raw Instinct]

Thank god for Rumbird so far been a tough day.

[Raw Instinct]

Big fan of Windfields Farm in the next at Rosehill think it could be a nice sort of horse.

[jerrymcguire]

Tough day at gold coast

Agree with Mav, Deuxieme a fair e/w go.
Besides Consular I think Yell may run a huge race today

Above Deck to win the Hollindale

Only keen on 1 selection today and that is at rosehill

R7 no 11 Shalimar Sky.

Not the best barrier but hopefully can overcome that to get the prize.

Good luck

[Raw Instinct]

I agree on Shalimar Sky mate has to be a huge chance

[mad]

Had a dip at Impaler today at the Gold Coast, what a shocking ride. What was the point of that? Could someone tell me please, because i'm at a lose. Excuse the language but Seamer is without doubt, a dead set ????????.

[maverick1993]

Well i was always alittle worried about bias today..and with the rail back in the true you had to be handy or you were no chance...

Race 1.
Backed Shilo here as it seemed alot of people...did very well i thought to just miss out......
Wasnt hard to notice how well the inside played in this race...

Race 2.
As i was still alittle unsure here...and i backed Motivate with no real confidence...he got back as usual and although unlucky he never looked like he was getting into the race...Xlerate was a fantasic run..huge..
My first stupid bet of the day......motivate for the last time...

Race 3.
Jump on to Goldy if theres Bias...woohoo never a doubt...but what was so good about this race was the trifecta...thank god ....need to have a look at the replay as i was only concentrating on the winner..

Race 4.
Prend and Vietnam were never a show today..but the later did a fantastic job to get close...Super Lacuna with the good barrier and races handy was ridden very well and always going to be in the right place and right time..,,,,,feeling good ...

Race 5.
I took on Fashions here...this was my 2nd stupid bet of the day...but i've taken her on before with success and i knew she'd get some pressure up front...but she was just to good...Diamondsontheinside i was hoping would be a couple back on the inside and just peel out and run her down...but nothing was running fashions down today...

RAce 6.
Deuxieme was never going to be in this...I backed Impaler and Daunting Lad,,,Impaler ?? i agree Mad..he should have just taken the sit behind Tornado Alley...instead he ruined it for both of them...Daunting LAd finished well for 2nd...great run..
I underated Hard to Catch even though his run last start was super...i just thought there were others better than him today but he won very well....

Race 7.
Ikes Dream another backmarker with no hope,,,,BAcked Roman Arch as hes tuff and thought he'd just muscle them out of it....but a well timed run by Above Deck put paid to them easily....Ikes dream did well to finish where she did...

Race 8.
My 3rd and final stupid bet of the day...i'm a huge Princess fan but i worried about her the last 50m from that barrier...i backed Love and Money and she did nothing...i had her running 3rd on the rail,,,oh well live and learn but the princess was brave in winning...LA Montgna was huge...

A whole 2 collects for me today ...couldnt even jag a tri or 1st4 in the other races..there was always something that bobbed up at huge odds,,,,but i wasnt complaining about this in the 3rd..
all in all on a day where i betted in every race i'm happy to come out ahead even though i know i was lucky to get a monster trifecta collect....
This track on this day got me last year,,,but today i got some back,,

Sydney
Fritzs princess...won but was to short for me..
Ledger....wanted to lay in...Cahill couldnt straightn him up...costly..
Gorgonite....woohoooo massive collect...massive odds i thought ..got a piece of that 1st4 aswell :)
Mosso...another good run but is getting costly...

Melbourne
Nothing for me..had a small e/w on Merlot Now but in the wet was always a risk,,

Adelaide
Civil..missed the start never a chance

Kembla
Sydney City.....Won but to short for me...

Ipswich
Chattinn...a good 2nd to the hot pot...should have gone e/w as it was nice place divie.. but i was only in it for the win today....

A good day on such a hard day...but if you were on the ball the winners in Gold Coast werent that hard to get if you took into account the selection need to be on the rail or very handy..
Gold Edition, Super Lacuna, Fashions, Hard to catch, Above Deck and the Princess all fall into that category......

Still finalising tomorrow selections...going out on the turps tonight so i might not get the time...

Hope you guys had a good one...and jagged the odd monster collect to get you out of trouble.