Neural Testing

[michaelg]

Continuing from Twobets query and Chinok's observations, today's CP selections are:

Canberra R3 no.4 - Armaday
Canberra R7 no.6 - Absolutely Adriana
Canberra R8 no.4 - Zepmanu
Canberra R9 no.3 - Step Forward
Dombeen R6 no.1 - Tamales
Dombeen R8 no.5 - Sectagonal
Bathurst R4 no.2 - Frisson
Bathurst R5 no.6 - Thredbo Lass
Wodonga R3 no.4 - Mr Melba
Wodonga R5 no.8 - Profit Shift
Wodonga R6 no.8 - On A Promise
Wodonga R7 no.6 - Sir Kingslea
Wodonga R8 no.2 - Wiccan Dawn

The $ selections are:
Bathurst R6 no.1 - Benallen
Bathurst R7 no.1 - Juerga
Wodonga R2 no.11 - Hi Hilda
Wodonga R8 no.2 - Wiccan Dawn

[feather]

Not sure where to put this but....
A couple of years ago, I had a neurals system on the go. I left the scaling the same, But concerted on races that had the field at 11 races or less. I cannot find the results, but it it did quite well. I did not take scratching’s into account. I had selected the first two horses from c1 up. Was a lot of bets though


Michaelg: as above - may cut down the bets -
Canberra R3 no.4 – Armaday../hcp 11h…..1st $4.20
Canberra R7 no.6 - Absolutely Adriana…/c4..11h……x
Canberra R9 no.3 - Step Forward…/c5…11h……
Bathurst R4 no.2 – Frisson…/c1…11h……1st $8.60

The $ selections are:
Bathurst R6 no.1 – Benallen…/c6..8h……1st $1.90
Bathurst R7 no.1 – Juerga…/hcp..8h

[michaelg]

Today's results for the CP method. As a matter of interest, both metro selections were unplaced.

13 selections (there was a late scratching)
4 winners paying $21.00.
Strike rate of 30.7%
POT of 61.5%
9 placegetters paying $11.70.
Strike rate of 69%
LOT of 10%

Fields of 11 or less (after scratchings). Feather's results.
5 selections.
3 winners paying $14.50.
Strike rate of 60%
POT of 230%
3 placegetters paying $5.60
Strike rate of 60%
POT of 12%

The "$" method.
4 selections.
2 winners paying $5.70
Strike rate of 50%
POT of 42.5%
2 placegetters paying $3.90
Strike rate of 50%
LOT of 2.5%

Fields of 11 or less. Feather's results.
2 selections.
2 winners paying $5.70
Strike rate of 100%
POT of 185%
2 placegetters paying $3.90
Strike rate of 100%
POT of 95%.

Feather, your suggestion of limiting the fields to 11 has improved the results with both methods for Win and Place. From tomorrow I'll continue with two categories - those with 11 and less starters, and those over 11 starters. However, rightly or wrongly, I'll be omitting metro meetings.

[michaelg]

Today's selections are:

CP System - over 11 starters
Gold Coast R9 no.2 - Beck's Crown
Kembla R6 no.2 - Best On Board
Mornington R1 no6 - Northern Dan (already ran. Won, paying $2.20 and $1.20)
Toowoomba R4 no.2 - Stormy Sequalo
Toowoomba R5 no.6 - Our Private jet
Belmont R3 no.1 - Kia Oro Miss
Belmont R7 no.2 - James The Jet

CP System - under 12 starters.
Kembla R4 no.2 - Thunderbirdsarego
Mornington R3 no.8 - Zookeeper
Toowoomba R1 no.7 - Amarazetti
Belmont R1 no.5 - Landspeed Cruiser
Belmont R5 no.10 - River Mist

$ System - over 11 starters
Gold Coast R3 no.7 - Strawberry Sky
Gold Coast R4 no.12 - Gloriosa Honey
Kembla R7 no.7 - Halucinating
Mornington R1 no.6 - (already run. Won, paying $2.20 and $1.20)
Toowoomba R5 no.6 - Our Private Jet
Belmont R3 no.1 - Kia Oro Miss

$ System - under 12 starters.
Kembla R5 no.2 - Redoute's Magic
Mornington R3 no.8 - Zookeeper
Mornington R4 no.2 - Rough Ranch
Toowoomba R1 no.7 - Amarazetti
Toowoomba R2 no.2 - Northern Man
Belmont R1 no.5 - Landspeed Cruiser

[michaelg]

I'll only look at the $ system.

11 runners and under. Yesterday there were 6 selections for one winner of $1.70, and 4 placegetters for $6.30. For over 11 starters, there were also 6 selections for 4 winners paying $12.90, and all 6 placed paying $10.20. Combined, there were 12 starters for 5 winners paying $14.60, and 10 placegetters paying $16.50.

11 runners. Seven selections today:
Bowraville R6 no.1 - Windon
Hamilton R1 no.1 - Made Of Music
Hamilton R3 no.1 - Run Albert Run
Hobart R2 no.3 - Rich Boy
Hobart R4 no.1 - Romp In The Park
Kalgoorlie R3 no.1 - Regal Raider
Kalgoorlie R5 no.5 - Promising Gold

12 runners.
Six selections:
Werribee R1 no.5 - Differ
Werribee R6 no.1 - Winning Master
Werribee R7 no.1 - Learned
Hamilton R4 no.12- The Voice Of Doom
Hamilton R5 no.12 - Oh So Red
Sun Coast R5 no.1 - Regal reason