Big Winners

[Shaun]

Can anyone help with this question.

If i backed the longest priced horse in every race what would my strike rate be and the profit/loss

[Bhagwan]

Heres is something you may like to try which has shown some intersting results.

Target one runner in every race that is paying $33
If not one available , take the next price down e.g. $32 ect. until one finds a selection.

I can almost guarantee to hit one or two winners within 30-35 bets.

Have a bank ratio of 1:250
Level stakes.

Cheers.

[Bhagwan]

If one targeted the rank outsider in all races the with 10 runners & less .
I think one will find the SR to be around 2-4%
The POT or LOT may vary wildly.

The run of outs could be anything .
e.g. 65+

[Shaun]

So you are saying it could be as low as 1 winner for every 100 bets or even lower

[burrah]

So you are saying it could be as low as 1 winner for every 100 bets or even lowerShaun,
If you go to Adrian Massey site you can find figures for various odds. (http://www.adrianmassey.com/odd/flodd0.htm)
basically once you go above 20/1 to 100/1 you will lose between 50 and 70 per cent of your investment
regards

[darkydog2002]

Very handy Chart.

Thanks Burrah.

Cheers.
darky.

[Shaun]

Very nice indeed

[Bhagwan]

Fri 9th Nov
Using UniTAB prices using the chasing the $33 or less plan.

3 winners were struck paying $20 $23 $30
Out of 23 races =13% SR
Ret $73
Prof +50 = 217% POT

Cheers.